Five potential game-changing names to watch as NBA trade deadline nears

By Kurt HelinMar 10, 2021, 3:32 PM EST

We are just 15 days away from the NBA trade deadline, and while there is no more gathering of general managers around the All-Star Game — there was no NBA gathering of any kind in Atlanta this year, that appeared to be in Miami — the trade buzz is getting louder around the league.

A lot of the deadline deals will be more about moving money around — shedding it, or taking it on to get picks/young players — however, there are a few potential game-changers out there. Maybe not the kind of mind-blowing blockbusters we have come to expect, but certainly trades that can shift the balance of power among contenders.

Here are five names to watch as the trade deadline approaches.

1) Kyle Lowry (Toronto Raptors)

Potential landing spots: 76ers, Heat, Clippers, Nuggets, Raptors

Kyle Lowry is the greatest Toronto Raptor ever. He has been the face of the franchise, an elite player, and a locker room leader through the greatest years in Toronto basketball history — including winning a championship. Someday they will retire his jersey and maybe put a statue of him outside the Scotiabank Arena.

However, this relationship may have run its course. The Raptors are still a good team, but they are retooling the roster for the future around Pascal Siakam, Fred VanVleet, and OG Anunoby. Lowry, at age 34, may not be part of that future. Still, he is scoring 18 points a game, dishing out seven assists a night, and shooting better than 40% from three this season — Lowry could help a lot of teams.

He has reportedly told people around him that he expects to be traded — although he has denied that.

Kyle Lowry responds on his IG story as recent trade rumors have been swirling. 👀

(🎥: @Klow7) pic.twitter.com/oQyeTZXScL

— theScore (@theScore) March 9, 2021

If Lowry does get traded, it would be a mutual decision between him and Toronto. His hometown of Philadelphia gets mentioned first as a destination and he would be a huge boost for the 76ers, providing more shooting and shot creation on the perimeter. Philly is not alone in having interest: Miami could use more shot creation as well, Lowry would be a perfect backcourt fit next to Jamal Murray in Denver, and the L.A. Clippers need point guard depth.

The challenge is Lowry makes $30.5 million and will be a free agent after the season — that’s a lot of money to match for a potential rental (teams would want back-channel assurances from Lowry he would stay). For example, for Philadelphia to make the trade it would require Danny Green, Mike Scott, and some combination of Seth Curry and picks, or Tyrese Maxey and Matisse Thubulle (or some other combination of those players). That’s a lot of roster depth to send out.

Because of that, Lowry may finish the season in Toronto, and that makes the Raptors a more dangerous playoff team.

However, if Lowry does get traded to any of these teams, they instantly jump up the ladder in contender status. Lowry is both a high-quality point guard and a proven champion.

2) P.J. Tucker (Houston Rockets)

Potential landing spots: Nets, Lakers, Jazz, Nuggets, Bucks, Heat, Timberwolves

It might be easier to list teams not interested in veteran forward P.J. Tucker. He is seen as a plug-and-play ceiling raiser for contenders, a player who can hit threes and help on defense. Whether or not the expected fire sale in Houston comes to pass, it is widely expected around the league that Tucker will be on the move.

The question is, would teams get the Tucker we have seen in previous playoffs? Tucker, 35, has struggled this season and is averaging 4.4 points a game and shooting 31.4% from three. Tucker’s supporters will say that his struggles are more about being on the Island of Misfit Toys that is the Houston Rockets this season, and once plugged back in with better players he will revert to form. But that is a risk.

Tucker makes $7.9 million this season, making it relatively easy for most teams to trade for him (the Lakers and Bucks, both up against the hard cap, will have to send out more salary than they take back, making it a little more tricky). Houston wants young players to fit with their rebuilding timeline, not just picks, in any deal, according to reports.

3) Harrison Barnes (Sacramento Kings)

Potential landing spots: Boston, Miami, Denver

Sacramento came into this season dreaming of ending their 14-year playoff drought. That’s not happening — they are four games back of the 10 seed and the final play-in spot in a stratified Western Conference — and the buzz around the league is they have seen the light and will be sellers at the deadline. Sacramento is reportedly looking to get picks and players to speed the rebuild around De'Aaron Fox.

Stretch four Harrison Barnes is a primary target of other teams, and it’s no secret the Boston Celtics want him.

"The Celtics want Harrison Barnes …. Don’t listen to all the smoke and mirrors about all these other guys."

Sorting through trade rumors with @tvabby + @Scalabrine, and why Barnes is more realistic than Grant or Vucevic. pic.twitter.com/QPLDXURyj2

— Chris Forsberg (@ChrisForsberg_) March 5, 2021

Barnes — who has championship experience with the Warriors — is having the best season of his career, averaging 16.7 points and 6.1 rebounds a game, shooting 39.2% from three while playing respectable defense. It’s easy in Boston to see him plugging right into a closing lineup with Kemba Walker, Marcus Smart, Jason Tatum, and Jaylen Brown. It’s also easy to see Barnes playing key minutes at the four in Miami (taking some of Kelly Olynyk‘s run) or playing next to Nikola Jokic in Denver.

Barnes makes $22.2 million this season and is on a declining contract ($20.3 million next season, $18.4 million in 2022-23). This is where Boston has the advantage, they have the Gordon Hayward trade exception and don’t have to send matching salary back — however, the Celtics are hard-capped and would need to send out more than $9 million to stay under the tax line, but they can easily do that sending out players such as Aaron Nesmith and Romeo Langford to Sacramento (or in separate deals with other teams). Boston also has its first-round picks to sweeten a trade but may have to give up a player it likes, such as Payton Pritchard, to make the trade happen.

4) Buddy Hield (Sacramento Kings)

Potential landing spots: Any team that could use more shooting

If Sacramento is selling, Buddy Hield should be part of that.

Fox and rookie Tyrese Haliburton are the backcourt of the future for the Kings, and Hield has clashed with coach Luke Walton in the past (Hield does not want to come off the bench). It’s time to move on. There would be demand for Hield, who is averaging 16.4 points a game this season and is a career 40% shooter from three.

Is there a contender out there that couldn’t use more shooting on the roster?

The challenge is Hield is in the first year of a four-year, $86 million contract, although it is a declining contract that makes it easier to trade down the line if a team wishes to do so. There hasn’t been a lot of smoke around a Hield trade yet (not like Barnes rumors), but if Sacramento is looking to the future, it should look to find a Hield trade.

5) George Hill (Oklahoma City)

Potential landing spots: Clippers 76ers

If you’re going to bet on one guy on this list getting traded, it should be Hill. It is assumed he will get moved before the deadline around the league — and more than a few teams could use a solid veteran ball-handling guard.

Hill, 34, is a rock-solid veteran, but one who has missed time this season with a hand injury (he is expected to be healthy and back in the next week). He can play the one or the two, is averaging 11.8 points a game this season, and is hitting 38.6% of his threes (and that’s down from the ridiculous 46% he shot last season from deep).

While we only list the Clippers and 76ers as landing spots above because they have reported interest, a lot more teams are calling Oklahoma City to kick the tires on a trade.

Hill makes $9.6 million this season and $10 million next season, but with only $1.27 million of that guaranteed. Teams are not committed long-term to Hill if it doesn’t work out.

In OKC, Sam Presti has gone full Hoarders episode on draft picks and likely would take more, but they will also be open to young players that fit on the timeline of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Luguentz Dort.

Nuggets reportedly trade draft picks with Thunder to help keep title window open

By Kurt HelinJun 9, 2023, 4:03 PM EDT

The Denver Nuggets are just two wins from the franchise’s first NBA championship.

While Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray are trying to pick-and-roll their way to those wins, the Nuggets front office has made a trade to try and keep their title window open. The Nuggets are trading their 2029 first-round pick (protected) to the Oklahoma City Thunder for the No. 37 pick in this June’s NBA Draft and the worst of the Thunder’s 2024-first round picks, a story broken by Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.

The Nuggets now control the No. 37 and 40 picks in the 2023 NBA Draft, plus this additional 2024 pick. The Nuggets will try to use this 2024 first-round pick to move into the first round of this year’s draft, reports Mike Singer of the Denver Post. (Denver’s first-round pick at No. 27 belongs to Charlotte through a series of trades.)

A first-round pick and some high second-round picks allows Nuggets GM Calvin Booth to bring in several low-priced rookies who can potentially be part of the roster and rotation, freeing up money to keep an expensive core of Jokic, Murray, Michael Porter Jr. and the rest. The hope is to find another Christian Braun at the back of the first round who can contribute as a rookie.

With Jokić, Murray, Porter Jr. and Aaron Gordon all locked in on big deals for the next two seasons after this, the challenge for the Nuggets is keeping quality rotation players around them to help them compete for a title without going deeper into the tax than ownership wants. Jeff Green is a free agent this summer and Bruce Brown has a $6.8 million player option that he will certainly opt out of (he will get an offer for more than $10 million a season). The Nuggets already are $7 million into the luxury tax (via Spotrac) and are looking for a way to keep below the second tax apron, making bringing those key players back a challenge.

Hence the trade, as the Nuggets look for ways to fill out their rotation with quality, but affordable, players. Good drafting — like Braun — is a way.

What does OKC get out of this? They have more first-round draft picks than they can use in the coming few years, this spreads a pick out to 2029, which they can use then or trade, depending on their needs at the time.

Heat’s Tyler Herro remains out for Game 4. Will he play in Finals?

By Kurt HelinJun 9, 2023, 12:38 PM EDT

MIAMI — With Tyler Herro not cleared to play in Game 3 of the NBA Finals and Game 4 just 48 hours later, it should be no surprise that we won’t see Herro on Friday night.

Herro is officially listed as out for Game 4. He has been out since April 16 with a severe hand fracture suffered in the first game against the Milwaukee Bucks.

Herro went through a brief part of the public practice/shootaround in front of the media Thursday but didn’t speak to the press. Spoelstra said Herro has not yet been cleared for a game.

“This is just part of the process,” Erik Spoelstra said. “You have to go through stages. First part of it was just shooting, then movement, then contact versus coaches, and then the next level of contact in practice. He has not been cleared for a game, and he is still not cleared yet.”

Even if Herro were cleared for later in the series — and the Heat players and coaches say to a man he is putting in the work — how much of a role could he play at this point? While on paper he provides shooting and shot creation Miami needs this series (although he would be a target on defense), he hasn’t played in a game for nearly two months and Spoelstra can’t just throw him into the highest level of basketball in the world mid-series. Maybe he could get in a few non-Jokić minutes off the bench, but it’s a big ask for anything more than that. And maybe it’s too big an ask for even that.

Listening to Spoelstra’s tone, I wouldn’t expect to see Herro in this series.

And this summer, don’t be surprised when Herro’s name comes up in a lot of trade rumors.

Rumor: Suns could make run at James Harden this summer

By Kurt HelinJun 9, 2023, 11:55 AM EDT

James Harden is widely expected to opt out of the $35.6 million he is owed for next season because, even if you acknowledge he is not MVP-level Harden anymore, he’s worth more than that in the NBA marketplace. At least $10 million more a season. Harden is reportedly “torn” between returning to Philadelphia or going back home to Houston (the sources NBC Sports talks to around the league have Houston as the frontrunner).

Maybe Phoenix can enter the conversation. There had been talk the Suns might make another big swing this offseason, then came this from ESPN’s Ramona Shelburne appearing on ESPNLA Radio (hat tip Hoopshype):

“I want you to keep your eye on James Harden [going to Phoenix]. I don’t want to report anything, but that was in the wind for the past month or so. Everybody thinks it’s Philly or Houston, but I don’t know, there have been discussions in the wind.”

Interesting. The smart money should still be bet on Houston. Phoenix is a crazy longshot because the Suns don’t have the cap space to sign Harden outright at market value.

The only way the Suns could make a direct trade work is to convince Harden to do an opt-in and trade, where he picks up that $35.6 million and the Suns extend him off that, because if he opts out — as expected — then any sign-and-trade hardcaps the Suns. With Harden, Kevin Durant and Devin Booker on the books, a hard-capped Suns team would have to round out the roster with minimum contract guys. They would have no depth.

Also, who are the Suns sending back to Philadelphia in that deal? The 76ers have no interest in Deandre Ayton, Philly is pretty set at center with the MVP. That means getting a third team involved, one that wants Ayton, and will send players back to the 76ers they want. It gets very complicated very fast. Or, can Phoenix pick up Chris Paul‘s $30.8 million for this season and do a Harden for CP3 swap? Good luck selling that.

No doubt the Suns, with aggressive new owner Mat Ishbia, want to make another bold move or two this summer, but pulling off a James Harden deal would be challenging. To put it politely.

And Harden probably wants to go home to Houston anyway.

Three things to watch, with betting tips, as Miami tries to slow Jokić, Denver offense

By Kurt HelinJun 9, 2023, 8:39 AM EDT

MIAMI — Erik Spoelstra, Michael Malone, and their staffs have been pouring over film and losing sleep, trying to come up with adjustments. Minor tweaks that can give their team even a little edge.

But four games into a series, there are not a lot of secrets left. Everyone knows what is coming. It is often more about execution and effort over adjustments.

“I think it’s a little bit of both,” the Heat’s Haywood Highsmith said. “It’s definitely some things we can adjust on, and then it’s also about a little bit more effort and just doing more. You always need more, always can do more… we definitely have to make some adjustments on both ends of the floor, but you know, we’ll figure it out.”

The Heat need to figure it out before Game 4 on Friday night, because they can’t afford to go down 3-1 to the Nuggets in this series. Game 4 is as close as it gets to must-win for Jimmy Butler and the Heat.

Here are two things worth watching in Game 4, plus some betting advice from Vaughn Dalzell of NBC Sports Edge.

1) Miami has to slow the Jokic/Murray two-man game. Somehow.

Denver’s defense has been impressive in these Finals, holding Miami to a 111.1 offensive rating through three games (for comparison, that is 7.2 below their offensive rating against Boston).

Part of the reason is that Nikola Jokić can be a better rim protector and defensive player than people give him credit for. Another key is Malone has been able to lean hard into more defensive-based lineups because the two-man game of Jamal Murray and Jokić has been all the offense the Nuggets need.

The Murray/Jokic pick-and-roll has been a masterclass in this series — the Nuggets have a 126 offensive rating this series when running that play. In Game 3, the Denver stars ran 32 pick-and-rolls, and those plays were the foundation of each of them getting a 30-point triple-double (the first teammates to have a 30+ point triple-double in any NBA game).

Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray are the first pair of teammates with triple-doubles in Finals history!

Jokic: 32 PTS, 21 REB, 10 AST
Murray: 34 PTS, 10 REB, 10 AST

DEN/MIA Game 4: Friday, 8:30pm/et on ABC pic.twitter.com/0hLcPvv0zN

— NBA (@NBA) June 8, 2023

“I mean, the Murray/Jokic two-man game is a pretty hard action to stop,” Haywood Highsmith said. “But we got great defensive players, got some of the great two-way players in this game, Jimmy [Butler] and Bam [Adebayo], so we’re gonna figure it out. We got a lot of different bodies we can throw at Murray as well.”

Miami may need to sell out to stop Jokić and Murray and force any other Nugget to beat them. The Heat did blitz the pick-and-roll more in the fourth quarter of Game 3, but that led to Christian Braun cuts to the basket and Denver buckets. Miami may have to live with some of that, they have to keep Murray in particular in check (it feels like Jokić will get his no matter what).

“Whatever you do, you just can’t do it all the time,” Spoelstra said of defending the Nuggets duo. “There’s no absolutes when you get to this level. It’s the highest level of competition. You’re getting the highest level of execution. Understanding what they’re trying to get to, and we try to get them out of their comfort zones as much as possible.

“The first half, they really got to that two-man action quite a bit. They were getting a lot of traction, so they didn’t need to go to any other part of their playbook.”

Miami needs to see the rest of that playbook.

2) Miami has to make shots, rebound, set defense

The best way for Miami to limit the Jokic/Murray action and the Denver offense in general is to slow the game down. Make them go against a set defense every time down. That didn’t happen enough in Game 3 — Denver was free-flowing on offense when Miami needs the game played in the mud.

For the Heat to change that dynamic two key things need to happen.

First, Miami has to make shots. It’s simplistic but it’s true. Denver isn’t going to run if they are taking the ball out of the net.

That starts with 3-pointers, because as has been noted everywhere the Heat are 6-1 when they shoot 45% or better from 3 this postseason (including Game 2 against the Nuggets), and unreasonably hot shooting has sustained their run to the Finals. The Heat starters were 5-of-19 (26.3%) from beyond the arc in Game 3, which is simply not good enough — Max Strus, Gabe Vincent and the rest of the role players must step up and knock down shots. However, the bigger concern in Game 3 was the Heat shooting 38.2% within eight feet of the basket. The Nuggets’ size is clearly bothering the Heat. Jimmy Butler needs to get downhill and then make the shots, Bam Adebayo has to get the floater to fall, and the Heat need to attack and get to the free throw line.

Second, the Heat can’t let the Nuggets win the rebounding battle by 25. Denver’s size advantage has played out in this series in many ways (including how they contested 3s in Game 3), but it is most clearly on the glass. Miami is getting one shot and they’re done, but the Nuggets grabbed the offensive rebound on 36.1% of their missed shots in Game 3, and if you give them that many second chances you will pay.

It will take gang rebounding and effort, but the Heat must be stronger on the glass.

3) Vaughn Dalzell’s betting recommendations

Over/Under: The total continues to drop from game-by-game starting at 219.5 then going from 216.5 to 214.5 and now 210.5 for Game 4. Denver and Miami have struggled with consistency when it comes to scoring, Miami a little more than Denver. The Nuggets are shooting 51% to Miami’s 41% from the field and averaging 10 more free-throw attempts per game. The pace and tempo of this series has barely changed through three games and if it wasn’t for Miami’s 38-point fourth quarter in Game 2, the Under would be 3-0 in this NBA Finals. I will keep riding the Under.

Player Props: In this series there have been four players worth betting overs; Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. On the other hand, there have been some very good fade prospects for unders such as Kevin Love, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Michael Porter Jr. and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, who are all shooting 31% or worse from the field. When betting player props in the NBA Finals, keep it simple stupid (KISS).

(Check out more from Dalzell and the team at NBC Sports Edge.)

1) Kyle Lowry (Toronto Raptors)

2) P.J. Tucker (Houston Rockets)

3) Harrison Barnes (Sacramento Kings)

4) Buddy Hield (Sacramento Kings)

5) George Hill (Oklahoma City)

Check out more on the Boston Celtics

Here is more on the Nuggets

Check out more on the Heat

Check out more on the Suns

1) Miami has to slow the Jokic/Murray two-man game. Somehow.

2) Miami has to make shots, rebound, set defense

3) Vaughn Dalzell’s betting recommendations

Here's the latest on the Heat