NBA Finals Game 5 preview: Five questions Golden State needs to answer to win

Getty Images
3 Comments

OAKLAND — Draymond Green is out for Game 5, suspended by the league, he will be watching from a suite at the Oakland Coliseum next door — and he has nobody to blame but himself. If you don’t think this blow to LeBron James’ undercarriage warranted a suspension, remember this is an accumulation of points throughout the playoffs — if he doesn’t body slam Michael Beasley with one second left in a first round game against the Rockets, we’re not having this conversation. We’d be discussing how the Warriors would close out the series tonight. Instead, the door is cracked open for the Cavaliers.

The question becomes how does Golden State respond? Here are five questions where the answers will determine the outcome.

1) Can Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson have a big night without Draymond Green? Curry and Thompson were on the court without Green just 118 minutes during the regular season (5.7 percent of their total minutes) — they are almost always a trio. Which means Game five will enter a lot of uncharted territory in terms of Warriors’ lineups.

“Then as far as the game itself, we’re going to play a lot of people and we’ll give a lot of different looks and we’ll compete like crazy, and I think we’ll give ourselves a great chance to win,” Warriors coach Steve Kerr said.

Green often serves as the secondary playmaker for Golden State. The Warriors’ offense is 15.5 points per 100 possessions better when Green is on the court in the playoffs (because he plays with Curry/Thompson, a lot of noise there). A number of players will need to step into that role — Andre Iguodala and Shaun Livingston are at the top of the list — and likely just about everyone will get their chance. The problem is Curry has struggled without Green on the court in the playoffs, shooting just 32 percent overall and 23 percent from three.

Simply put: Golden State is not as good without Green, and the best way for them to overcome that is to have monster nights from Curry and Thompson. The Cavs defense can be more focused on the Splash Brothers now, but Curry needs to have an MVP kind of night for the Warriors to win.

2) How well will Warriors defend without Green? More than the offensive end, it’s Green’s defense that is key. As NBA.com’s John Schuhmann pointed out, the Warriors are +51 in the Finals with lineups where Green is the center and -19 when it is anyone else (Andrew Bogut, Festus Ezeli, Anderson Varejao; and that stat excludes the garbage time in Game 2). The reason is that the Cavaliers prefer to play small lineups with Kevin Love or Channing Frye at center, and when they do the Warriors can counter with Green at center and defend it well because he still gives them rim protection.

“It’s tough because we don’t have many guys who can duplicate what he does on our team, so we’re going to have to be better,” Livingston said. “Fight harder, play harder because a guy like that you can’t replace.”

Without Green, the Warriors can’t switch as much, and that strategy has been the key to their defensive success. Also, without Green Kyrie Irving can run the 1-5 pick-and-roll now and get far more room to operate (Green’s not there to switch). The Warriors need Bogut and others to step up, they need to find a rotation that can get stops and still score the basketball. Just a hunch: Expect a lot of Ezeli time.

3) Who starts in place of Green? It’s a little bit of a moot question because Kerr is going to run so many lineups out there, but the smart money is on either Brandon Rush — historically, that’s where Kerr goes — or Andre Iguodala. If you want a longshot, try James Michael McAdoo.

What matters isn’t who starts, but who plays in crunch time — and Kerr doesn’t even know that yet. There is no precedent for this with the Warriors, he’s just going to see what works and stick with it.

Whatever way it goes, Iguodala and Harrison Barnes are going to have to play a lot of minutes in this game.

4) Can Cleveland get stops? While Green does serve as a secondary playmaker, the Warriors went heavily to a new offensive wrinkle in Game 4: Thompson setting the screen or Curry. Or another guard setting the screen. They didn’t drag Kevin Love or other bigs in so much as made Irving, Matthew Dellavedova, J.R. Smith and the other guards defend the action — and they didn’t do that well.
Golden State is going to run that a lot this game, and if the Cavaliers don’t defend that better they will be in trouble.

The Cavaliers have struggled on the road in these playoffs, their backs are against the wall now and they cannot have one of those lapses.

” I think our first two games we had way too many turnovers which resulted in those guys getting out on the break,” LeBron said. “I think we averaged 18 turnovers for 25 points in Game 1 to Game 2. No matter how well you play, that’s not good ingredients for a victory on anyone’s floor, especially not on the defending champion floor.”

5) Can Golden State rebound well enough without Green? In the first half of Game 4, Tristan Thompson abused the Warriors on the glass — he had five offensive rebounds and the Cavaliers as a team grabbed the offensive board on 43.5 percent of their missed shots. That’s why they were up at the break. In the second half, Golden State had nine offensive rebounds, won the overall rebounding battle by six, and that was key to them winning the game.
Green had 12 rebounds in Game 4.

The Warriors are going to need team rebounding at an elite level to win Game 5 and end this series. As Pat Riley used to say: rebounds = rings.

Watch Dinwiddie get ejected for elbow to Poole’s face; Mavs still win behind Doncic 41 points

0 Comments

Dallas has gotten in trouble this season because of a lack of secondary shot creation behind Luka Doncic, so when Spencer Dinwiddie got ejected for an elbow to the face of Golden State’s Jordan Poole, it seemed like the Mavericks might be in danger of falling to the Warriors.

Doncic had other plans — and a 41-point triple-double.

The ejection happened early in the fourth quarter, when Dinwiddie drove the lane on Poole and, bringing the ball up, elbowed Poole in the face.

That was reviewed by the referees who ruled it a Flagrant 2. The league has cracked down on blows to the face and head — intentional or not — the past couple of seasons.

Dinwiddie being out just meant more Luka — and that was bad news for the Warriors.

Despite Doncic and his triple-double, the Warriors had a couple of chances in the final seconds. First, Stephen Curry got called for a travel.

The Warriors argued that call but got nowhere with the referees. But they got one more chance on a Klay Thompson 3 to tie, but it was just not their night.

The Mavericks got the 116-113 win. Tim Hardaway Jr. pitched in 25 points, including five 3-pointers for Dallas. Curry led the Warriors with 32.

Timberwolves’ Karl-Anthony Towns out 4-6 weeks with calf strain

Minnesota Timberwolves v Washington Wizards
Rob Carr/Getty Images
0 Comments

It’s not good news, but it looked like it could have been much worse.

Timberwolves big man Karl-Anthony Towns is out for weeks with a right calf strain, the team announced Tuesday following an MRI exam. Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN reports it is likely 4-6 weeks.

The injury occurred midway through the third quarter Monday when Towns started to run back upcourt and went to the ground without contact, grabbing his knee and calf. It looked scary — Achilles scary — and he had to be helped off the court.

Towns has averaged 21.4 points and 8.5 rebounds a game, and while his numbers are down this season — just 32.8% on 3-pointers — the team has struggled at times without him, particularly lineups with Rudy Gobert and Anthony Edwards together, an -11.8 net rating (in non-garbage time minutes, via Cleaning the Glass).

Kevin Durant on chasing MVP: ‘Not really, I’ve been there, done that’

Orlando Magic v Brooklyn Nets
Mike Stobe/Getty Images
0 Comments

Kevin Durant carried the Nets to another win Monday night, scoring 45 points on 19-of-24 shooting, plus seven rebounds and five assists.

If you’re having an MVP conversation a quarter of the way into the NBA season, Durant has to be part of it: 30 points per game on 54.8% shooting (and a ridiculous 65.9 true shooting percentage), 6.6 rebounds and 5.5 assists a game, plus playing solid defense and being the anchor of the Nets. After his 45-point outing to get Brooklyn a win over Orlando, Durant was asked about MVP chants and the chase for the award and was clearly not interested.

Durant has MVP numbers, but so do Stephen Curry, Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jayson Tatum and others. If Durant is going to move to the front of the conversation, the first thing that has to happen is Brooklyn has to win a lot more games — 11-11 is not going to cut it when Tatum’s Celtics and Antetokounmpo’s Bucks have the two best records in the NBA. Winning games and finishing on a top-three team in the conference matters to some voters (and traditionally is one measure of an MVP).

Watch Herb Jones inbound off Pokusevski’s back, seal win for Pelicans

Oklahoma City Thunder v New Orleans Pelicans
Layne Murdoch Jr./NBAE via Getty Images
0 Comments

With 2.3 seconds left in the game and the Thunder down 2, they needed to steal the inbounds pass from New Orleans to have a real chance. That’s why when Aleksej Pokusevski walked on the court it looked like he was going to guard the inbounder, Herbert Jones.

Instead, Pokusevski turned his back to Jones, putting himself in position to step in front of anyone cutting to the ball to catch the inbounds. Except, Jones made the clever play to seal the game.

Pokusevski fouled Jones, who sank both free throws and sealed the 105-101 Pelicans win.

The Pelicans got 23-8-8 from Zion Williamson and picked up a win without CJ McCollum or Brandon Ingram in the lineup. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continued his dominant start to the season and scored 31.