PBT’s NBA Power Rankings: Warriors start on the top, but it’s crowded

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With the tip-off of another NBA season, we bring you another edition of NBC ProBasketballTalks weekly Power Rankings. Usually these will come out on Mondays, but for the first week of the season it’s coming out when everything gets started.

The Warriors begin defense of their title on top of the rankings, but any of the top six teams could win the title in my eyes. The Sixers begin the season in the 30th spot and I fear they will spend much of the season there despite their new star rookie.

source: 1. Warriors (last season 67-15). The defending champions get their rings and a banner Tuesday and deserve to start atop the rankings. That said, they have looked a little sloppy through the preseason and will be without Steve Kerr for a little while. But if you think last season was “lucky” or a fluke you are dead wrong. This team can repeat.

source: 2. Thunder (45-37). Kevin Durant has looked like his old self. Russell Westbrook is praising the room he finds to operate in Billy Donovan’s offense and dropped a triple-double. And this is just the preseason. Both were very efficient and if they continue to be watch out. There are questions to answer — how exactly do they plan to use Enes Kanter and hide his defense? — but this team is back to being a legit contender.

source: 3. Spurs (55-27). There is no truth to the rumor Gregg Popovich is going to rest Tim Duncan for the opener. While like everyone else I love the LaMarcus Aldridge pickup, I think the key for the Spurs in Tony Parker — he has looked far too close to average going back to the playoffs last season. The Spurs opening the season against the Thunder Wednesday will be fun.

source: 4. Cavaliers (53-29). I’m picking them to be the best team in the NBA come June, but they start a little lower due to injuries — specifically Kyrie Irving. Also not having Tristan Thompson in camp dings them here. But they have LeBron James, and he will play opening night, and that’s all that really matters.

source: 5. Clippers (56-26). They will have one of the top three offenses in the NBA, the question is can they improve their pedestrian defense from last season? They have changed their pick-and-roll coverage in the preseason, leaving DeAndre Jordan (and other bigs) back more to protect the paint, if it works this team becomes far more dangerous.

source: 6. Rockets (56-26). If you’re looking for a breakout player during the preseason it might backup center Clint Capela in Houston. He’s been a stud. Which will be key because nobody expects Dwight Howard to be healthy for 82, and now they can rest him more over the course of the season without the big drop off.

source: 7. Grizzlies (55-27). Meet the new Grizzlies, same as the old Grizzlies. I watched a couple of their preseason games and saw a grinding, defensive team that struggled with its outside shot (Matt Barnes in particular). They are good, they are dangerous, but while any of the six teams above them could win the title this season, above Memphis is where I see the cut-off line right now.

source: 8. Heat (37-45). Look for a fast start to the season, in part because they have a soft schedule loaded with home games (14 of the first 20). If Hassan Whiteside can continue to be a stud and rookie Justise Winslow fits seamlessly into the rotation, this team could finish in the top three in the East.

source: 9. Bulls (50-32). This may be the most interesting team in the NBA this season because of the questions that surround them: How will Derrick Rose play? Can he stay healthy? How does new coach Fred Holberg handle the front court rotations with Pau Gasol, Joakim Noah, Nikola Mitotic, and Taj Gibson? And their defense can’t be as bad as it looked in the preseason, right?

source: 10. Wizards (46-36). Randy Wittman has committed to small ball — their fours are launching threes — and that will give John Wall room to operate (as will having a healthy Bradley Beal next to him). Not only is this team looking to take a step forward, if they are going to have a shot at Kevin Durant next summer they need to show him he can walk in the door and win with their play this season.

source: 11. Raptors (49-33). Their offense looked improved under a thinner and more dynamic Kyle Lowry in the preseason. This is a team that could surprise, especially if DeMarre Carroll returns their defense to something teams must respect.

source: 12. Hawks (60-22). Last season one of the reasons they won 60 games was being lucky with health, but they don’t start the season that way with Kent Bazemore starting and Thabo Sefolosha coming off the bench while still trying to recover from his run-in with the NYPD. Expect Atlanta to climb the rankings the first few weeks thanks to a soft schedule.

source: 13. Pelicans (45-37). I like to think this team will take a step forward under Alvin Gentry, and Anthony Davis will be in the MVP conversation, but they are banged up to start the season. No Tyreke Evans or Norris Cole, plus Jrue Holiday can only go 15 minutes a night. That and a tough schedule could mean a slow start.

source: 14. Jazz (38-44). Coach Quin Snyder did such a good job developing players and building a system that he’s had to spend part of preseason tamping down the expectations. Utah is a trendy pick to make the playoffs and Rudy Gobert is expected to be in the hunt for Defensive Player of the Year. If the Jazz play like they did the second half of last season both those things can happen.

source: 15. Bucks (41-41). They became everybody’s favorite up-and-coming last season then added Greg Monroe this summer. That said, I don’t expect a huge leap because they lack outside shooting and it will mess with their spacing. Also, I expect Greivis Vasquez to start getting key minutes late in games over Michael Carter-Williams sooner rather than later.

<source: 16. Suns (39-43). After five seasons out of the playoffs, owner Robert Sarver has put pressure on everyone to end that drought. They brought in Tyson Chandler to improve their defense, and look out for T.J. Warren to have a bit of a breakout season.

source: 17. Mavericks (50-32). I don’t like to read much into the preseason, but going 0-7 with the worst offense in the Association is still a bit concerning. Getting Wesley Matthews back sooner than expected should help those numbers from becoming a season-long trend.

source: 18. Pistons (32-50). I’m predicting this team climbs up and makes the playoffs in the East behind a revamped offense that puts up points. Stanley Johnson has impressed and is a dark horse ROY candidate, and watch Reggie Bullock have a strong season. Andre Drummond delaying signing his contract extension is a huge boost for the Pistons next summer.

source: 19. Pacers (38-44). He resisted it at first but once he got comfortable there Paul George looked good at the four — he looks like he is back. The question with the Pacers is defense, and how much rookie Myles Turner can play and help them there.

source: 20. Kings (29-53, LW 26). They played faster and shot threes like wild in the preseason (DeMarcus Cousins was 1-of-12 from deep). It feels like this team will be Jekyll and Hyde from night to night, week to week.

source: 21. Celtics (40-42). I love the Amir Johnson pickup and Marcus Smart had a strong preseason, but I’m not as high on this team as many. They have a pretty challenging first few weeks of the season to test how good they really are.

source: 22. Magic (25-57). Scott Skiles is going to make this team better than a lot of people expect, but we may not see that the first couple weeks of the season thanks to a difficult schedule (they start Wizards, Thunder, Bulls).

source: 23. Hornets (33-49). The Michael Kidd-Gilchrist injury sets them back from playoff team in the East to one that likely doesn’t have enough defense to get to .500 and in that mix. Jeremy Lin put up nice numbers in the preseason.

source: 24. Timberwolves (16-66). Rest in peace Flip Saunders. I’m excited to watch the team he put together — Ricky Rubio, Andrew Wiggins, Karl-Anthony Towns — try to figure things out as the season moves on.

source: 25. Lakers (21-61). The Lakers continue to walk a line between not wanting to be as bad as they were a year ago — so they bring in veterans and keep Metta World Peace — and rebuilding. For example, they brought in Roy Hibbert to improve their defense (that didn’t work great in the preseason by the numbers) and if he can this ranking may be a little low for them.

source: 26. Nuggets (30-52). I think Emmanuel Mudiay is going to be a very good player in this league (and in the ROY running) but he’s going to have a bumpy season — he had 27 assists and 24 turnovers in the preseason. If I were to bet on one team trading a veteran this season, it would be Denver.

source: 27. Knicks (17-65, LW 29). Carmelo Anthony put up strong shooting numbers in the preseason, we’ll see if that trend continues with a challenging opening week (Bucks, Hawks, Wizards). I like the idea of starting Kristaps Porzingis, throw him into the deep end and let him learn through his mistakes.

source: 28. Nets (38-44). They have Brook Lopez and Joe Johnson, plus a good coach in Lionel Hollins, but this team is going to struggle. They finally got under the salary cap again and have money to spend next summer, but that came with sacrifices on the court.

source: 29. Trail Blazers (51-31). Consider putting C.J. McCollum on your fantasy team, he’s the only guy not named Lillard who can be trusted to create shots and score on this team.

source: 30. 76ers (18-64). They are going to run the offense through Jahlil Okafor, but without Robert Covington and Nik Stauskas to start the season (due to injury) defenses will collapse on him and as good as the rookie may be he can only do so much.

Mark Cuban’s plan for a restart, “I don’t think we can go the old tried and true way”

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Wild, fanciful ideas for restarting the NBA that would never fly in a typical year — 1-16 seeding, or maybe a soccer World Cup-style group stage — are getting an airing this season because everything is on the table. As the NBA moves closer to a restart plan, countless ideas are being floated.

Mavericks owner Mark Cuban has his own plan.

Shocking, I know. But it’s interesting.

“What I proposed is that we extend the playoff format to 10 teams from each conference, and play at least five games prior to going into playoffs,” Cuban said laying out is plan to NBC’s Mike Tirico on “Lunch Talk Live.” And if we do that, every team in the Eastern Conference would have a chance to make the playoffs, and all but two in the Western Conference would do it [Ed. note: Golden State and Minnesota].

“Then, what I would do, once we got 10 and 10, I would reseed them, and 17 would play 20, and 18 would play 19, in a one-game series. The winner then would take on the eighth-place seed in a five-game series, while the No. 1 seed in each conference would get a bye. Then you go ahead normally from there.

“That gives us a chance to have more meaningful games, it gives almost every team a chance when we come back for whatever is left of our regular season. I think we’ve got to change it up some, I don’t think we can go the old tried and true way.”

Cuban later added, speaking to ESPN’s Tim MacMahon, that he wants to see all 30 teams come to Orlando for regular season games, building excitement for the NBA’s return in every market. This dream, however, seems a long shot, and Damian Lillard spoke for a lot of players when he said he’s not playing if there is not a path to the playoffs for Portland.

Cuban’s point that this is the year to try something different, not to play it safe, has real validity. This season is already upside down due to the corona

Cuban’s plan is a long shot, but is it any longer a shot than any of the other ones out there?

 

Wizards’ Bradley Beal: Thunder considered trading James Harden for me on draft day 2012

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The first three picks of the 2012 NBA Draft, which was held in June:

1. New Orleans Hornets (now Pelicans): Anthony Davis

2. Charlotte Bobcats (now Hornets): Michael Kidd-Gilchrist

3. Washington Wizards: Bradley Beal

That August, the Thunder reportedly offered to trade James Harden to Washington for Beal. Washington reportedly rejected the offer due to Harden’s desire for a max contract extension (which Wizards owner Ted Leonsis denied). The Rockets were more than willing to pay Harden, and Oklahoma City dealt him to Houston that October.

Apparently, Washington had a chance to land Harden earlier that offseason.

Beal on “All The Smoke:”

We’re sitting in the draft room. Sure enough, my agent is tapping me. He’s like, “It’s possible you might go to OKC.” I said, “Damn, how am I going to go there? I ain’t even worked out for OKC.” I only worked out for three teams – Washington, Cleveland and Charlotte.

So, the deal was to trade James to Washington, right? OKC gets the third pick. It was either the second or third pick. They were going to trade up to 2 or 3, get me, trade James to Washington.

I would have been in OKC with KD and Russ.

That was a last-minute decision. It was almost done.

I can’t tell whether Beal is also revealing a Harden-to-Charlotte offer or just got mixed up on which teams held the Nos. 2 and 3 picks. Obviously, if Beal was the main prize to the Thunder, they would’ve cared only minimally whether they got him with the No. 2 or No. 3 pick. So, there might have been trade talks with Charlotte, too.

But I’m not convinced Oklahoma City valued Beal that way.

The Thunder were a championship contender. They had just lost in the 2012 NBA Finals to the Heat. Oklahoma City couldn’t have depended on a rookie Beal to contribute on that level.

That’s why – in addition to picks/young player acquired from the Rockets for Harden – the Thunder also got Kevin Martin. The veteran Martin was much better than Beal in 2012-13. (Ironically, the open title window was also a strong argument for just keeping Harden, whatever his contract status).

But the 2012-13 season didn’t go as planned for Oklahoma City. Russell Westbrook got hurt early in the playoffs, and the Thunder lost to the Grizzlies in the second round. Martin left for a lucrative contract with the Timberwolves the following summer.

Even with the long runway Kevin Durant and Westbrook provided, Oklahoma City never got back to the Finals. Beal could have grown into a third star whose shooting complemented the duo. The Thunder might have won a championship with this trade (or, again, just keeping Harden).

The Wizards almost certainly would have won more. Harden has perennially gotten the Rockets to the playoff. (They’ve gone further in years he has had more help.) Beal hasn’t singlehandedly carried Washington like that.

So, this is an interesting “what if?” – if you take it at face value.

Beal’s agent warning him of a trade possibility means something. But we don’t know which other pieces were involved.

The Thunder didn’t trade Harden until just before the rookie-scale-extension deadline, suggesting they wanted to give themselves time to extend him themselves before taking the drastic step of trading him. Would Beal have been enough of a return to give up in June (or even August) on keeping Harden? Maybe. Harden didn’t fully blossom until reaching Houston. But I’m skeptical. At minimum, Harden had already established himself as young and good. Beal was young, promising and under greater team control. There’s significant value in the certainty of a player being at least a near-star, and Harden – not Beal – had that.

Even in hindsight, we’re still revisiting the situation with only limited information.

Report: NBA games could resume in August, not July

Bucks center Brook Lopez and Raptors center Marc Gasol
Steve Russell/Toronto Star via Getty Images
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A week ago, the NBA was looking to resume games in July at Disney World.

Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN:

In fact, there’s a possibility the first games played in Orlando could be in August, not July, sources said.

It’s good the NBA is being flexible on a start date. The coronavirus presents so much uncertainty.

The league is approaching its most lucrative time – the playoffs. The NBA should make every effort to play the postseason, whenever that can be done safely.

Everyone can figure out next season later, especially because there’s a willingness to delay the start.

Report: Pistons searching for new general manager

Pistons executive Ed Stefanski
Chris Schwegler/NBAE via Getty Images
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The Pistons hired Ed Stefanski as a senior advisor to owner Tom Gores in 2018. Among Stefanski’s duties: Assist in the ongoing search for a new head of basketball operations. But it quickly became clear Stefanski would just run the front office himself.

Now, two years later, Detroit is finally getting around to that general-manager search.

Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN:

The Detroit Pistons are opening a search to hire a general manager to work with senior advisor Ed Stefanski, sources tell ESPN.

Stefanski will be working with Pistons and Palace Sports Vice Chairman Arn Tellem on the process to hire a GM, sources said.

Rod Beard of The Detroit News:

If Stefanski is still running the front office, a new general manager would be the No. 2 – equivalent to assistant general manager on many teams.

After taking over an inflexible roster left by Stan Van Gundy, Stefanski couldn’t do much. Stefanski’s big move was trading Andre Drummond to the Cavaliers just before the trade deadline. That positioned Detroit to have major cap space next offseason, but it’s unclear how much will actually materialize. The salary cap could drop due to the coronavirus pandemic.

The Pistons must determine whether they’re still building around Blake Griffin, the 31-year-old due $36,810,996 and $38,957,028 the next two years. Last season, he returned to stardom and carried Detroit into the playoffs. This season, he missed most of the year due to injury.

If they’re trying to win now with Griffin, the Pistons are short on quality complementary players. If Detroit is ready to rebuild, its pool of young talent – Luke Kennard, Sekou Doumbouya, Bruce Brown, impending free agent Christian Wood, its own first-round pick – is hardly assured of success.

After years of being stuck on a path charted under the Van Gundy regime, the Pistons can soon pick a new course. This is the time get the front office up to full staffing.