From 2003 to 2007, 36 foreign-born were drafted in the first round of the NBA Draft.
Those heady days are gone, in years that number has fallen — this season it is expected to be three or four. Teams are being more picky and expecting those players to make an impact.
The biggest name is Dante Exum, the Australian combo guard who is likely to go in the top five or six picks. However, there are two other European players expected to be drafted in the lottery, Dario Saric and Josuf Nurkic? They have flown under the radar.
What should you know about them?
Dario Saric is a 6’10” point-forward style player out of Croatia. He is maybe the most versatile offensive player in this draft, he has impressive ball handling skills for his size, great scoring instincts (in the post and in transition), plus he can pass. He plays a high IQ game, which scouts always like.
“He has the ability to handle the ball well for his size (6’10) and having strong passing and scoring instincts. He is going to have some issues dealing with the strength of many NBA fours on defense, and while he rebounded well in the Adriatic League, I think he will have some problems with that in the NBA if he doesn’t add some muscle. The other concern is he really isn’t a great perimeter shooter, though he has improved, but being able to knock down shots consistently will likely be the key to him getting meaningful minutes quickly in the NBA.”
It might take a couple years for him to develop, but Saric has impressive potential.
It may take a little longer for the other European Josuf Nurkic — a 6’10” center out of Bosnia — to develop. He’s got NBA size and can use that physicality, but he is a bit of a project. There are things to like — toughness, good footwork, he’s an efficient scorer with a good touch around the rim, and he works hard for rebounds.
That said he’s not athletic for a center by NBA standards, and he needs to learn how to play defense and just gain experience in general. He could spend time in Europe for seasoning before coming over.
Here is Isaacson on Nurkic:
“He has shown that he can be a tough scorer around the basket and he has some good footwork for someone his size, but he really is still learning the game, something that is very evident when he is playing defense. He is likely a few years away from being ready for the NBA, and he may be better off staying in Europe a few more years to develop.”
DraftExpress has Saric going in the lottery and Nurkic going just after it, although Isaacson warns Nurkic could drop some.
The only other Euro who could go in the first round is Swiss big man Clint Capela, a 6’11” power forward. He’s an impressive athlete for his size and has great potential at both ends of the floor, but he is a big who loves his jumper that isn’t that good. When he gets to the rim and plays within himself you see the potential, but his feel for the game isn’t there and it leads to problems. It’s about polish and working hard to get those skills where he needs them.
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