Joel Embiid made official what everyone expected on Wednesday:
Embiid announced he is entering the NBA Draft. He said so at a press conference at Kansas University, with Jayhawks coach Bill Self next to him. Here is what he said, via the Topeka Capital-Journal:
“Looking at different scenarios and gathering info of what was best for me … either way was best for me,” Embiid said. “Talking to my mentor, it was best the choice.”
While Embiid had publicly flirted with the idea of staying another year at KU, when you are a potential No. 1 pick (and really not lower than No 2 on anybody’s draft board) you should come out. You can still go back and get your degree, but that is millions of guaranteed dollars (and starting the clock later on future earnings) you are leaving on the table.
Embiid as a prospect wowed NBA scouts — he’s an athletic, mobile, a 7-foot center who averaged 11.2 points (shooting 63 percent), 8.1 rebounds and 2.6 blocks a game for the Jayhawks tis season. And he’s only been playing the game a handful of years, his potential is higher than anyone’s in this draft, even Andrew Wiggins (because of his size).
PBT’s NBA Draft expert, Ed Isaacson of NBAdraftblog.com and Rotoworld, confirmed that Embiid is likely a top two pick, a good rim protector whose offensive game developed quickly, a good sign. The potential is there. However, to quote Isaacson speaking to PBT, “He likely needs a lot more all-around development than people realize.”
Then there is the back question.
Embiid missed the last six games of the season including the NCAA Tournament with a stress fracture in his lower back. That has raised the eyebrows of NBA teams — depending on where it is on the spine and on that individual vertebra it could have long-term implications. Self and Kansas played it down, but NBA teams will want their doctors to get a good look at this before investing in him.
It could be nothing — Andre Drummond had a stress fracture in his lower back that healed and shows no signs of impacting him now — but it could be something. NBA teams are cautious that way after having watched other highly drafted big men have their bodies betray them.
If Embiid gets a clean bill of health he may well be the No. 1 pick. If it’s not, it’s because whoever wins the lottery likes Wiggins’ potential better. But Embiid would go No. 2. (It’s hard to make any kind of legitimate mock draft before the NBA Draft lottery.)