We’ve talked a lot about the defensive problems of the New York Knicks with Tyson Chandler out — and with good reason. In the last five games with him sidelined they have a defensive rating of 111.2, six points higher than their season average and 2.3 points higher than the worst defense in the NBA last season (Charlotte).
But their defense may not be their biggest problem (Chandler will return).
The Knicks won 54 games last season mostly thanks to a career year from Carmelo Anthony and a whole lot of made threes, leading to an offensive rating of 108.6 points per 100 possessions. This season they are at 99.7. That’s almost 9 points per 100 possessions worse (and the Knicks average 95 possessions a game).
This season, the Knicks’ 3-pointers and free throws attempted, key indicators of offensive effectiveness, are down significantly. The decline is a reflection of how much harder they have had to work for their points.
The back-line defense of Andrea Bargnani, a newcomer, has been thoroughly scrutinized, but less has been made of Raymond Felton’s disappearance. Felton struggled with injury at the start of the season, and his jump shot has yet to recover. Perhaps more important, he has not been able to consistently initiate the Knicks’ drive-and-kick offense.
Whether Felton’s ineffective play is the cause or the result of the Knicks’ lack of spacing and ball movement is unclear. But the impact is obvious: More and more of the Knicks’ possessions are running through Carmelo Anthony in the post….
Anthony, rather than finding his offense on catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and cuts to the basket, is being forced to create his opportunities from scratch. Even for a scorer with Anthony’s gifts, it is a grueling, inefficient way to earn points. Anthony has labored to carry the offense, but he cannot be expected to score 40 points every night.
Felton is a little banged up and could sit out a couple games, but is health the only issue here? In addition to Anthony last year the Knicks used a lot of the Felton/Chandler pick-and-roll to create offense, except now Felton doesn’t have one of the game’s best screen setters to work off of (plus Chandler finishes very well at the rim).
Thing is, this is all correctable. It is still very early in the season. As ugly as it has been in stretches show me an aggressive Felton and some knocked down threes, suddenly things would look different. It would be nice to see Mike Woodson give more minutes to Pablo Prigioni because the ball moves better when he is on the court, but in the end it is Felton who, along with Anthony, must lead the Knicks offense back.