Odds for the NBA Draft Lottery (that teams don’t care if they win)

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The NBA lottery is totally fixed, but in the interest of appeasing the NBA, we’re going to share the odds the league says each team has of receiving each pick.

We will add that it’s been a long time since there was this little buzz around the NBA about the lottery — because nobody really cares if they get the top pick. A couple teams have already hinted that if they win it, they are going to shop it around for a trade. Why? There are some nice players in this draft (Nerlens Noel, Trey Burke) but no real franchise changers. Future starters, some good rotation players, but whoever gets drafted at the top of this class will have expectations on him he almost certainly will not meet.

The lottery determines only the top three picks, so not each team can receive each pick. For example, the eighth-seeded Wizards are eligible to land only picks 1, 2, 3, 8, 9, 10 or 11.

Here are the full odds for each team:

Magic

  • One: 25 percent
  • Two: 21.507 percent
  • Three: 17.76753 percent
  • Four: 35.72541 percent

Bobcats

  • One: 19.9 percent
  • Two: 18.80896 percent
  • Three: 17.11759 percent
  • Four: 31.85529 percent
  • Five: 12.31814 percent
  • Thirteen: 0.00065 percent (from Trail Blazers)

Cavaliers

  • One: 15.6 percent
  • Two: 15.73695 percent
  • Three: 15.58053 percent
  • Four: 22.56471 percent
  • Five: 26.48206 percent
  • Six: 4.03576 percent

Suns

  • One: 11.9 percent
  • Two: 12.59662 percent
  • Three: 13.29535 percent
  • Four: 9.85451 percent
  • Five: 35.05137 percent
  • Six: 16.04898 percent
  • Seven: 1.25314 percent

Pelicans

  • One: 8.8 percent
  • Two: 9.65468 percent
  • Three: 10.6772 percent
  • Five: 26.14841 percent
  • Six: 35.96765 percent
  • Seven: 8.38169 percent
  • Eight: 0.37034 percent

Kings

  • One: 6.3 percent
  • Two: 7.09618 percent
  • Three: 8.11381 percent
  • Six: 43.94758 percent
  • Seven: 30.43731 percent
  • Eight: 4.00008 percent
  • Nine: 0.10503 percent

Pistons

  • One: 3.6 percent
  • Two: 4.16257 percent
  • Three: 4.91491 percent
  • Seven: 59.92783 percent
  • Eight: 25.30111 percent
  • Nine: 2.05964 percent
  • Ten: 0.03393 percent

Wizards

  • One: 3.5 percent
  • Two: 4.0507 percent
  • Three: 4.78819 percent
  • Eight: 70.32848 percent
  • Nine: 16.52498 percent
  • Ten: 0.79965 percent
  • Eleven: 0.00801 percent

Timberwolves

  • One: 1.7 percent
  • Two: 1.99974 percent
  • Three: 2.40995 percent
  • Nine: 81.31034 percent
  • Ten: 12.19939 percent
  • Eleven: 0.37823 percent
  • Twelve: 0.00235 percent

Trail Blazers

  • One: 1.1 percent
  • Two: 1.30074 percent
  • Three: 1.57717 percent
  • Ten: 86.96703 percent
  • Eleven: 8.87541 percent
  • Twelve: 0.179 percent

76ers

  • One: 0.8 percent
  • Two: 0.94844 percent
  • Three: 1.15345 percent
  • Eleven: 90.73834 percent
  • Twelve: 6.28269 percent
  • Thirteen: 0.07694 percent
  • Fourteen: 0.00013 percent

Raptors

  • One: 0.7 percent
  • Two: 0.83059 percent
  • Three: 1.01114 percent

Mavericks

  • One: 0.6 percent
  • Two: 0.71255 percent
  • Three: 0.86829 percent
  • Thirteen: 96.02189 percent
  • Fourteen: 1.79737 percent

Jazz

  • One: 0.5 percent
  • Two: 0.59429 percent
  • Three: 0.7249 percent
  • Fourteen: 98.1809 percent

Thunder

  • Twelve: 93.53599 percent (from Raptors via Rockets)
  • Thirteen: 3.90061 percent (from Raptors via Rockets)
  • Fourteen: 0.02169 percent (from Raptors via Rockets)

Celtics interim coach Mazzulla to coach Team Giannis in All-Star Game

New York Knicks (120) Vs. Boston Celtics (117) At TD Garden (OT)
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One way to remove the “interim” tag from your coaching resume is to earn the right to coach in the All-Star Game.

Boston Celtics interim coach Joe Mazzula and his staff will coach Team Giannis in the All-Star Game this season. It became official when the 76ers fell to the Magic on Tuesday night, ensuring the Celtics would have the best record in the East by the cut-off date this Sunday.

The Celtics are 36-15 and in first place in the Eastern Conference, even though they have lost 3-of-4 (and needed overtime and a bad no-call on a LeBron James potential game-winner to get that victory). They have a top-five offense and defense in the league and have looked like the team to beat since the start of the season, even if they have had a few injuries and looked bored with the regular season of late.

Mazzulla deserves credit for helping the team move past former coach Ime Udoka was suspended due to an improper affair with a franchise employee. It could have been a distraction that blew up the Boston season, but he got them focused beyond that, and with that could get some Coach of the Year votes (in a crowded field).

First, however, he has to coach the All-Star Game.

Are Pistons going to hold on to Bojan Bodanovic into next season?

Milwaukee Bucks v Detroit Pistons
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For much of the run-up to the Feb. 9 trade deadline, Bojan Bogdanovic has been one of the best and most discussed players available. The 6’8″ wing who can knock down 3s and do some secondary shot creation could help a lot of teams.

One of those is the Pistons, who want to take a big step forward next season. Bogdanovic told Michael Scotto of Hoops Hype the front office spoke to him, and it doesn’t sound like he will get traded.

“Having conversations with the club, Troy [Weaver, general manager] and the owners, they assured me that we’re going to be great next year,” Bogdanovic said. “We have a lot of cap space to sign great players. We’re going to have a high pick again, so that’s going to help us a lot. We have a great young group of guys. When Cade [Cunningham] went down, that kind of hurt us big time. We were thinking that maybe we’d be fighting for the play-in tournament, but when he went down, he was our main guy. All of our offensive strategies were connected to him. When he went down, our season, we’ve had a lot of ups and downs without him.”

The Pistons reportedly have set the price for Bogdanovic at an unprotected first-round pick, which is very steep. This may simply be a case of Detroit being willing to keep Bogdanovic around if nobody wants to meet that price. They did just extend him for two years, $39.1 million and he would be the kind of professional veteran that is good to have in the locker room around a younger team.

Bogdanovic, for his part, would rather not hear the rumors.

“I heard the rumors, but I’m trying to stay away from those conversations,” Bogdanovic said. “I don’t even have any social media like Twitter. I don’t read much about that. It’s not in my control. It’s about the franchises. I’m just going to try and stay focused and play as best I can. Then, we’ll see what’s going to happen at the end of the trade deadline.”

The rumors are not going anywhere, they will stick around through the trade deadline. Bogdanovic may as well.

Report: Mavericks looking for another star at trade deadline. Good luck with that.

Toronto Raptors v Sacramento Kings
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Two things are true. First, the painted-over mural was right, the Dallas Mavericks desperately need a second star to go next to Luka Dončić. Second, they have backed themselves into a corner without the trade assets or cap space to easily make that happen.

It may be a longshot, but the Mavericks are open to trading anyone but Dončić to find that second star at the deadline, Callie Caplan of the Dallas Morning News reminds us.

It shouldn’t be a surprise Dallas is open to this, of course they are.

The challenges start with, what star is available? The best player maybe on the market right now is John Collins or Bojan Bogdanovic, and while both would help the Mavericks neither is changing the team’s fortunes the way they would hope.

If Toronto decides to become sellers things get interesting. However, as of the latest reports, they are on the fence and telling teams they are waiting to decide what they will do at the deadline (sell, stand pat, or become buyers). Fred VanVleet could be available, and would essentially be a Jalen Brunson replacement, certainly a step up from where the Mavericks are currently. However, the Clippers and others could drive up the asking price, plus the Mavericks would have to step up and pay him this summer, VanVleet is expected to opt out of his $22.8 million contract. O.G. Anunoby would be a great fit next to Dončić, but he is not a star, he is more of a high-level role player.

Pascal Siakam could be that second star next to Dončić, a 6’8″ wing who can finish at the rim, shoot 3s, and would be a great secondary shot creator. It’s a good fit. Siakam is not an elite defender — Dallas would want some 3&D guys added to the roster — but he would be the kind of addition Dallas needs.

Dallas can offer its three first-round picks starting in 2024, but is some combination of those picks and Spencer Dinwiddie, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Wood and Dorian Finney-Smith going to entice the Raptors? They will look for a massive package for Siakam and likely see better offers than Dallas can construct.

It may not be easy to pull off, and likely will wait until the offseason (at the earliest), but know the Mavericks are serious about a second star.

Knicks reportedly very interested in Anunoby, if Raptors make him available

Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors
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The Toronto Raptors are the one team that could move this trade deadline from a dud to shaking up the playoff race. There are 29 other GMs waiting to see what Massai Ujiri will do, and when they called, they’ve been told “the franchise will make a decision about being a buyer or seller – or standing pat – near deadline day,” reports Shams Charania of The Athletic.

If Toronto does decide to trade a player beyond the expected Gary Trent Jr., then the Knicks want to be at the front of the line for defensive wing O.G. Anunoby, Charania reports.

The Knicks and Suns are among the interested suitors in Raptors forward O.G. Anunoby, sources say. New York has shown a willingness to offer multiple first-round picks for Anunoby, according to those sources. The Suns, meanwhile, have control of all of their first-round picks — eight in total —through 2030. SNY first reported the Knicks’ interest last week.

There would be a lot of teams in line for Anunoby, but he is a very Thibodeau-style player — an All-Defensive Team level wing stopper who can finish and is averaging 16.9 points per game — so you can see where the interest comes from. Anunoby also is just 25 and is locked in next season at $18.6 million. While the demand for wings in general is lower this trade season — point guards and centers are more in demand — a lot of teams could use a player the quality of Anunoby. Including the Knicks.

Getting him won’t be cheap — two unprotected first-round picks (or lightly protected) with matching salary would be the price range.

All of that is moot if the Raptors don’t make him available, which is what everyone is waiting to see.