The New York Daily News reports that the current plan is for Stern to inform the owners that he will step down after two more seasons, presumably after the 2013-14 season. From the Daily News:
Insiders say that David Stern is planning to tell NBA owners at their April Board of Governors meeting that he’s good for two more seasons, and that he’ll step down as commissioner then. “At one point, he had talked about doing it for one more season, but it looks now like two more,” said a league source. League suits say there probably won’t even be a search conducted to find a successor and that deputy commissioner Adam Silver is a lock to succeed Stern, with one source saying Stern’s lieutenant has the backing of almost 90% of the owners. All he needs is a simple majority.
My dad has said he’s going to retire for about four years. He has every reason to. A legacy built, financial stability, a loving family, a grandson he needs to get off his tail and come help babysit and I mean like, now. But he hasn’t. Because these things are liquid.
Stern’s probably ready to go, but he has other things he wants to help weather. He has responsibilities he wants to manage, and commitments he’s already given. He could move it up and decide to be done this year. It could be three more. This is a verification of the talk he’s already provided regarding the fact he won’t be around for the next CBA discussion (likely in six years). It’s an idea of what Stern’s thinking but it’s nothing concrete. He could give them a specific date and then change his mind. He’s got tenure, he’ll leave when he wants.
Silver will take over. This is all predictable, but the day is still a malleable entity.