If Cavs sends Baron Davis packing, Lakers or Knicks may win

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As we wait for Billy Hunter and David Stern to sit down and bother to talk to one another, one of the favorite games of NBA fans has become “amnesty clause roulette.”

Who will teams waive with the amnesty clause when the season stars again? Then, where will that player land?

Few scenarios are as interesting as Cleveland. There they have Baron Davis, a point guard on a team that spent the No. 1 pick on Kyrie Irving and also have Ramon Sessions in house. Davis is owed $13.9 million this season and $14.7 million next season (although you can buy him out of that second year for “just” $12.8 million).

Davis says he wants to mentor Irving, but the Clippers traded him to Cleveland (and sent the first round pick that became Irving) to get Davis and his questionable work ethic and attitude away from their young team. Ah, but it is not that simple, as ESPN pointed out in its look at players likely to get the amnesty axe.

The Cavs are known to not value cap space as much as trade assets. They’ve also been on a mission to acquire future draft picks since the departure of LeBron James. There’s also one more issue: If the Cavs were to burn their amnesty card on Davis, sources say LeBron’s Heat would become an instant suitor and serious threat to sign Baron … which would be painful beyond words for Cavs owner Dan Gilbert to stomach.

Miami needs a point guard and Davis, for all his flaws and focus issues, is way better than Mike Bibby. Except, Marc Stein reports at ESPN that Miami is not on top of Davis’ list.

Davis’ hometown Los Angeles Lakers and the New York Knicks, sources say, are the two teams he’s always dreamed of playing for.

Davis also still has a good relationship with the Charlotte community, Bobcats coach Paul Silas and Bobcats assistant coach Stephen Silas, all of which would likewise make the Bobcats an option if Michael Jordan is interested.

The Lakers need a new point guard for new coach Mike Brown’s system, and Davis is better than Derek Fisher or Steve Blake. But could he really be a facilitator in the classic sense, because in Los Angeles Kobe/Gasol/Bynum get the shots? New York is fascinating — when focused Davis is very good in the open court and could fit well in a Mike D’Antoni system. But Davis would be going to a city known to distract and would have to back up Chauncey Billups next season.

This is one of the fascinating things about the amnesty clause — it will make some elite teams better. There are guys who are likely going to get waived — Rashard Lewis, Andres Nocioni, Beno Udrih — can still contribute and it is the contenders that will go after them. Contenders can promise a shot at a ring if these guys will play a role on a veteran team, and most will jump at it.

No team may benefit as much as the Miami Heat, a team is need of quality role players on the cheap. But they might not get Baron Davis.