So long as NBA hardliners drive bus, labor talks will crash

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When NBA labor talks broke down 17 days ago, the owners blamed it on Kevin Garnett. And Kobe Bryant and Paul Pierce, but mostly KG and his legendary glare. The two sides had been making progress in talks, but those three NBA stars came in and drew a hard line at 53 percent of basketball related income (BRI). Those three represented the hardliners driving the bus for the players, and they crashed the talks.

Thursday labor talks broke down and the players’ union blamed it on Blazers owner Paul Allen and Cavaliers owner Dan Gilbert (on orders from the hardliners at the NBA Board of Governors meeting). The sides had been making progress in talks the last three days, but those two NBA owners came in and drew a hard line at a 50/50 split of BRI. Those were the hardliners driving the bus for the owners, and they crashed the talks.

We — and by we I mean NBA fans and much of the media that covers it — thought the NBA lockout would have come to a resolution by now because, while the hardliners ruled the summer, cooler heads would emerge in the fall. The smart people in the room would not get emotional, they would get a deal done. The majority on both sides were not stupid enough to cost weeks of games, were not stupid enough to kill the momentum built up last season for a couple of percentage points.

We were wrong.

We were wrong because hardliners on both sides are driving the bus. When was the last time something good happened when hardliners were running the show?

This is particularly true on the owners’ side — they blew up this latest progress after they got together and talked as a group last Wednesday and Thursday. Hardliners represent at least a large enough majority on both sides right now all that we see is a couple days of meetings, then the two sides get pissed at each other, storm out of the room and don’t talk for a few days. Well, they talk to the media — as if either side could win the PR war — but not to each other. The NFL owners and union met for 16 straight days to get a deal done; the three days this week were the most the NBA owners and players have met in two years of talks.

Right now, both sides are convinced the hardliners on the other side will crack first. It’s a stupid game of chicken nobody is winning. Nobody.

But to them it is about winning, and it’s about the money that comes with winning. It is about greed. Especially from the owners, who want more profits from the games in their stadiums often built with public funds. The owners have Gilbert saying the players need to “trust him.” Does anybody trust a guy who made his money giving away mortgage loans like candy during the real estate boom?

The owners (both sides, but particularly the owners) want to win so badly and get that money that they are willing to shrink the pie they are fighting to divide up. They are throwing away the salaries and revenue that would flow from games that are now canceled.

They are willing to alienate fans who will be slow to come back — read the comments on this site and others and you will see casual fans who are disgusted. The hardcore fans will come back. The more casual sports fan will grow more and more apathetic and it will be harder and harder to get them to return.

The talks are going to keep crashing so long as the hardliners are driving the bus. And we may see a lot more crashes before the two sides cross the finish line.

Danny Green: Kawhi Leonard told me he wants to stay with Spurs

AP Photo/Eric Gay
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The Spurs are reportedly worried Kawhi Leonard‘s camp wants to get him to the Lakers, Clippers, Knicks or 76ers.

Leonard hasn’t said much himself – except apparently to San Antonio teammate Danny Green

Get Up on ESPN:

Green:

I talk to him here and there, check up on him, see how he’s doing.

I think he wants to be in San Antonio. He’s let me know that. He’s let me know verbally he wanted to be there. So, we’ll see what happens.

Green has tried playing peacemaker throughout this saga – going as far as denying tension that clearly exists. He’s not the most reliable source.

And even if Leonard explicitly told Green he wants to remain in San Antonio, I’m not sure Leonard is confrontational enough to tell Green he wanted out, even if he did.

Those caveats acknowledged, this could be a huge revelation.

If Leonard wants to stay with the Spurs, the next step is meeting with them, mending their relationship and convincing them he deserves a super-max extension (which projects to be worth $219 million over five years). No matter how Leonard feels about San Antonio right now, if the Spurs don’t trust investing so much in him, that could lead to a fractured relationship and his exit.

So, there’s still a lot to sort out. But Green saying this means something.

LeBron James flips elimination-game game on its head

AP Photo/Charles Krupa
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His Cavaliers down 3-2 to the Celtics in the Eastern Conference finals, how does LeBron James assess his situation?

"I don’t enjoy being in the position where it’s you lose and go home," LeBron said before Game 6 tonight in Cleveland.

He might not enjoy this position, but he’s pretty good in it.

Since he first reached the playoffs in 2006, other teams have won 26% of their elimination games. LeBron’s teams have won 57% of theirs.

Of course, LeBron hasn’t gone 12-9 in elimination games just because he’s lucky. He has willed his team off the mat numerous times.

LeBron has scored 40 points and/or had a triple-double in six straight elimination games, winning five of them. His line in his last elimination game before that streak? Just 32 points, 18 rebounds and nine assists.

A full history of LeBron’s elimination games:

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Rockets played with fire with Chris Paul, got burned

AP Photo/David J. Phillip
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Chris Paul played 79 minutes in three days.

Prior to Games 4 and 5 of these Western Conference finals, he hadn’t done that in more than two years. He hadn’t done it without both games going to overtime in more than three years.

The Rockets leaned heavily on the 33-year-old Paul, and they’ll pay the price.

Paul will miss Game 6 against the Warriors tomorrow. Given how quickly Houston ruled out Paul with a strained hamstring, he seems unlikely to play in a potential Game 7 Monday.

Injuries are somewhat – but not completely – random. Players are more susceptible when worn down. After missing the close of the 2016 postseason, Paul missed 45 games the last two regular seasons. He has accumulated a lot of mileage in his 13-year career.

Yet, Rockets coach Mike D’Antoni drastically shortened his rotation, anyway. Not only did Paul play big minutes in this series, he shouldered a huge load. He took the reins of the offense at times, allowing James Harden to conserve energy for defense, while maintaining his own strong-two way play. That’s never easy, especially in these high-intensity games.

This was the risk.

We can feel bad for Paul and his predicament. We can also acknowledge Houston got this far by gambling on Paul’s health.

That’s not to say it was a bad bet. This is what you save him for, the biggest playoff series of his career and maybe one of the last before he exits his prime. The Rockets would have been far worse off to this point resting Paul extensively and protecting him. Even with such a heavy workload, an injury was never fait accompli. And Houston got plenty from Paul before he went down. He was instrumental to wins in Game 4 and Game 5 that gave the Rockets a 3-2 lead in the Western Conference finals.

Now, they just must hope that’s enough of a head-start into a world of playing without Paul.

Chris Paul out for Rockets-Warriors Game 6

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The Rockets bought themselves margin for error by earning home-court advantage and taking a 3-2 lead in the Western Conference finals.

They’ll need it.

Chris Paul will miss Game 6 against the Warriors tomorrow with a strained hamstring.

Rockets release:

The Houston Rockets announced today that guard Chris Paul will miss Saturday’s game at Golden State with a right hamstring strain that occurred during the fourth quarter of last night’s game against the Warriors. He will be re-evaluated after the team returns to Houston.

Golden State was already heavily favored at home. This will tilt the odds even further in its favor.

But the Rockets aren’t completely incapable without Paul. They went 15-9 without him this season. James Harden and Eric Gordon can assume extra playmaking duty.

Still, this is a massive loss. When Harden is overburdened offensively, his defense suffers. Gordon is already playing a lot of minutes, so greater responsibility will come in role, not playing time. To fill Paul’s minutes, Mike D’Antoni will have to expand a rotation he had masterfully tightened. Gerald Green could play more. Luc Mbah a Moute could return to the rotation.

A Game 7 looks increasingly likely. Will Paul return for that? The 2018 NBA title might hinge on that question.

Given how quickly the Rockets announced Paul would miss Game 6, there isn’t much reason for optimism about Paul’s availability three days from now, either.