Quarterfinal knockout round set at EuroBasket

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There has been drama — like the Russian win Monday that eliminated Macedonia.

There have been surprises — none bigger that Germany being eliminated in group play and thereby eliminated from the Olympics. Dirk Nowitzki admitted later he was tired and maybe not able to help his team as much as he wanted to.

And now we are down to a final eight at EuroBasket, the Olympic qualifying tournament. This means we are in the knockout stage — one and done. The two finalists will get their passports stamped for England as they will earn berths in the 2012 London Olympics. Finishers two through six are headed to the pre-Olympics last chance qualifying tournament next July.

Here are the four quarterfinal games:

Spain vs. Slovenia: Spain has been the best team in the tournament so far, compiling a 7-1 record behind brothers Marc and Pau Gasol. We all love to watch great perimeter players, but Ricky Rubio has struggled in EuroBasket and it hasn’t mattered because Spain has the best and most skilled front line. Big men win. Spain has depth to go behind them at every position. Anything less than an automatic Olympic bid would be a bitter disappointment for Spain.

Slovenia has not looked good of late and needed to beat Finland on Monday to get into the quarterfinals — they did 67-60, but it was a sloppy, unimpressive win. Slovina’s zone defense can be picked apart and Spain has the players to do it. If you want a silver lining, Slovenia does go in with no pressure against Spain. Just not sure that will be enough.

Macedonia vs. Lithuania: Macedonia has been on of the surprise teams of the tournament and they almost beat Russia on Monday (scroll down to see the video of Russia’s winning shot – that guy did not call bank). Macedonia is led by Bo McCalebb, who was raised and played his ball in the New Orleans area and now makes a nice living overseas.

Lithuania should beat them, but everybody has been surprised by Macedonia this tournament and if Lithuania coasts they will pay. Lithuania has some players you know, such as Darius Songaila, Sarunas Jasikeicius, and recent No. 5 pick of the Raptors Jonas Valanciunas. They move spectacularly well off the ball and are hard to defend. They are rightly favored in this game, but it will not be easy.

France vs. Greece: France came in with questions about their offense but Tony Parker has been the MVP of this tournament, leading the French to a 7-1 record (and the loss came to Spain when Parker and other key players were held out for rest). France has good defense with Joakim Noah in the paint and Nicolas Batum of Portland on the wing, plus they also have Boris Diaw. They expect one of those Olympic berths.

Greece has been solid all tournament but not spectacular — they do not look like the squad that knocked off the Americans the World Championships five years ago, in part because key players are not here. They are good enough not to get blown out of games but seem to lack the ability to finish.

Russia vs. Serbia: Russia has remained undefeated in this tournament (8-0) and Andrei Kirilenko has led the way averaging 13.9 points per game. They haven’t blown people away, but they have played solid all around basketball and in the crunch have found ways to win, like how they beat Macedonia in the final game of group play.

Serbia will be no pushover – this team beat out Dirk Nowitzki’s Germany and World Championship runner up Turkey to advance to this stage. Serbia has one of those classically European offenses with a lot of ball and player movement that when they are crisp is hard to stop. But their pick-and-roll defense has been exposed in this tournament and you can bet Russia will exploit it.

Harrison Barnes declining $25,102,512 player option with Kings

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Harrison Barnes‘ salary was so high, he became a talking point in the debate about WNBA salaries.

But he’s so confident enough he’ll a better deal, he’s leaving $25,102,512 on the table with the Kings.

James Ham of NBC Sports California:

If they renounce all their free agents, the Kings project to have about $60 million in cap space – likely more than they know what do with.

They could re-sign Barnes. By trading for him last year, they indicated they value him more than the rest of the league does.

Even if he settles for a lower salary next season than his player option called for, this could be the 27-year-old Barnes’ opportunity to secure a long-term deal. He’s a solid outside shooter and, even if he’s better at power forward, capable of playing small forward in a league thirsty for wings.

Sacramento could definitely use a player like him.

Can the Kings lure someone better, either this summer or – if they keep their books clean – a future year? Unless way overpaid, free agents have tended to avoid Sacramento. But the rapidly improving De'Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield are leading a turnaround.

Barnes’ free agency could be a good litmus test for the Kings’ reputation now. Can they convince him to continue his role on a rising team? Will they have to pay a premium to keep him? Or does he just want to leave?

Report: Anthony Davis intends to receive full trade bonus

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The Lakers are reportedly on track to trade for Anthony Davis on July 6 – the date an important distinction in determining the Lakers’ cap space.

The other key question: Will Davis take his full $4,063,953 trade bonus?

The Pelicans will pay the bonus. It will count against the Lakers’ cap.

Especially considering Davis requested a trade, New Orleans could have pressed him to waive the trade bonus in order to accommodate him. Likewise, the Lakers – his desired team – could have made the deal contingent on Davis waiving the trade bonus.

Ramona Shelburne on ESPN:

My understanding is he doesn’t intend to waive that. He’s due the four million dollars, and he’s going to keep it. But again, as you just noted in that monologue, things can change.

If he takes the full bonus, Davis’ salary next season will increase from $27,093,018 to $31,156,971. And good for him. He earned the trade kicker in his contract.

This also supports agent Rich Paul’s contention that he puts Davis’ interests first while representing Davis, not catering to fellow client LeBron James. Because while the extra money is nice for Davis, this hurts LeBron’s Lakers.

The Lakers now project to have just $24 million in cap room. They can still get a helpful player or two, but $28 million would have gone further.

I wonder whether the Pelicans prefer to pay Davis’ bonus. Though a $4,063,953 check is nothing to sneeze at, tying up the Lakers’ cap space has value with New Orleans getting so many future draft picks from Los Angeles. Maybe the Pelicans have already made Davis getting his full bonus an essential aspect of this trade.

If not, the Lakers have a week before the Davis trade can become official to pitch free agents. Perhaps, if they line up certain free agents and show him the spending power of that extra money, Davis would waive all or some of his trade bonus.

But I wouldn’t blame him if he wants his money and puts the onus on the Lakers to build a strong team, anyway. That’d sounds a lot like another Paul client.

Kawhi Leonard leaving NBA-champion Raptors would be unlike anything we’ve ever seen

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Many Raptors fans hoped Kawhi Leonard would use yesterday’s championship parade to declare his plan to re-sign with Toronto.

They got a laugh and not much else.

But they can be heartened – or maybe eventually heartbroken –a by this: Stars almost never switched teams immediately following a title.

Before this year, there have been…

  • 49 Finals MVPs who won a championship. None switched teams that offseason.
  • 147 All-Stars who won a championship. None switched teams that offseason.
  • 124 All-NBA players who won a championship. Only one switched teams that offseason.

In 1998, Scottie Pippen got signed-and-traded from the Bulls to the Rockets. He was neither an All-Star nor Finals MVP that year, but he made the All-NBA third team. After leaving Chicago, he never achieved any of those accolades.

Leonard checked all three boxes this season – Finals MVP, All-NBA, All-Star. He looks poised to take over as the NBA’s best player for the next few several years.

It’d be unprecedented for someone like him to bolt.

The most productive player to leave a championship team immediately after winning a title? It might be Tyson Chandler, who posted 9.4 win shares for the 2011 Mavericks then got signed-and-traded to the Knicks.

Even while missing 22 games amid load management and minor injury, Leonard posted 9.5 win shares last season.

Here’s how Leonard compares to the players with the most win shares in a title-winning season who began play elsewhere the following year:

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Of course, Leonard isn’t bound by history. He’ll make his own decision. If he wants to leave the Raptors for the Clippers, Knicks or anyone else, he can.

But players just usually stick with a champion. LeBron James said he might have re-signed with the Heat if they won the 2014 title. Kyrie Irving was unhappy after the Cavaliers’ 2016 championship but didn’t request a trade until they lost in the 2017 NBA Finals. Shaq and Kobe coexisted peacefully enough until the Lakers stopped winning titles.

It’s just hard to leave a team that has proven its ability to win a championship, and Leonard would have that in Toronto.

Report: Al Horford opting out with Celtics

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Celtics president Danny Ainge called restructuring Al Horford‘s contract status – which would involve the center declining his $30,123,015 player option then re-signing for a lower starting salary but more total compensation in a multi-year deal – a priority.

This is either a step toward that or a step toward Boston, with Kyrie Irving seemingly exiting, losing multiple stars this summer.

Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN:

If they renounce all their free agents, the Celtics would project to have about $32 million in cap space. That’d be about enough for a max player with fewer than 10 years experience, and Boston would get the room exception (projected to be about $5 million)

Or the Celtics could use Bird Rights to re-sign Horford, Terry Rozier and Marcus Morris. That route would come with a mid-level exception, either the non-taxpayer (projected to be about $9 million) or taxpayer (projected to be about $6 million).

Horford could determine Boston’s path. If the 33-year-old wants to re-sign, that’d probably consume most of the Celtics’ cap space. If he sees Irving leaving and wants to chase a title elsewhere, Boston could reset around Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and three first-round picks in Thursday’s draft.

The Celtics could bring back Rozier, who’ll be a restricted free agent, in either scenario. But if Horford departs, that’d at least open the door to pursue an outside point guard – like D'Angelo Russell or Malcolm Brogdon – to replace Irving.