NBA Playoffs Bulls-Heat Game 1: Defending Derrick

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Let’s get this out of the way. Derrick Rose is going to average over 20 points per game in this series, and the only reason I’m putting that that low is because the trudging slow pace of the series due to the defense will limit how many opportunities he gets. Rose is not only a nearly unstoppable force of nature that seems to rise to the biggest of occasions, he’s also a high usage player that has the ball in his hands, all the time. The question is not how he’s going to score 25 or more, it’s how many shots he’s going to need to get there.

That said, you can’t just accept Rose’s trample, so you have to do something. The Heat have made it clear, they’re going to throw multiple looks at him. It won’t just be Chalmers, or Wade, or LeBron, it’s going to be a little bit of everything. The trick is to try and exhaust him in getting all those points and shots, just making it that much harder on him to wear down his efficiency and take away whatever you can.

The ideal scenario involves Mario Chalmers playing Rose up, with help coming at the elbow from a wing defender, and then a final weak-side rotation low from one of the bigs to challenge Rose at the rim and try force him deeper. That worked in the Heat’s best game against Rose, forcing 15 misses on 24 shots. In that game, Erick Dampier spent a lot of time on the floor challenging Rose. Dampier has seen no time in the playoffs with Joel Anthony, Zydrunas Ilgauskas, and Juwan Howard doing the lion’s share at center. Joel Anthony doesn’t have the raw girth or height to challenge in the same way, and Ilgauskas’ mobility is more limited than Dampier. Yes, I can hear your jokes now. It’s a matter of degrees.

The temptation is to check Rose with Wade or James, but doing so 1. exhausts your primary players on defense when you need them so badly on offense and 2. risks accumulation of fouls and 3. wastes them as help defenders. Both of those guys will see time on Rose, but honestly, Rose is too fast for either of them. Either can step in to attack the dribble or try and draw a charge, or if nothing else, force the dribble-back to reset the offense.

But there’s a bigger issue with bringing too much help. On so many of Rose’s floater misses when the defense does commit either at the wing or down low, it sets up both positioning and trajectory for the ball to land directly in a Bull’s hand on the offensive glass. It’s not just the first shot that hurts you, it’s all the second chance opportunities. That’s how a mediocre offense like the Bulls’ can survive when Derrick Rose isn’t producing.

The big key here is Rose’s jumper. If it starts falling, the Heat can’t go under the screen, which opens the edge to Rose. Rose is so fast, he turns that edge into a straight trajectory to the basket. Which means scores and fouls and points, or dump-offs. The other huge component is the Bulls’ outside shooters. The Heat’s wings will gamble off of Kyle Korver, and even moreso Keith Bogans and dare them to beat them. If they can’t hit, defending Rose becomes easier. Derrick Rose takes the Bulls’ offense on his back nightly. He has to get help to beat the Heat.

Clippers owner Steve Ballmer: ‘I think we got higher expectations on us than the long, hard five, six years of absolute crap like the 76ers put in’

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The Clippers will probably miss the playoffs in a loaded Western Conference. But they’re also even further from landing a high draft pick. They’re in that middling position some teams find perilous.

But not Clippers owner Steve Ballmer.

Helene Elliott of the Los Angeles Times:

Ballmer also vowed that the Clippers won’t tank to get a better draft pick. “That ain’t us. Nuh-uh, no way,” he said. “People can do it their way. We’re going to be good our way. We’re not going to show up and suck for a year, two years. I think we got higher expectations on us than the long, hard five, six years of absolute crap like the 76ers put in. How could we look you guys in the eye if we did that to you?”

The 76ers missed the playoffs five straight seasons, but they emerged from that self-inflicted drought with two franchise cornerstones – Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons – and multiple other helpful pieces. The Process worked as intended.

But this is also why the NBA needn’t freak out about other teams replicating Sam Hinkie’s plan. Few have the stomach for it.

Ballmer doesn’t. The Clippers are trying to attract free agents. The better they are in the interim, the more credibility they’ll build.

Jordan Clarkson, Yao Ming keen observers at Asian Games basketball

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JAKARTA, Indonesia (AP) — Cleveland Cavaliers guard Jordan Clarkson watched from the bench, not quite able to make it to the Asian Games in time to play in the opening game for the Philippines.

Yao Ming was there, too, also keeping a close eye on the Philippines’ opening 96-59 win over Kazakhstan.

After getting a special exemption from the NBA to play for the Philippines in Jakarta, the US-born Clarkson should be ready to suit up for the next game against China. And that has the attention of ex-Houston Rockets and Chinese all-star center Yao.

Clarkson, one of three NBA players given an exemption by the league to play in Jakarta, said he had a frustrating time while his status for the tournament was being considered. The NBA also granted exemptions to Houston Rockets 7-foot-1 (2.17-meter) center Zhou Qi and Dallas Mavericks forward Ding Yanyuhang to play for China.

“We went back and forth so many times, saying I was going to play, then I wasn’t going to play,” the 6-5 (1.96-meter) Clarkson told Philippines’ reporters after Thursday’s game. “Now, being able to participate is awesome.

“I’m very excited to know that I’m finally getting to do this, being able to play … for the country. It’s definitely something that I’ve been looking forward to.”

Clarkson, who qualifies to play for the Philippines through his maternal grandmother, has four days to get familiar with “fun style of play.”

“I feel the support, the love all the time,” he said. “My grandma is real proud I’m able to do this now.”

The Philippines is playing a tournament for the first time since 10 players and two coaches were suspended following a wild brawl in a World Cup qualifier against Australia on July 2. Three Australian players were also suspended.

Video of the brawl was widely played around the world, with punches thrown, chairs tossed at players, and security needed to restore order.

Luka Doncic picks DeAndre Ayton for Rookie of the Year

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Deandre Ayton and Luka Doncic stirred plenty of pre-draft debate. I found them so similar, I rated them in the same tier atop the draft.

Those frequent pre-draft comparisons often lead to lasting personal rivalries, each player still trying to one-up the other throughout their careers.

But that might not be the case with Ayton (whom the Suns drafted No. 1) and Doncic (who went No. 3, to the Mavericks via the Hawks) – at least from Doncic’s perspective.

Doncic, via Chris Forsberg of ESPN:

I would say [Phoenix center Deandre] Ayton. He was the No. 1 pick. He’s tall, he’s strong, he can do so many things.

Maybe Doncic thought he couldn’t choose himself. After all, Forsberg also wrote:

Ask any member of the 2018 NBA draft class who’s going to win Rookie of the Year, and the response is almost universal: “Can I pick myself?”

But Marvin Bagley III (whom the Kings picked No. 2) was quoted talking through the possibility of picking himself before settling on teammate Harry Giles. Doncic isn’t quoted saying anything similar about himself.

Either way, it’s a little surprising to see Doncic pick Ayton. So much for Doncic trying to convince people he’s better than Ayton.

Ayton is my pick, too. He’s physically ready for the NBA and should post scoring and rebounding numbers that impress voters. His biggest deficiency – defensive awareness – tends to get overlooked with this award.

I also wouldn’t rule out Doncic, who’s so skilled and polished already. But I’m concerned about NBA athleticism shocking his system.

Will ex-Syracuse commit Darius Bazley still play in NBA’s minor league as planned?

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When Darius Bazley announced he’d skip his freshman year at Syracuse to play in the NBA’s minor league, it seemed he could start a trend.

But what if Bazley doesn’t even follow that path?

He just participated in the Nike Basketball Academy in Los Angeles and apparently struggled.

Jonathan Givony of ESPN:

After Bazley decided last spring to skip college basketball and play in the G League this season, there were heightened stakes for him at this event and not many positives to take away from his performance. There is speculation among NBA scouts that this might have been the last competitive action they will see from Bazley until the NBA pre-draft process next spring — or even the 2019 summer league. If he doesn’t feel ready for the G League, he could reconsider his decision and forgo competitive basketball for the year

I was never convinced Bazley was shaking up the system rather than just responding to his unique circumstances. This obviously doesn’t change that thought. Mitchell Robinson did the same thing just last year before the Knicks drafted him in the second round.

Maybe Bazley will still choose playing in the NBA’s minor league. He could develop there. But he’d also risk exposing his flaws and hurting his stock. On the other hand, maybe it’s too late and the cat is out of the bag.