Can Jimmer Fredette make it in the NBA?

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Know this: Jimmer Fredette can shoot the rock.

Don’t believe me? See what NBA leading scorer Kevin Durant (who has had workouts with Fredette) tweeted:

Jimmer Fredette is the best scorer in the world!!

Everyone loves BYU’s Jimmer the day after he dropped 43 on previously unbeaten San Diego State.

But can he make it in the NBA?

He’s going to get his chance, but he’s got a lot of work to do.

DraftExpress.com has him going 13th overall, in the late lottery. (This is very early in the draft scouting process, how players perform in the high-pressure end-of-year conference and NCAA tournaments, individual workouts and more will shuffle that deck considerably.) Here is part of their scouting report:

A controversial prospect, Fredette has one of the most impressive offensive packages in college basketball, but may lack the athleticism needed to translate his skill-set seamlessly to the next level.

Or this is what DraftExpress’s head honcho Jonathan Givony was tweeting during the big game:

Many question marks about Jimmer Fredette’s defense and whether he can play the same type of role in NBA, but when you can score like that…

Talking to people there seem to be three paths here, three prolific college scorers without the ridiculous athleticism seen at the NBA level who represent how Fredette could fare in the NBA: J.J. Redick, Adam Morrison and Stephen Curry.

Morrison’s NBA saga is well documented, but do not forget what a great college player he was. Morrison struggled to score with the same efficiency at the NBA level, and his lack of athleticism hurt him on the defensive end, which spiraled into him getting less and less court time. Up to the very end Lakers players would say how well Morrison shot in practice, but when thrown out into game situations it was everything else that held him back.

Redick worked ridiculously hard to turn his game into something that works at the NBA level. Redick put on muscle and worked tirelessly to become a better defender — and now he is a plus defender. The Magic aren’t trying to hide him on that end of the floor. The Magic system — with Dwight Howard in the paint and Jameer Nelson’s penetration — is a great complement to Redick’s catch-and-shoot skills. It took time but he has made it and got a payday out of it.

Then there is Curry — a player whose ridiculous ability to score makes him valuable despite the Warriors having to hide him on defense. Well, they would have to hide him on defense if Golden State cared about that end of the floor.

Fit matters, as Givony also tweeted:

If Fredette goes to a team like Golden State, I could see him being an unbelievable player. But on Orlando, Boston, Spurs, he’d never play.

This much we know — he’s going to get a chance somewhere. What he does with it will be interesting to watch.