Tag: extensions

Ty Lawson

A question of point guard extensions starring Ty Lawson, Brandon Jennings, and Jrue Holiday


October brings with it a rush of NBA news. Training camp starts, teams begin assessing if they need to make a pre-season trade, injuries unfortunately occur, preseason games begin and everyone is in the “best shape of their careers” on teams “ready to compete for a championship.” October is Hopetober for the NBA and outside of the above-mentioned injuries, everything is all rainbows and sunshine. But there’s another element.Extensions on players coming to the end of their rookie deals are due on the 31st, and that means big decisions.

Often times, the extensions will be no-brainers, for the elite of the elite. And some will be no-brainers for those players who have overstayed their welcome. But every year, so many fit into that middle gap. Good enough to not want to lose them, not good enough to want to throw the bank at. It’s a complicated question that involves not only the player’s skill but he situation of the franchise and their future.

Marc Stein of ESPN.com reports Saturday morning on the status of a few key players that fit into this group.


Lawson is probably the clearest cut choice to get done. His only issue has been consistency, and that’s something you can attribute to age and experience. He’s one of the fastest point guards in the league, and showed for the first time last spring in the playoffs that he can take over a big game offensively. His leadership continues to be a question mark for George Karl, but it’s also a work in progress. There’s no skill attribute that would prevent the Nuggets from wanting to give the extension. It will, however, eat up a significant chunk of their cap space. The Nuggets endeavored for two years to produce a roster with cap flexibility while maintaining its talent, but extensions for Danilo Gallinari and new contracts for Wilson Chandler and JaVale McGee eat up some of that. The rest will be taken care of by Lawson and Andre Iguoadala with a 2014 player option.

So the Nuggets have to be sure this is the guy they want. He looks the part, but it’s still going to be a gamble, the likely reason he has not been put at the max yet, along with Lawson’s decision to switch agents.

Holiday is an entirely different question. There have been hints in the past that he wants the max. The numbers… they are not good. He’s coming off a year with a TS% of .496 (that sucker needs to be over .500 at the very least). His assist percentage dropped nearly eight points last year. There’s a lot of talk about Evan Turner getting time at point guard or at least point forward. Last year per 36 minutes he produced 14.4. points on 13.7 shots. In a league where offensive efficiency is a must, Holiday was severely lacking in it. He also was the point guard and maestro for one of the worst offenses of a playoff team in the league.

The problem with all that? So was Rajon Rondo. The Celtics were a dreadful offensive team, per 36 minutes Rondo produced 11.6 points on 10.5 shots, had an even worse TS% of .486. Now his assist percentage was one of the best in the league at a startling “you-have-got-to-be-kidding-me” 52.3 percent. But if we’re looking at numbers, Holiday was at least as efficient as Rondo. (The Sixers had a 99 offensive rating – points per 100 possessions- with Holiday on the floor, the Celtics were a better 101 with Rondo, but neither is anything to run and tell that about.)

But you can make the argument for a qualitative if not substantively quantitative difference between Holiday and Rondo. His control and impact over the game is much greater, and his skillset is readily apparent as superior. Still, these are the kinds of things you factor when you decide whether and how to retain Holiday. The Sixers like Holiday, they seem invested in him, but the money is likely a sticking point.

Jennings… who knows. He can look like an All-Star, a world beater, a dominant offensive player one minute and a huge question mark the next. It’s an ever-evolving question, and part of a much bigger question. Unlike Denver and Philadelphia, the Bucks could be facing significant upheaval next summer with both John Hammond and Scott Skiles working out with a net, effectively. Do you give big money to a largely inefficient player who at times is dazzling and who constantly says he both wants an extension and thinks it would be great to play in New York, something he’s harped on since he was a draft prospect? The Bucks could be facing one of three scenarios: Jennings thrives, becomes an All-Star and the center of their future success as he embraces the Bucks as his team with his maturity, Jennings continues to vacillate between brilliance and dreadful, forever giving management and analysts headaches only doing it for big money, or Jennings manages to become the star he’s shown flashes of, only to pull a modern-superstar trick of demanding out once he’s gotten his money.

There may not be a way to win that conversation.

So all three teams have decisions to make and not much time to make them. But the choices will have a huge impact on not only the players’ seasons, but the future of the franchises.

Kendrick Perkins has every intention of testing free agency

Cleveland Cavaliers v Boston Celtics

Kendrick Perkins just got back from a severe knee injury. He’s not even able to put in a full game’s work yet. But he’s busted his tail to come back early, and his impact has helped the Celtics tremendously (not that they needed a lot of help). He worked hard to get himself back in condition, not just for his team, but for his future prospects. And the Boston Herald reports that despite what would seem to be an obvious slam dunk for the Celtics to extend him, Perkins has other ideas. From the Herald:

According to two league sources, Perkins has already turned down a Celtics offer that is bound by the CBA’s current restrictions — a contract extension worth slightly less than $30 million over four years, which reflects the currently mandated contract limits of a 20-percent increase and a four-year maximum. Perkins, represented by agent Arn Tellem, has opted to wait until he is an unrestricted free agent, when even in an unpredictable market he has a chance of commanding far more.

via Kendrick Perkins shows strong suit – BostonHerald.com.

The Celtics did what they’ve done before, which is throw out a low offer, then hope the player takes it, and if not, they’ll go hard after him this summer. They have no intention of letting Perkins walk as long as the Big 3 have any life in them, and even beyond that, Perkins and Rondo will share the burden of ushering in the next phase of Celtics post-Big-3.

But Perkins is going to have offers. Lots of them, including one from the Heat, most likely. Unless the CBA dramatically shifts the amount the Celtics can offer him, or removes their ability to add extra money or years to the deal, he’ll likely remain a Celtic for the foreseeable future. But these things are unpredictable. If Perkins sees a better opportunity somewhere, he’ll take it.

Nuggets looking to lock up Karl for 3-year extension

New York Knicks v Denver Nuggets
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If you want proof of how you need not commit to overreactions based on a few years of play and to try and weather the storms of violent change that regularly sweep through the NBA, look no further than George Karl.

In 2007-2008, there was a very real movement to fire George Karl. The team was simply going in circles. They were very Warriors-like at the time (and the two teams were fighting tooth and nail for the 8th seed in the West), playing no defense, and constantly getting bounced out of the first round even if they made it. Then in November of 2008, the Nuggets traded for Chauncey Billups (and removed Allen Iverson of Turkish fame), and things took off. A Western Conference Finals appearance later, the Nuggets were a title contender and Karl was a huge part of that resurgence.

And even though the team tailed off last year, largely after Karl was diagnosed with throat cancer, forcing him away from the game for the second half of the season, the Nuggets are ready to commit to keeping that resurgence going, regardless of the Carmelo Anthony situation.

NBA FanHouse reports:

“George is here for awhile … George is in the future plans for sure,” Ujiri said at the time.

Adams said his initial talks with Ujiri will be by phone. Adams and Ujiri on Friday declined to discuss possible contract specifics for Karl, who last February signed a one-year extension for this season worth $4.5 million.

“I’d say I’m probably a three-year guy,” Karl said of how many years he wants on a new deal. “(That’s) kind of what I’m thinking about. I’d be 63 then … Then we’d talk again maybe (about another deal). I think I have the passion and the bottle of energy to try to keep this Broadway show going.”

Karl, beyond being a tremendous coach, is also a tremendous spokesman of the game. Having coached for over 30 years, Karl has perspective and has managed his career with integrity as well as success. Still, you have to wonder about the timing of this move with Carmelo Anthony still very much on the fence (at least) about returning to Denver for years to come. Check out this ringing endorsement as to whether Melo would commit to his extension if Karl was sticking around, also via FanHouse:

“That really don’t have nothing to do with me,” Anthony, who could be traded, told FanHouse when asked he would be more likely to stay if assured Karl is sticking around.

In case you needed another reminder: This is a business.