Dallas is the team in control here.
Not just because they are up 3-2 in games, but because they have controlled play for all but one quarter in recent games and for most of this series. Dallas has shot better, rebounded better and defended better. Portland had Brandon Roy in the hot tub time machine for one quarter.
Portland has to find some better answers to why they can’t get consistent offense or their season ends at the Rose Garden Thursday
Portland’s primary source of offense is LaMarcus Aldridge, but Tyson Chandler has limited him. In the playoffs teams take away your best scoring option. The bigger issue is there have been no good second options for the Blazers. Well, except for one fourth quarter for the ages by Roy, but that is not a sustainable solution.
You would think that Andre Miller and Gerald Wallace would be enough (and they are scoring 28.6 points a game between them) but it’s about spacing — Portland needs the three ball to open up lanes into the packed-in Dallas defense. Miller doesn’t shoot threes (he had four all season so his four in the playoffs is a small miracle) and Wallace is shooting 18 percent in the playoffs from deep. The result has been a lot of contested long two-point shots by Portland, and that is just not an efficient way to score. (Remember how much better the Blazers offense looked when Wes Mathews caught fire from three in Game 3? They need more of that.)
Meanwhile Dallas has gotten balance from their deep roster that Portland lacks — every game somebody has stepped up besides Nowitzki. Jason Terry one game, Shawn Marion another. That has kept them ahead.
If Portland is going to force a Game 7 they have to keep Dirk Nowitzki off the free throw line, where he has made a second home this series. They need to get some offensive rebounds. Portland also needs to create some turnovers — that was a staple of their regular season success. Bottom line, via rebound or running they need some easy points and to stop letting Dallas get so many.
Portland has to figure out something fast, because Dallas has controlled this series of late. If not for Roy — who has been up and down this series — it would be over.
It may well be over tonight.