LeBron James signing with the Cavaliers might push Chris Bosh to the Rockets.
And not just for the reason you think.
Of course, LeBron leaving the Heat gives Bosh more reason to move on. He outwardly enjoyed playing with LeBron in Miami, and that’s no longer an option.
But for the Rockets to make Bosh a credible contract offer – not a max deal, mind you – they must trade Omer Asik.
As we’ve covered, the previously reported Asik-to-the-New Orleans trade won’t work without the Pelicans stretching Anthony Davis, Jrue Holiday, Tyreke Evans, Ryan Anderson or Eric Gordon (likely not an option) or another team helping them.
The Cavaliers, their plans set with LeBron, might be that other team.
Marc Stein of ESPN:
Gee was originally headed to Charlotte for Brendan Hayward in a trade agreed upon draft night, but the Hornets might not mind altering the deal. Gee has has an unguaranteed contract, according to ShamSports.com, and I suspect Charlotte might have just waived him. However, the Hornets might have wanted Gee for his value in a trade, and if so, they’ll probably want some compensation for not getting him.
To the Cavaliers, it makes little difference where Gee goes. They still get Brendan Haywood, who has a low $2,213,688 salary this year and then has a fully unguaranteed $10,522,500 salary for the following season. In a year, he’ll be a very valuable trade chip if Cleveland is willing to add salary.
So why would Cleveland go the trouble of trading Gee to the Pelicans rather than the Hornets?
New Orleans must be sending the Cavaliers an asset for Gee. The Pelicans would want Gee to facilitate the Asik trade.
A simple way would be trading Austin Rivers or Alexis Ajinca, both on guaranteed contracts, to the Cavaliers. Cleveland could accept either and still have room to give LeBron the max.
The Cavaliers might not value either Rivers or Ajinca, though, so New Orleans might have to go another route.
Instead of creating enough cap room to absorb Asik, the Pelicans could aggregate enough salary to trade for him. In this salary range, teams can receive 150 percent plus $100,000 of outgoing salary in a trade.
New Orleans already has Melvin Ely, Luke Babbitt and
Cleveland has two other players on fully unguaranteed contracts too – Scotty Hopson and Matthew Dellavedova. Adding either to New Orleans’ trade package for Asik would make the deal work. So, I strongly suspect the Cavaliers will send Hopson or Dellavedova to the Pelicans, too.
Then, New Orleans can make the Asik trade. Technically, it would be structured as three-way trade with Cleveland, New Orleans and Houston, because Gee and Hopson/Dellavedova couldn’t be immediately aggregated in another large deal. Maybe the Hornets get involved to make it a four-way trade and clear everything up at once, but that’s not as essential.
One more catch: Ely can’t be traded with other players until Sunday. But if everything is lined up in advance, the Rockets could complete this trade and still have time to sign Bosh and then match Chandler Parsons’ offer sheet.
There’s a lot are a lot of moving pieces in this Gee trade, but here’s the simple reality: LeBron going to Cleveland makes it easier for the Rockets to unload salary and pay Bosh.
As the national anthem played, a tear streaked down Dwyane Wade‘s cheek.
“I knew tonight would be a great moment for these guys,” Wade said. “I felt that we was going to win this game. I knew that our energy and our crowd was going to be enough, and we was going to be prepared. And I was just thinking about how these guys was going to feel after playing a Game 7.”
Pretty darn great.
The Heat beat the Hornets, 106-73, Sunday in the fifth-most lopsided Game 7 in NBA history. Miami – which will face winner of tonight’s Raptors-Pacers Game 7 – won its first playoff series win without LeBron James since 2006.
Pairing Wade with another superstar (Shaquille O’Neal for the 2006 championship) or two (LeBron and Chris Bosh for the 2012 and 2013 titles) has worked. But that option went out the window this season when blood clots sidelined Bosh at the All-Star break for the second straight year.
With Wade’s waning athleticism forcing him to pick his spots more often, he has needed more help than ever. His teammates have provided it.
Whiteside defended at an elite level. The Hornets shot just 2-for-11 in the restricted area with him on the court. I don’t know what’s more stunning – that they shot so poorly or attempted so few close-range shots in 28 minutes. Whiteside struck fear in the paint.
Dragic’s 25 points were his most in seven weeks and one shy of his playoff high. His aggressiveness fueled so much more. Miami’s offensive rating was 120.1 with him on the court.
“That’s the Goran Dragic we all love,” said Wade, who scored 12 points and had lost his last three playoff games when scoring so little. “Just putting so much pressure on the defense, and it allows other guys to just chill out – especially me.”
Wade can’t always carry the Heat – though sometimes he still can – but he remains the face of the franchise. Whether or not his teammates provide enough support almost reflects more on him than it does them. Fortunately for him, they look up to the task of making him look good.
It’s far too early to look ahead to a juicy Heat-Cavaliers conference finals, but Miami should be favored against either Indiana or Toronto.
Yes, it took seven games to vanquish Charlotte, but the Heat outscored the Hornets by 62 points – the third-largest combined margin ever in a seven-game series. The last team to win a seven-game series or a Game 7 by such decisive margins was the 2008 Celtics, who beat the Hawks by 34 in Game 7 to cap a +84 first-round series. Boston went on to win a title that year.
Will Miami follow that path? Probably not, but there’s something to be said about so thoroughly outplaying a difficult-to-beat opponent.
The Hornets were no pushovers – at least until today, when the Heat dominated on the glass and got most loose balls. In this series, Charlotte earned its first three playoff wins since reemerging as the Bobcats in 2004. The Hornets’ first best-of-seven series victory remains elusive and a potentially turbulent offseason awaits, but this group came to play.
Miami was just too good on both ends of the floor.
In the second quarter, Whiteside cut off a Kemba Walker drive, forcing the point guard to give up the ball. Whiteside then rotated to cover Al Jefferson (the type of multiple-contest defense many doubted Whiteside could execute) and emphatically blocked Jefferson’s shot.
The ball went to Dragic, who immediately sped up court. Dragic, who entered the game shooting 37% from the field, spun around Courtney Lee before anyone else could catch up to provide help and made a layup.
Justise Winslow and Josh Richardson, the team’s energetic rookies who had big moments earlier in the series but provided less today, jumped up and down and spun around on the bench. The rest of the team wasn’t far behind in its cheering.
All the while, Wade barely took a few steps forward, remaining back on defense and watching it all unfold in front of him – a starless group of teammates he knew were capable of delivering.
When the Warriors put five players expected to be in the playoff rotation on the floor during the regular season, they outscored opponents by 20.9 points per 100 possessions.
No other team even neared that level with five of its own playoff-rotation players.
The second-place Spurs (+13.1 adjusted net rating) were closer to 10th place than first place.
But Golden State’s supremacy obviously took a hit when Stephen Curry got hurt. How do the Warriors rate without him in the rotation?
As I did before the first round, I’ve used nba wowy! to rank Western Conference playoff teams by net rating (offensive rating minus defensive rating), counting only lineups that include five players in the team’s postseason rotation. Both the regular season and first round factored.
I wrote more about the Thunder’s and Spurs’ adjusted ratings yesterday. The East will come after its second-round series are set.
For now, here’s each Western Conference team’s rating, from the regular season adjusted to only lineups that include five players projected to be in the second-round rotation:
2. San Antonio Spurs
- Offensive rating: 110.5 to 110.0
- Defensive rating: 99.4 to 96.1
- Net rating: +11.1 to +13.9
3. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Offensive rating: 113.6 to 117.3
- Defensive rating: 106.0 to 104.6
- Net rating: +7.6 to +12.7
1. Golden State Warriors
- Offensive rating: 114.9 to 119.7 to 109.1
- Defensive rating: 104.1 to 98.8 to 103.8
- Net rating: +10.8 to +20.9 to +5.3
5. Portland Trail Blazers
- Offensive rating: 108.9 to 111.0 to 110.3
- Defensive rating: 108.2 to 107.9 to 107.5
- Net rating: +0.7 to +3.1 to +2.8
- By this metric, there’s a clear main event and undercard here – at least if the Spurs and Thunder don’t keep playing like they did last night.
- Golden State obviously takes a big tumble without Curry, but this measure shows the limit of saying the Warriors got outscored by 3.7 points per 100 possessions without Curry during the regular season. Golden State’s other top players – Draymond Green (88%), Klay Thompson (85%), Andrew Bogut (85%), Harrison Barnes (66%) and Andre Iguodala (60%) – played a majority of their minutes with Curry. Put them on the court more in these Curry-less games, and it’ll help.
- With Curry in the rotation (and Ian Clark and Brandon Rush out), the Warriors’ adjusted offensive/defensing/net ratings shoot right back up into the stratosphere: 119.8/98.7/+21.1. Golden State must just holds its ground until Curry returns. This measure suggests the Warriors can against Portland, especially with home-court advantage also in their favor.
Portland has wildly exceeded expectations this season, making the playoffs as the five seed and getting past a banged-up Clippers team to the second round. But the NBA does not do Cinderellas well, this will be the end of the road. Here are the four questions we’re asking heading into this series.
1) When will Stephen Curry return? If Portland has a chance in this series, they need to do a lot of damage before the past-and-future MVP returns from his sprained knee. The question is when will that be? Curry is out for Game 1 and has yet to do any on court work, but Steve Kerr would not rule him out for Game 2 on Tuesday, although that may be gamesmanship as much as anything. But after Game 2 the teams are off for four days until the Saturday, May 7, and that may be enough time for him to return. Whenever he does come back, the dynamics change and the Warriors become a much more dangerous, much better team — one Portland can’t handle. The Blazers need to get all the wins early in this series they can.
Which isn’t very easy, Curry or no.
2) How will the Warriors defend Damian Lillard? When Lillard has gone up against his hometown team — he’s from Oakland — he averaged 36.5 points per game this season. Expect Klay Thompson to draw the assignment to cover him at the start of games, but also expect the Warriors to steal a page from the Clippers’ strategy and trap Lillard and C.J. McCollum each time they come off a pick. The idea is to force the ball out of the hands of the two best playmakers and make Al-Farouq Aminu or Maurice Harkless or anyone else beat you. Aminu and Harkless will find the Warriors defense works on a string better than the Clippers and their shots will get contested.
However, most of the time, the Warriors will switch the pick-and-roll, which they usually do (especially when they go small) and Lillard will find Draymond Green in his face. Blazers coach Terry Stotts has to find ways to get Lillard playing downhill off those picks to have a chance.
3) Can the Trail Blazers hit their threes? In Portland’s win over Golden State in the regular season (just after the All-Star break), they put up 137 points and made it rain threes — the Trail Blazers need to do that again. However, the Warriors were one of the better teams in the league at defending the arc this season, holding opponents to 33.2 percent from deep (second best in the league) and allowing the second fewest corner threes (although they are more willing to allow threes above the arc). Portland does not have a good enough defense to stop Golden State consistently even without Curry, they will just have to outscore the Warriors, and to do that it has to rain threes again.
4) How will Portland defend Klay Thompson and Draymond Green? Both of these key Warriors cogs had strong regular seasons against Portland — Green averaged 16 points, 12 rebounds, and 8.8 assists, while Thompson averaged 29.3 points shooting 59.4 percent from three. Obviously, that was with Curry on the floor drawing defenders, but Portland is not exactly known for their lock-down defense. Without Curry, expect Aminu to get a lot of time on Thompson, but that alone is not going to slow him. Also, expect the Warriors to post up Thompson, Shaun Livingston, or anyone else that Lillard and McCollum guard — the hardest part about defending Golden State is there is no place to hide weak defenders. The Warriors will expose the Portland defense.
Prediction: Warriors in 6. And that assumes Curry is out until Game 5, if he is back earlier than that the series likely ends in 5.
The Heat and Hornets are clearly tiring of each other, six games of testiness culminating with Game 7 today.
ESPN sources say that one of the factors that ramped up the tension between the teams stems from Miami complaints to the highest levels of the league office after Game 4 about what the Heat deemed to be favorable officiating for Jeremy Lin and Kemba Walker.
Lin and Walker relentlessly driven to the basket. That’s why they’ve attempted so many free throws. If Miami wants to keep them off the line, trap them harder on the perimeter.
That said, this is part of playoff gamesmanship. If the Heat plant a seed with referees – through the league office or otherwise – that Lin and Walker are drawing too many fouls, maybe that affects a call today. With the margins so narrow, every little bit helps.