Friday night’s Pacers/Heat showdown is not going to tell is much about how a likely Eastern Conference Finals between these teams plays out — there is no Dwyane Wade for the Heat, for one. Also, both teams are going to run things a little vanilla, not overplay any sets or match ups they like and tip their hands for future playoff strategy (think NFL preseason offense).
But it does matter. A lot.
The Pacers have struggled on the road at points this season (20-19), which is why their focus all season has been getting the No. 1 seed and home court throughout the East. They want Game 7 against the Heat in their building — to get that they need to beat the Heat on the road Friday night.
Miami sits half a game back of the Pacers (one fewer wins) but with a softer schedule the rest of the way — if Miami wins they control their own destiny. Miami closes out with the Hawks, Wizards and Sixers — all very winnable games. Beat the Pacers and the top seed is yours for the taking.
For the Pacers, win and you are 1.5 games up on Miami and Indiana owns the tiebreaker — win this and the Pacers’ magic number for the top seed is one.
Add to that these teams have a nice rival growing and we should see an intense, physical game. It should feel like a playoff game. LeBron James will attack the rim and Roy Hibbert will be there to greet him. Lance Stephenson will make amazing plays or foolish plays, or most likely a little of both. Chris Bosh will float around on the perimeter but make plays. It will get chippy.
It’s going to be fun. Just don’t think the playoff match ups between these two will look like this.
Here are a few other games of playoff import on Friday night:
• Washington at Orlando/Charlotte at Boston: Right now Washington and Charlotte are deadlocked for the 6/7 seed. Nobody wants the 7 seed. With the six seed you likely face Toronto or Chicago in the first round — two good but flawed teams where the Wizards or Bobcats stand a chance to extend the series and maybe, with a little luck, get a win. Land in the 7 slot and you become chum in the first round for Miami or Indiana. Expect both Washington and Charlotte to play with some desperation.
• Philadelphia at Memphis/Phoenix at San Antonio. As of right now Memphis is the 9 seed in the West, one game back of the Suns. Memphis is going to beat Philadelphia tonight because, well, Philadelphia. Have you seen them? That puts pressure on the Suns to come up with a win against the team with the best record in the NBA — a Spurs team resting Tim Duncan and Tony Parker on the second night of a back-to-back, but still a Spurs team that plugs in its reserves and keeps on moving forward like the Terminator 3000s that they are. (They will not stop. Ever.) The Suns really need a win because they have the Mavericks — the other team playing musical chairs for the final playoff slots in the West — on Saturday night. Oh, just a reminder that the Grizzlies have the tie breaker over the Suns. So yes, the Suns need wins.