Note to Duke fans: Don’t get too excited yet. Every year guys say this in the wake of an ugly tournament loss, only to get a few see the money on the table and change their mind.
That said there have been reports all season that Duke’s potential top three pick Jabari Parker might come back for a second year, and ESPN’s Chad Ford took that to another level in his chat Wednesday.
What’s the latest info on whether or not Joel Embiid and/or Jabari Parker will enter the draft?
Chad Ford: Both are weighing their options. Both are seriously considering returning … with Parker so much so that several scouts are claiming he’s coming back to school. But I think that’s premature. They have time.
This has understandably fired up Duke fans, who would love to keep an elite scorer around for another year. There was a lot of talk about his staying and not being ready after Mike Krzyzewski benched Parker at the end of Duke’s loss to Mercer, but the fact is NBA scouts were already well aware of Parker’s defense and still have him top three on their boards.
I don’t expect either Embiid or Parker to stay another year in college, once the emotion of a tournament loss is behind them a little and they see what is in front of them. Potential high picks do return for another year, Marcus Smart being the most recent example. And how did that work out for him, by the way? You are risking injury, or at the least not making money for one more year, starting your clock for a post rookie deal contract one year later. You better really love college to give up multiple millions for another year of it.
Chad Ford goes on to say he expects them to come out.
The deadline is April 27th to decide. However, if they declare after April 15th, there’s no turning back. They’ll lose their college eligibility. Parker is really NBA ready. He could obviously improve if he stayed, but he’s a NBA starter from Day One. He’ll get minutes and playing against the best competition is the best way to improve. The only good reason for him to stay is because he loves college, wants to lead Duke to a NCAA Championship and is OK just waiting. But as far as development goes, the NBA is his best option. Embiid is a little different. He’s rawer and may not see the minutes Parker would see as a NBA rookie. He also has a big unknown with his back that could affect his draft stock if NBA doctors get wary. He would probably benefit more than Parker from returning for another year of college, but it’s really hard to turn down a Top 3 pick. I think both will probably declare at the end of the day, but I wouldn’t be shocked if they stayed either.
We will see over the next couple weeks.