San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat - Game 7 GM survey predicts another big season for Heat, LeBron James


The annual GM survey is pretty much a spot check on the conventional wisdom around the NBA. It’s not the place you see daring picks or gain deep insight. It’s generally a lot of guys picking the favorite.

This year’s survey shows the conventional wisdom is “good luck beating LeBron James the Heat.”

In the survey just released by the NBA, 75.9 percent of GMs picked the Miami Heat to win the NBA title, with the Indiana Pacers and San Antonio Spurs each coming in second with 6.9 percent of the vote. Even more GMs picked the Heat than last season, despite how hard a three-peat has proven over the years.

Also, 69 percent of GMs picked LeBron to win his fifth MVP trophy. Kevin Durant received 24.1 percent of the votes to come in second, with Carmelo Anthony and Chris Paul getting votes as well.

The entire survey was a LeBron love fest. He was picked as the player that forces the most adjustments by the opponent (66.7 percent), the player GMs want to start a franchise with (89.7 percent, Durant was second and Kyrie Irving third), and best small forward in the NBA (86.7 percent).

Orlando’s Victor Oladipo won going away for Rookie of the year with 80 percent of the vote (with Trey Burke down he is the big favorite now). GMs also picked him to be the best player out of this class five years from now.

One area where GMs seem divided is who comes out of the West: San Antonio won with 40 percent, Oklahoma City had 36.7 percent and the Los Angeles Clippers were at 20 percent. (Houston got 3.3 percent; GMs are not buying in there yet.)

Other things that were not a surprise include Tony Parker being selected as the best international player, Chris Paul being named the best point guard, Gregg Popovich being names best head coach and the coach that runs the best offense, and Golden State being named the team that is the most fun to watch.

But there were some interesting notes:

• GMs picked James Harden as the best shooting guard in the NBA (56.7 percent), with Kobe Bryant second (20 percent) and then Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant and Paul George tied (6.7 percent) and Dwyane Wade sixth. Durant got hurt in these polls because it’s not easy to define his position.

• Dwight Howard won best center in the NBA going away (65.5 percent) with Marc Gasol second.

• Howard was also named the best defensive player in the NBA in the poll, with LeBron second. Best perimeter defender went to Tony Allen of the Grizzlies (36.7 percent) with LeBron James second, Paul George third and Avery Bradley, Andre Iguodala and Kawhi Leonard tied for fourth.

• GMs overwhelmingly like the Nets to beat out the Knicks for the Atlantic Division crown, with 75.9 percent of them picking Brooklyn.

• GMs see a virtual dead heat between the Pacers and Bulls in the Central division, with Indiana getting 51.7 percent of the vote to Chicago’s 48.3 percent.

• Anthony Davis of the Pelicans was picked as the player most likely to have a breakout season (27.6 percent of the vote) with Andre Drummond of the Pistons coming in second.

• GMs picked Detroit as the most improved team in the league this year.

• Boston’s Kelly Olynyk was named the steal of the draft.

Report: Hawks signing Dennis Schroder to four-year, $70 million contract extension

ATLANTA, GA - SEPTEMBER 26:  Dennis Schroder #17 of the Atlanta Hawks poses during media day on September 26, 2016 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
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The Hawks traded a former All-Star in his prime (Jeff Teague). They waived two experienced backups (Jarrett Jack and Will Bynum), leaving only rookie Malcolm in Delaney in reserve.

Atlanta is putting all its point guard eggs in Dennis Schroder‘s basket – not just as the starter on a team that expects to make the playoffs, but a long-term building block.

Marc Stein of ESPN:

Paying Schroder $17.5 million per year seems fair, because he could wind up drastically underpaid or drastically overpaid.

Schroder drives into the lane with abandon and usually produces quality outcomes as a result. He possesses impressive tools and is already beginning to utilize them, including in several clutch situations.

But he must make better decisions with the ball, finish better at the rim and shoot better from outside for Atlanta’s bet to pay off. It’s also help if he becomes more than just an occasionally pesky defender.

Just 23, time is on his side.

If Schroder develops into a quality starting point guard, he’ll be a bargain. The Hawks will have done well to lock him up before he proved his ability, and their other moves indicate they believe in him making this step.

But if a larger role just exposes Schroder’s flaws, this could backfire. For all the justifiable reasons to have faith in Schroder’s ascension, it’s important to remember he’s not there yet.

This is a relative high-variance bet by Atlanta, which I like in principle. Teams are generally too conservative with rookie-scale contract extensions.

If Schroder doesn’t break out as they hope, the Hawks will have problems regardless of whether or not they extend him. It’s not as if handling him restricted free agency would be a walk in the park.

Now, if Schroder lives up to the hype in Atlanta, the Hawks’ return on investment will be even greater.

Steven Adams spent NBA opening night watching Anime

OKLAHOMA CITY, OK - MAY 28:  Steven Adams #12 of the Oklahoma City Thunder looks on during the first half against the Golden State Warriors in game six of the Western Conference Finals during the 2016 NBA Playoffs at Chesapeake Energy Arena on May 28, 2016 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
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Last night you were likely watching the Cavaliers destroy the Knicks, then flipping over to watch the Indians and Cubs. It was a great sports night (especially if you live in Cleveland).

That’s not what Steven Adams was doing, he was watching Anime. Which probably had a lot more drama than either of the NBA games last night. Via Fred Katz of the Norman Transcript.

You have to love Adams.

One Piece is… like I know. From Wikipedia:

One Piece follows the adventures of Monkey D. Luffy, a young man whose body gained the properties of rubber after unintentionally eating a Devil Fruit. With his diverse crew of pirates, named the Straw Hat Pirates, Luffy explores the Grand Line in search of the world’s ultimate treasure known as “One Piece” in order to become the next King of the Pirates.

Insert your own joke about that being better than watching the Knicks offense (or the Warriors’ defense) here.

Adams will be more focused on basketball Wednesday night when OKC opens the season in Philadelphia. Joel Embiid will keep his mind on the game.

Sixers CEO: Ben Simmons will play for Sixers this season

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Ben Simmons is out with a broken foot — a Jones fracture — and that has led to rampant speculation about when the Sixers’ No. 1 pick might return to the court. Coach Brett Brown said January (the short end of the timeline) then walked those comments back, while there are rumors people in Simmons camp may want him to sit out the season.

Sixers CEO Scott O’Neill was on TCN’s Breakfast on Broad and made it clear Simmons will be back this season. He blew off the idea that Rich Paul (Simmons’ agent) wants him to take the season off.

“No, it’s not true,” O’Neil said. “Yeah, he’ll be back.”

There is no timeline for Simmons’ return, which isn’t just the team managing expectations (well, it’s partially the team trying to manage expectations). Jones fractures involve the bone that runs from the base of your little toe up to near the ankle, and the problem is that area of the foot does not have great natural blood flow, which means healing can be slow and harder to predict. We know that Simmons had surgery to repair the break, but recovery times will be flexible.

Brett Brown told me in a ProBasketballTalk Podcast how much he just wants to get Simmons, Joel Embiid, Jahlil Okafor, Dario Saric, and Nerlens Noel all healthy at the same time so he can start to see what lineups work, which guys play well off each other and which don’t (we learned last season Noel and Okafor are not a great fit). Maybe Simmons can be part of that process in the second half of the season.

Mavericks’ Devin Harris sprains big toe, out at least three weeks

DALLAS, TX - SEPTEMBER 26:  Devin Harris #34 of the Dallas Mavericks poses for a portrait during the Dallas Mavericks Media Day held at American Airlines Center on September 26, 2016 in Dallas, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)
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Devin Harris is the kind of veteran, versatile player Dallas coach Rick Carlisle likes in his backcourt — he can run the point or be a small two-guard off the ball. Carlise wants multiple ball handlers on the court and Harris allows him to do that with a number of different combinations.

Or rather, Harris will allow Carlisle to do that once he gets healthy. From Earl K. Sneed of

Harris had surgery on the big toe on his other foot, this injury is to the “good” one. Harris can be a bit injury prone and the Mavs likely will bring him along slowly.

This likely means more J.J. Barea and Seth Curry in the short term in Dallas.