In 97 games through the regular season and playoffs, the Miami Heat have only scored less than 80 points twice. Both times it was against the Indiana Pacers.
The latest of those came Saturday night — Miami scored a season low 77 points on 36.1 percent shooting in a Game 6 loss. The Pacers defense and length certainly deserves a lot of credit for that — they have the size to challenge shots at the rim and are the best team in the NBA at running opponents off the three-point line.
But Miami is just missing shots they normally make. And if they do it again Monday night in Game 7 the NBA finals will make a stop in Indianapolis, not Miami.
“Obviously we struggled with some open shots, open layups, open looks, and that effected us on the other end,” Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said after the game, talking about his team’s defensive woes.
LeBron James shot 10-for-21 for 29 points — not a dominant performance but he carried the team as far as he could. However the rest of the Heat shot 31.4 percent on the night. As has been the case all playoffs, when nobody else on the Heat steps up they lose.
The most glaring examples were Chris Bosh — 1-of-8 shooting for 5 points — and Dwyane Wade, who hit just 3-of-11 attempts. Two-thirds of the “big three” in Miami have been MIA much of this series on offense (and Paul George took his offense right at Wade every chance he got). They
What killed the Heat as a team was shots close to the basket — they were 10-27 inside the restricted area and 1-of-7 in the rest of the paint. That would be 22 points on 34 shots, for those of you scoring at home. As a whole the Heat shot 29.6 percent from two-point range (but were 10-of-18 from three).
Remove LeBron from the equation and Miami was 4-16 inside the restricted area, just 25 percent. At the rim. Again the length of Roy Hibbert and the aggressive Pacers defense accounts for some of that, but not all of it.
The third quarter was when the Heat’s offense really fell apart — Miami started the second half shooting 2-of-12 with 6 turnovers. For the entire third they were 0-7 in the paint as a team. Miami scored just 15 points in the third and that was when the game was lost.
Miami had other big problems — the Pacers grabbed the offensive rebound on 38.5 percent of their missed shots. Indiana averaged 40 percent offensive rebounds through the first four games, but that fell to 18 percent in Game 5 when the Heat focused on rebounding as a group.
If you’re looking for a telltale sign in Game 7, the Pacers on the offensive glass is the barometer of this series. But you can also watch to see if LeBron gets any help.