Vinny Del Negro, Matt Barnes, Lamar Odom, Chris Paul, Blake Griffin

Chris Paul says Game 5 against Grizzlies is ‘win or go home’


After watching how the first four games of the playoffs have unfolded between the Clippers and the Grizzlies, it’s easy to see why teams put so much stock in having home court advantage.

Championship teams will win anywhere, of course, and will find a way to impose their will no matter the venue. But in this series, we’ve seen the home team put together largely dominant performances, so as things shift back to Los Angeles for Game 5, the Clippers have to hope they can regain their swagger from the first two games, or they know their time in this postseason will be set to expire.

“We have to come out with more energy,” Chris Paul said, via Arash Markazi of ESPN Los Angeles. “We won two games at home and they won two games at home, and that’s why you fight so hard for home-court advantage. We have to come out with the same intensity in Game 5 that we did in Games 1 and 2. We have to understand that it’s a three-game series now, and we have to play hard and compete and play the way that we know we can.”

“We got to win this game,” Paul said. “It’s win or go home.”

The winner of Game 5 obviously becomes the favorite to advance, and that would be especially true in the Clippers’ case, considering that if a Game 7 is necessary, it will be played on the floor of the Staples Center.

But we’re getting ahead of ourselves.

While the Clippers saw plenty of things go their way in Games 1 and 2, most of the positives came from the bench unit. Any time L.A. was able to get rolling with its starters, it was due to Zach Randolph or Mark Gasol being burdened with early foul trouble that disrupted the Grizzlies’ lineup, and messed with their ability to match strength with strength on the defensive end of the floor.

The Clippers will look to be the aggressors on their home court once again, and that starts with Paul. He can’t disappear for stretches, and needs to be more involved in initiating offensive sets that result in good, high percentage shots — something that was severely lacking for the Clippers over the last couple of games in Memphis.

Blake Griffin needs to attack Randolph to make him play at both ends, and L.A. needs to get back to its trend of having everyone be responsible for rebounding as it did in the first two games of the series.

Speaking of trends, there are a couple that have been forming which have been very encouraging signs for the Grizzlies. The production level they’ve been getting from Randolph and Gasol has been increasing every game, as has the rebounding margin — which Memphis was on the wrong end of by 24 in Game 1, but has improved in every game since. After being outrebounded by 24 in Game 1, Memphis was on the other side of things in Game 4 with a plus-17 advantage on the glass.

L.A. will look to get back to its bench dominating, and will attempt to be aggressive early in establishing Griffin inside. Most importantly, the Clippers will need to find a way to slow an increasingly confident Grizzlies team, or home court advantage by itself won’t be enough to save them in this series.

Doc Rivers: Clippers might blow up roster if they fall short this season

Chris Paul, Blake Griffin DeAndre Jordan, Doc Rivers
Leave a comment

The Clippers have gone 56-26, 57-25 and 56-26 the last three years – clearing the commonly accepted 55-win bar for championship contention.

But they’ve also won only zero, one and one playoff series in that span.

Zach Lowe of Grantland:

The Clippers have had three cracks at it with Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, and DeAndre Jordan all in their primes, and they’re not afraid to admit the fourth could be their last — that another flameout will force them to ask whether the core has grown stale.

“We’re right on the borderline,” Doc Rivers tells Grantland during a long sit-down at his office. “I have no problem saying that. I’m a believer that teams can get stale. After a while, you don’t win. It just doesn’t work. We’re right at the edge. Oklahoma City is on the edge. Memphis, too. We just have to accept it.”

I disagree with Rivers.

It’s so hard to assemble a roster that can win a title, and the Clippers absolutely have one. If they fall short this season, they’ll probably still have a title-contending roster the following year. They shouldn’t throw that away just for the sake of change.

Paul (30), Jordan (27) and Griffin (26) are young enough for the Clippers to remain patient.

Rivers makes a good point later in Lowe’s article:

“You need luck in the West,” he says. “Look at Golden State. They didn’t have to play us or the Spurs. But that’s also a lesson for us: When you have a chance to close, you have to do it.”

The Warriors were the NBA’s best team last season, but they also got plenty of breaks. That’s why they won the title.

The Clippers might need more luck to win a championship, but it wouldn’t be an overwhelming amount. The better a team is, the less luck it needs. The Grizzlies can probably win a title with all the right breaks, but they need more than the Clippers.

It’s about being good enough to win with the right breaks.

The Clippers are that. They’ll probably be that unless they do something drastic.

Unless a lopsided trade comes around, I’d stick with Paul, Griffin and Jordan until they really prove they can’t win together. That would take years. A team not winning a title is not proof it can’t win a title. Every year, multiple teams can win a championship. Obviously, only one does.

Rivers has it good with his big three. This shouldn’t be a make-or-break year for them.

51 Q: Which coaches start the year on the hot seat?

Lionel Hollins
1 Comment

Going into every season, there are a few coaches under pressure to perform or risk losing their jobs. This season, the operative word there is “few.” Looking around the NBA, most coaches are either new on the job or aren’t in any real danger of losing theirs. There are five brand-new coaches: Billy Donovan (Oklahoma City), Fred Hoiberg (Chicago), Alvin Gentry (New Orleans), Michael Malone (Denver) and Scott Skiles (Orlando). The coaches they replaced were mostly the ones whose names often came up in these discussions. Practically everywhere else, there is either a long track record of success or clear signs that ownership is happy with the job the coach is doing. Coaches who are actually on the hot seat are few and far between. But here are a few who might find themselves in trouble if their teams underperform:

Jeff Hornacek (Phoenix Suns): Two years ago, Hornacek was a Coach of the Year candidate for taking a team that was supposed to be one of the league’s very works and making them into almost a playoff team. Last season was another near-miss. This season, the Suns are once again on the bubble of being a playoff team — there’s a chance they could grab the eighth seed in the Western Conference, if a lot goes right. Hornacek deserves a lot of credit for their sooner-than-expected success. The only reason he’s on this list is the potential for a chemistry disaster on this roster. Between Markieff Morris‘ situation and another attempt at a two-point guard lineup (this time with Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight), there’s a lot that could go wrong, and if the Suns fall out of playoff contention. Hornacek could find himself in a little hot water. But that’s unlikely.

Lionel Hollins (Brooklyn Nets): Hollins has always felt like something of a short-term solution in Brooklyn. The Nets tried going young at the head coaching spot with Jason Kidd, who clashed with management over control before leaving for Milwaukee. This Nets roster is middling at best — some solid veterans, not a lot of young talent, no future hope to speak of unless they land a marquee free agent next summer. Their ceiling is the eighth seed and a first-round exit; their floor is a lot worse than that. It would take a catastrophic start to the year for Hollins to lose his job during the season, but there isn’t exactly a lot of long-term security in his position.

Derek Fisher (New York Knicks): It’s hard to see Phil Jackson firing his protege less than two years in, but the Knicks enter the season with the goal of competing for a playoff spot and a lot of potential to be worse than that. Don’t rule out James Dolan stepping in.

Steve Clifford (Charlotte Hornets): Clifford’s chances of losing his job during the season basically disappeared when Michael Kidd-Gilchrist went down with a shoulder injury that will likely keep him out the entire season. Without their best perimeter defender, the Hornets’ expectations are a lot lower than they would have been. Now, it’s hard to see them competing seriously for a playoff spot unless Jeremy Lamb makes a huge leap and proves himself capable of being an NBA-caliber starter. If they’re even competitive, it will be an enormous credit to Clifford, who is well-regarded around the league. The story would have been different if they had entered the season with a healthy roster and underperformed, but the MKG injury likely buys Clifford a year before this conversation starts up again.