All-Star weekend usually signals the official start of a frenzied week of rumors and eventually trades in the NBA. Everybody is in town — this year Houston — and general managers are talking face-to-face rather than texting and by Tuesday trades are picking up steam.
But maybe not this year.
If there was a buzz in Houston it’s that the luxury tax is scaring teams off big deals, and a lot of the trades you do see go down will be about lowering salary heading into next season more than improving the team on the floor.
The Raptors would love to move Andrea Bargnani but nobody else wants to play along and take on his $12 million next season. The Bobcats are desperately trying to move Ben Gordon but are finding few takers for the $13 million he is owed next year. Put Kris Humphries and the $12 million he is owed next season on the list. Even guys like Josh Smith are seeing reduced interest because even though he is in the last year of his deal if you trade for him you’ll have to try and re-sign him next summer and he wants five years, $90 million.
Starting next season the full weight of the tougher luxury tax kicks in as part of the new Collective Bargaining Agreement. Gone is the dollar-for-dollar tax (for every dollar you are over the luxury tax line the team paid an additional dollar penalty), replaced by a weighted tax that hits you heavier the father you are over the cap. Plus if you are over three years in a row a repeater tax comes in on top of that.
It’s got teams thinking long term and being cautious.
Oh, there will be trades — Josh Smith is the big name. Al Jefferson or Paul Millsap likely get traded out of Utah.
But most of what you will see is deals for guys such as J.J. Redick, DeJuan Blair, Omri Casspi and others. What you will see are smaller deals as teams make moves to save a few dollars, especially teams like the Warriors that are just a million or so over the luxury tax line and see no reason to pay it now.
The goal of the new CBA was to flatten out the tallent pool by making it too expensive (and restrictive in terms of trades) to be over the line. We’ll see how it works, but most teams are certainly scared of the new taxes.
Joakim Noah said in January he wanted to re-sign with the Bulls. Chicago reportedly wants to keep him.
A perfect match?
Joe Cowley of the Chicago Sun-Times:
According to a Bulls player, Noah has been telling teammates the last few weeks that he was done with the organization once free agency begins, and “has no trust in the front office getting this in the right direction.’’
The player was asked if Noah’s feelings had anything to do with first-year coach Fred Hoiberg and the he said, he said that went on early in the season when Noah lost his starting job, and insisted that Noah didn’t offer up that as an explanation.
What was offered up, however, was the fact that there seems to be a complete mistrust that multiple players have toward general manager Gar Forman, with Noah leading the way.
Noah and Hoiberg publicly disagreed about whose choice it was for Noah to come off the bench. Hoiberg said it was Noah’s. Noah said it was Hoiberg’s.
That looked like a petty problem, one both sides could – and maybe did – get over. But it seems Noah has deeper concerns.
This has been a rough year for the Bulls, who missed the playoffs for the first time in eight seasons. That unexpected downturn takes a toll on chemistry and brings buried problems to the surface. That’s especially true considering Chicago fired Tom Thibodeau – a coach who looks better in hindsight. If players miss Thibodeau, that opens the door for them to turn on Forman, who forced out Thibodeau.
That said, the Bulls are probably better off letting Noah walk. He’s 31 and has been banged up the last couple years. I wouldn’t commit big money to him with Taj Gibson, Nikola Mirotic and Bobby Portis under contract and the need for faster players to run Hoiberg’s system. Chicago can’t quickly solve its Jimmy Butler–Derrick Rose issue, because Butler is worth keeping and Rose is under contract another year on a difficult-to-trade deal. But shedding Noah and using the resulting cap flexibility elsewhere gets the team headed in the right direction.
For his part, Noah can seek a fresh start – how about with Thibodeau in Minnesota? – and find a team that suits him, either a win-now squad or a younger group seeking veteran leadership.
An Indiana player – Thomas Bryant – who likely would’ve been a first-round pick didn’t even declare for the draft without an agent.
Another Indiana player – Troy Williams – who might not even get picked will stay in the draft.
Gregg Doyel of The Indianapolis Star:
Williams, a 6-foot-7 small forward, is an excellent athlete. He’s not strong enough and hasn’t shown enough awareness to project him defending well in the NBA yet. But his length, quickness and leaping ability give him potential on that end. That and transition offense will have to carry him for now, because his outside shot is unimpressive.
There are players like Williams in every draft. It’s on him to convince a team that he has the work ethic and intelligence to refine his game.
The Warriors are taking a beating on the court, but their turmoil reached heartbreaking levels in Klay Thompson‘s press conference after Game 4.
Thompson, scanning the box score for any semblance of hope, applauded Golden State’s “40 assists” – which would have been the most in a playoff game since 1994. But he quickly realized that couldn’t be right, looked again and sadly announced Golden State had just 15 assists.
Thompson was probably looking at the Warriors’ rebounding total (which was 16 below the Thunder’s).
When Draymond Green kicked Steven Adams in the groin, it did more than create mass debate about the appropriate punishment.
Green hurt Adams badly, it sounds like.
John E. Hoover of The Franchise Tulsa:
Once you finish wincing, take a moment to appreciate how tough Adams is. He kept playing in the game and then came out in Game 4 throwing bullet passes.