Damian Lillard, Austin Rivers

Who is going to win Rookie of the Year? Try Damian Lillard.

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Predicting who is going to win Rookie of the Year is a lot like trying to predict this winter’s snowfall totals in the first week of September — we have some broad trends to go on but the specifics are ahead of us still. It’s a guess.

My guess: Damian Lillard of the Portland Trail Blazers.

There are a few reasons for this. One is that he is better than people realized coming in the draft — he went all the way up to No. 6 but came from off the radar. One of the key reasons he wasn’t higher was he played at Weber State in Utah, a school people end up at as a safety school and one without great competition in basketball. Team GMs had to sell owners and fans Lillard was not a long shot pick.

When I saw him at Summer League in Las Vegas he clearly was not. He was an explosive athlete. He can and did score and there were moments you pictured a Russell Westbrook like attacker. But he also showed way more polish as a rookie than scoring guards like Westbrook and Derrick Rose showed.

What is more, he goes on to a team with LaMarcus Aldridge and Nicolas Batum, as well as some other veterans. He’s got a guy on the wing and an All-Star in the post to play off. Guys he can feed for open looks, guys who create lanes for him because the defense can’t help. Yes, the talent he has to face (particularly at the point) is substantially better at the NBA level than Summer League, but he is in a position to succeed.

That is, if he is given the green light. If the goal of the Blazers coaching staff is to control him and not let a rookie make decisions, he will be limited.

What about Anthony Davis, you ask? He’s going to be very good, he is going to come in as a defensive force, and in a few years he is going to be the best player out of this class.

Davis is a long, shot-blocking, rim-protecting big man but to really be effective doing that at the NBA level — to be Tyson Chandler or Dwight Howard — he must get stronger. Guys will be able to physically overpower him right now. Plus, the pace of the game and what he will be asked to do defensively will be an adjustment.

And really, you don’t win the ROY award by playing defense. You’ve got to score. And while Davis can finish around the rim and while he has some midrange game, he is not going to be asked to score much. Offense they get from him will be a bonus. Eric Gordon will lead this team on the offensive end.

Davis is so very good and he could still win ROY. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist stands a chance because he will get minutes on a bad Bobcats team, because he will hustle every play like few in the league, and because he showed in Las Vegas he has a better shot than he got credit for coming out of college. I like him

But Lillard is very good — athletically and making decisions — and he is in a position to succeed with players around him. He’s my pick because he will impress and put up numbers. It may take a while for the casual fans and national columnists to catch up, but he will be the guy to watch.

It’s going to be fun to watch it play out.

Jason Terry says he reached out to multiple contenders, then settled on Bucks

OAKLAND, CA - APRIL 27:  Jason Terry #31 of the Houston Rockets dribbles the ball against the Golden State Warriors in Game Five of the Western Conference Quarterfinals during the 2016 NBA Playoffs at ORACLE Arena on April 27, 2016 in Oakland, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
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Jason Kidd wanted Jason Terry to come to Milwaukee to provide a veteran presence for a young team. There are not a lot of minutes to go around — Matthew Dellavedova and Kris Middleton start in the backcourt, and Giannis Antetokounmpo will have the ball in his hands a lot — but there is a chance for Terry to mentor and share run with Rashad Vaughn and Malcolm Brogdon.

Before signing with the Bucks, Terry said on his SiriusXM NBA Radio show Monday he considered other options including Cleveland and Golden State.

“I had a couple of contenders that I was seriously looking at. Two of them were in the Finals. I made a call to Pop. San Antonio was another one.”

“I always thought about going back and trying to finish off where I started in Atlanta. I liked what they did. And then I seriously considered Boston, though we didn’t have a conversation.”

Terry also said there was interest in the Lakers.

How many of those teams were interested in him is another question.

Last season, Terry was solid for the Rockets showing some playmaking skills, and a catch-and-shoot game that included knocking down 35.6 percent from three. But he’s not a fit everywhere, for example, an up-and-coming team like Boston makes little sense for Terry because the Celtics are loaded at the guard spots. Could the Cavaliers have used him as a Kyrie Irving backup? Maybe. But there were limited fits. As evidenced by the fact Terry took the veteran minimum to play for the Bucks.

That said, he could be a good fit in Milwaukee. I just wouldn’t get another Larry O’Brien tattoo just yet.

Report: After failing to trade him, Heat tell Josh McRoberts he is in their plans this season

BOSTON, MA - APRIL 13: Josh McRoberts #4 of the Miami Heat handles the ball in the first half against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on April 13, 2016 in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Mike Lawrie/Getty Images)
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When Josh McRoberts signed in Miami, he was going to be part of the post-LeBron relaunch of the team — and it seemed like a smart signing. However, in two seasons injuries have limited McRoberts to 59 games total, meaning  891 minutes. When he has played, he has been a shell of his former self. Which is too bad, because healthy McRoberts was a lot of fun to watch — he could shoot the ball to space the floor, plus was an active defender.

The Heat have tried to move McRoberts in a trade for a while now, but with no takers — the Heat were going to have to throw in a pick or other sweetener to get a deal done, so they backed off. Now, the Heat have pivoted and are telling McRoberts he is part of their future plans, according to Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald.

Though he was mentioned in trade rumors previously, the Heat has indicated to Josh McRoberts’ camp that he’s in the team’s plans for this season, his agent said, adding Miami called to go over his offseason training and make sure everyone is on the same page.

McRoberts will make $5.8 million this season and has a $6 million player option for 2017-18. But the Heat will need to dump someone with a guaranteed deal if it wants to keep point guard Briante Weber.

Why the change? Miami has a question mark at the power forward spot: Will Chris Bosh play? If so, will he be limited in minutes or travel? While there are hints from the organization Bosh will be on the court, nothing is set in stone. Behind him at the four spot are McRoberts, Derrick Williams, and the veteran Udonis Haslem.

Meaning it might be wise for Miami to hold on to McRoberts to see if he both can play and is needed. However, I’d be shocked in I didn’t hear his name come up in trade rumors again.

James Harden organizing Rockets pre-camp workout this week

HOUSTON, TEXAS - APRIL 13:  James Harden #13 of the Houston Rockets reacts to a three point shot during the second half of a game against the Sacramento Kings at the Toyota Center on April 13, 2016 in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
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Last year, James Harden organized a pre-camp workout where Rockets players could get in shape and develop some chemistry. Then the Rockets started the season slowly with Harden not being in good enough shape and the team having chemistry issues.

Hopefully, for Rockets’ fan this year is different — once again Harden is organizing a camp, reports, Fox 26 in Houston. And Harden is working to show what a great teammate he is.

For the second consecutive year Houston Rockets guard James Harden has organized a players-only minicamp scheduled for next week.

“James is doing everything,” said Corey Brewer, Rockets guard/forward. “He is showing he wants to be a leader. He’s the franchise player. He signed the extension. So it’s his team, and he’s doing all the right things to do what we need to do to have a chance to win championships.”

Harden’s plan is to hold the minicamp in Miami. However, the potential of bad weather hitting South Florida may cause the Rockets players to work in a different city.

Nearly every team does one of these, and how much good they do depends on who you ask. Teams that go deep in the playoffs have these camps, teams that disappoint and never make the playoffs have these camps. It certainly never hurts to get some voluntary team workouts in before the coaches take over at the end of September, and good on Harden for organizing it.

Just don’t read too much into any team doing this.

Top 10 NBA plays of last season by position (video)

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Which position – point guard, shooting guard, small forward, power forward or center – produced the best highlights last season?

Watch this video to find out and be glad the positional revolution didn’t reduce it fewer highlights.