Atlanta Hawks v Boston Celtics - Game Four

Three Game 6s, who is going on to Game 7?


Game 6 — it means somebody will be punching their ticket to the next round, but others are headed to a win-or-go-home Game 7.

We’ve got three Game 6s tonight, a couple we didn’t expect to see. Who is going to push it to a Game 7? Here is a look at each of the games.

Atlanta at Boston (Celtics lead 3-2): This series changed when Al Horford returned — if he had been healthy (or healthy enough) all series things would have been different. But now with him back the Hawks are trying to win three straight against the veteran Celtics, and this one is back home in the Boston Garden where the Celtics play better. Paul Pierce has a banged up left knee but is a go and he needs to be the attacking Paul and not jump shooting Paul — he has to draw fouls and get to the line — if the Celtics are going to close it out.

Boston is just one throwback game from Kevin Garnett or Ray Allen from advancing as well. But they have to get points inside, not just as jump shooters. And they need to find a way to slow Horford, especially at the end of games. But you just kind of expect this is where the Celtics veterans step up and end it.

Chicago at Philadelphia (Sixers lead 3-2): After Derrick Rose went down in Game 1 we expected a hangover for the Bulls, we just didn’t expect it to last three games. Finally Tom Thibodeau seemed to snap them out of it in Game 5 and the Bulls defense was back shutting down the Sixers, seemingly contesting every shot. That was enough to get them the win, but now the Bulls have to do it with a slowed Taj Gibson (ankle) and likely without Joakim Noah (game timed decision).

The Sixers need to treat this like Game 7 because they do not want to go back to Chicago. The Sixers need to attack, not just settle for jump shots, and they need to get Andre Iguodala and Lou Williams going. Coach Doug Collins said he the goal is to generate offense from their defense — get stops and run. Still, you know the Bulls will play good defense — the question is can they find enough offense, Chicago needs good games from Richard Hamilton, Luol Deng and Carlos Boozer or they will be on vacation far earlier than anyone expected.

Los Angeles at Denver (Lakers lead 3-2): Do you have any idea what Lakers team will show up tonight? Which Andrew Bynum? Do you have any idea what JaVale McGee will show up? Me neither. Plus, Kobe Bryant is a game-time decision with a stomach virus (although it’s Kobe, so you know he will play, he just may not be 100 percent). If you are in Las Vegas, stay away from this one.

The real thing to watch in this game is the Lakers outside shooters. Last game Denver collapsed and doubled on the Lakers bigs just daring somebody, anybody to beat them from the outside. No Laker could. If the Lakers make those shots they change the Nuggets defense, if they miss it’s long rebounds to get the Nuggets running.

Doc Rivers: Clippers might blow up roster if they fall short this season

Chris Paul, Blake Griffin DeAndre Jordan, Doc Rivers
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The Clippers have gone 56-26, 57-25 and 56-26 the last three years – clearing the commonly accepted 55-win bar for championship contention.

But they’ve also won only zero, one and one playoff series in that span.

Zach Lowe of Grantland:

The Clippers have had three cracks at it with Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, and DeAndre Jordan all in their primes, and they’re not afraid to admit the fourth could be their last — that another flameout will force them to ask whether the core has grown stale.

“We’re right on the borderline,” Doc Rivers tells Grantland during a long sit-down at his office. “I have no problem saying that. I’m a believer that teams can get stale. After a while, you don’t win. It just doesn’t work. We’re right at the edge. Oklahoma City is on the edge. Memphis, too. We just have to accept it.”

I disagree with Rivers.

It’s so hard to assemble a roster that can win a title, and the Clippers absolutely have one. If they fall short this season, they’ll probably still have a title-contending roster the following year. They shouldn’t throw that away just for the sake of change.

Paul (30), Jordan (27) and Griffin (26) are young enough for the Clippers to remain patient.

Rivers makes a good point later in Lowe’s article:

“You need luck in the West,” he says. “Look at Golden State. They didn’t have to play us or the Spurs. But that’s also a lesson for us: When you have a chance to close, you have to do it.”

The Warriors were the NBA’s best team last season, but they also got plenty of breaks. That’s why they won the title.

The Clippers might need more luck to win a championship, but it wouldn’t be an overwhelming amount. The better a team is, the less luck it needs. The Grizzlies can probably win a title with all the right breaks, but they need more than the Clippers.

It’s about being good enough to win with the right breaks.

The Clippers are that. They’ll probably be that unless they do something drastic.

Unless a lopsided trade comes around, I’d stick with Paul, Griffin and Jordan until they really prove they can’t win together. That would take years. A team not winning a title is not proof it can’t win a title. Every year, multiple teams can win a championship. Obviously, only one does.

Rivers has it good with his big three. This shouldn’t be a make-or-break year for them.

51 Q: Which coaches start the year on the hot seat?

Lionel Hollins
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Going into every season, there are a few coaches under pressure to perform or risk losing their jobs. This season, the operative word there is “few.” Looking around the NBA, most coaches are either new on the job or aren’t in any real danger of losing theirs. There are five brand-new coaches: Billy Donovan (Oklahoma City), Fred Hoiberg (Chicago), Alvin Gentry (New Orleans), Michael Malone (Denver) and Scott Skiles (Orlando). The coaches they replaced were mostly the ones whose names often came up in these discussions. Practically everywhere else, there is either a long track record of success or clear signs that ownership is happy with the job the coach is doing. Coaches who are actually on the hot seat are few and far between. But here are a few who might find themselves in trouble if their teams underperform:

Jeff Hornacek (Phoenix Suns): Two years ago, Hornacek was a Coach of the Year candidate for taking a team that was supposed to be one of the league’s very works and making them into almost a playoff team. Last season was another near-miss. This season, the Suns are once again on the bubble of being a playoff team — there’s a chance they could grab the eighth seed in the Western Conference, if a lot goes right. Hornacek deserves a lot of credit for their sooner-than-expected success. The only reason he’s on this list is the potential for a chemistry disaster on this roster. Between Markieff Morris‘ situation and another attempt at a two-point guard lineup (this time with Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight), there’s a lot that could go wrong, and if the Suns fall out of playoff contention. Hornacek could find himself in a little hot water. But that’s unlikely.

Lionel Hollins (Brooklyn Nets): Hollins has always felt like something of a short-term solution in Brooklyn. The Nets tried going young at the head coaching spot with Jason Kidd, who clashed with management over control before leaving for Milwaukee. This Nets roster is middling at best — some solid veterans, not a lot of young talent, no future hope to speak of unless they land a marquee free agent next summer. Their ceiling is the eighth seed and a first-round exit; their floor is a lot worse than that. It would take a catastrophic start to the year for Hollins to lose his job during the season, but there isn’t exactly a lot of long-term security in his position.

Derek Fisher (New York Knicks): It’s hard to see Phil Jackson firing his protege less than two years in, but the Knicks enter the season with the goal of competing for a playoff spot and a lot of potential to be worse than that. Don’t rule out James Dolan stepping in.

Steve Clifford (Charlotte Hornets): Clifford’s chances of losing his job during the season basically disappeared when Michael Kidd-Gilchrist went down with a shoulder injury that will likely keep him out the entire season. Without their best perimeter defender, the Hornets’ expectations are a lot lower than they would have been. Now, it’s hard to see them competing seriously for a playoff spot unless Jeremy Lamb makes a huge leap and proves himself capable of being an NBA-caliber starter. If they’re even competitive, it will be an enormous credit to Clifford, who is well-regarded around the league. The story would have been different if they had entered the season with a healthy roster and underperformed, but the MKG injury likely buys Clifford a year before this conversation starts up again.