No Rondo, but Boston still dangerous against Hawks in Game 2

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It can happen. For one game, the Boston Celtics can beat the Atlanta Hawks while Rajon Rondo sits at the hotel, suspended for bumping an official. It would Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett would need to bounce back with huge games, it would mean the Celtics bench would have to step up. But it could happen.

Or, it could go the other way — Boston could become disorganized on the offensive end, Boston could watch Joe Johnson get hot from three and knock down shots while Jeff Teague again controls the flow. Boston could well be down two games after Tuesday night.

How Boston plays without Rondo, and how the Hawks attack with him gone, is what will determine the outcome of Game 2. The Hawks already lead the series 1-0.

Boston is used to playing without Rondo, they did it for 13 games this season. They are not as good without him, not over the long haul. But the playoffs are a series of one-game acts in a much longer play, and for one night Boston can win and even this series.

For the Hawks, the way they won Game 1 did not seem sustainable — Josh Smith jacked up 14 jump shots longer than 16 feet from the rim and took just five shots inside the restricted area. Joe Johnson was 0-9 from three. You can say it’s good they won despite those things, but if Smith jacking up jumpers is the rule and not the exception it will come back to bite Atlanta. In Game 1 those missed shots were balanced out by Jeff Teague’s good play and 15 points, plus a quality night from Jason Collins. Yes, he played well, particularly on post defense against Garnett. If the Smith and Johnson keep shooting and missing from distance (in Smith’s case, just shooting from there) Atlanta will pay a price.

Teague needs to have another big game, Smith needs to get in the paint and Johnson needs to shoot better. Which will not be easy against a good Celtics defense, but the Hawks have a better game in them.

Boston needs Pierce to simply shoot better. He had 12 points on 19 shots and was 2-of-14 from beyond 16 feet — Josh Smith was a better jump shooter in Game 1. If that happens again Boston will lose.

Boston will start Avery Bradley at the point and Mickael Pietrus at the two. Rivers doesn’t really have a choice with those moves, but it’s the kind of thing that after the game could look brilliant or foolish.

Bradley and Pierce need to attack Jason Collins on the pick-and-roll — that was very successful for the Celtics in the fourth quarter of Game 1 and Boston needs to do more of it. Rondo is by far their best pick-and-roll ball handler, but somebody else needs to step up for them.

The Hawks need this game — go to Boston tied 1-1 with Rondo returning and it will be bleak for the Hawks. The need to be up 2-0. The veteran Celtics know if they can pull this one out they will have snatched home court and momentum. Lose and the Celtics are not dead but they have to win 4 out of 5.

It’s big for both teams. And without Rondo it is unpredictable.

Three things to watch: Boston Celtics vs. Washington Wizards

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1. How much will these teams’ disdain for each other color the series?

Back in January, the Wizards wore all black for a figurative funeral while arriving for a game against the Celtics then buried Boston in a 123-108 win.

But the Celtics are still alive and ready for the next stage in a rivalry that has included:

Both teams appear primed for more hijinks. The Wizards taunted the Hawks throughout their first-round series, and Boston crossed the line with the Bulls.

2. Which team is actually better?

The Wizards outpaced the Celtics in my adjusted-for-playoff-rotation rankings before the postseason began. But getting a clear picture of who’s in the teams’ playoff rotations and counting the first round turns the tables.

Here’s both teams’ offensive, defensive and net ratings from the regular season to counting only lineups (regular season and first round) comprised of five players projected to be in the teams’ rotation this series:

1. Boston Celtics

  • Offensive rating: 112.4 to 116.2
  • Defensive rating: 109.8 to 110.4
  • Net rating: +2.6 to +5.8

4. Washington Wizards

  • Offensive rating: 111.7 to 115.6
  • Defensive rating:  110.0 to 110.5
  • Net rating: +1.7 to +5.1

Even with the flaws in these numbers – small sample sizes and no control for competition – the question of which team will put a better team on the floor in this series isn’t everything. Boston has home-court advantage, and that matters.

The complete updated playoff-rotation-adjusted ratings will be released Monday, after the first round ends.

3. How will the MVP-vote-getting point guards match up?

Both the Celtics and Wizards are reasonably deep, but good luck keeping your eyes off their star point guards. Isaiah Thomas and John Wall both received fifth-place MVP votes, tributes to their importance to their teams.

Thomas is Boston’s lone reliable scorer, and that brings a heavy fourth-quarter burden – which he has answered all year. Even when opponents know he’ll get the ball, they haven’t stopped him. Wall also drives Washington’s offense, though he does it with a more balanced passing and scoring attack throughout the game.

But Wall’s primary argument for superiority over other big-name point guards – including Thomas – is his defense. The 6-foot-4 Wall will have an opportunity to show that against the 5-foot-9 Thomas. Likewise, Thomas has a chance to pester Wall enough to show the defensive gap isn’t too wide.

Warriors hope to get Shaun Livingston, Matt Barnes back for second round

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OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) — The Golden State Warriors hope to get injured reserves Shaun Livingston and Matt Barnes back from injuries for the second round of the playoffs after getting more than a week off between series.

The Warriors said Saturday that Barnes has been upgraded to probable for Tuesday night’s Game 1 and Livingston remains questionable but is hopeful he will be ready to return. Star forward Kevin Durant is expected to be a full go after missing two games and being limited to 20 minutes in Game 4 last round because of a strained left calf.

Barnes has been sidelined since April 8, while Livingston sprained a finger on his right hand in Game 1 of the first-round against Portland.

Golden State begins the second round at home on Tuesday night against the winner of Sunday’s Game 7 between the Los Angeles Clippers and Utah Jazz. The Warriors have been off since sweeping the Trail Blazers last Monday, giving them more than a week between games.

“I’m trying to make sure I rest it as much as I possibly can, because when I do come back I plan on staying all the way back,” Livingston said Saturday. “Hopefully it will be ready for Tuesday.”

After taking Tuesday and Thursday off following their first-round sweep, the Warriors practiced for a second straight day Saturday. They plan to practice again on Sunday and then again Monday once they know their second-round opponent.

There is no update on the status of coach Steve Kerr, who missed the final two games of the first round because of complications from two back surgeries. Kerr talks daily with interim coach Mike Brown and took part in coaching meetings Friday but was not at practice on Saturday.

PBT Extra: Rockets vs. Spurs far more than Kawhi Leonard vs. James Harden

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Kawhi Leonard vs. James Harden. Two MVP candidates matching up in the second round of the NBA playoffs.

However, the San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets is much more than that.

It’s a battle of pace. It’s a chess match between two of the best coaches in the game. It’s about which team’s role players are going to step up.

I talk about all of that in this latest PBT Extra. Plus, of course, when Leonard will guard Harden.

How to start your Saturday night: Watching 15 minutes of best plays from NBA season

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There are no NBA playoff games Saturday night, the first night since the start of the postseason there hasn’t been one game. Don’t worry, there are two games on Sunday, including Game 7 between the Jazz and Clippers.

But if you need a Saturday night fix, this will have to do: 15 minutes of the best plays from last season, as compiled by NBA.com.

Go ahead, watch it. You’ve got nothing better to do.