Weekend Observations 1.14.12: The Nightmarejao Effect

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Each weekend we bring you 25 random observations from the NBA week that was. 

1. Gregg Popovich’s talk about defense isn’t just his usual grousing. The Spurs were brilliant the first handful of games defensively but their regression has seemed very emblematic of last year’s team. They are slipping further and further away from what won them a championship. And the regression seems to be a tendency for this roster and not a philosophical divide.

2. While you were reading this, Ivan Johnson burned your village down and dunked on you.

3. I said after the loss to L.A. that for Memphis to win consistently with Zach Randolph out, Rudy Gay would have to average 25 points or more. In the next game, he scored 26 points. The Grizzlies won. I am clearly a genius. But in reality, it’s just that the Grizzlies need a versatile scorer who can force the defense to react and create opportunities for other players.

4. Andre Miller should not be starting and definitely not in Denver.

5. I a choosing not to be frustrated by the lost potential of Dwight Howard’s free throw shooting and instead focus on the fact that he is not going through the motions despite his trade demand, and instead murdering teams inside and on the glass.

6. Some things just say it all about the truncated season’s impact on shooting percentages.

7. There isn’t a player in the league who simultaneously has a poorer level of self-awareness off the floor than LeBron James, and there isn’t a player who has a higher level of self-awareness on the floor than James. Any writer who’s profiled him will tell you how much he pays attention to basketball 24-7. He always has it on at his house. He’s always studying it. That same self-awareness has something to do with his fourth-quarter foibles, no matter how you choose to interpret them. Too far in his own head.

8. MOAR JEREBKO.

9. Modern NBA defense is built around preventing perimeter penetration with help defense. Derrick Rose is faster than help defense. You know the old idea that you can outrun the cop car but you can’t outrun the radio? Rose can outrun a sattelite array.

10. It’s probably time to start wondering if Ian Mahinmi shouldn’t start for Mavericks, even if the learning experience would be painful for a while.

11. Beating bad teams get you very little credit in this league. But considering that Philadelphia is absolutely obliterating them, maybe if you add it all up it amounts to credit.

12. When James Harden winds up starting for the Thunder, Al Harrington should move into the top 6th Man of the Year spot.

13. It’s true that the Lakers can’t lean on Kobe Bryant this much when the playoffs start. But isn’t it nice for the Lakers to know they can?

14. It might be time to go ahead and abandon the Bucks ship. I know it’s early, but it’s so difficult to see a scoring dynamic developing there that will allow them to win consistently.

15. This is your weekly reminder that Antawn Jamison, well-intentioned, total professional that he is, still shouldn’t be playing.

16. We will miss your efficiency and crafty play, Al Horford.

17. Ricky Rubio and Derrick Williams already have such great chemistry. Williams needs more minutes.

18. Both Denver and the Clippers employed a tactic against the Heat this week that the Mavericks used in the Finals. It’s just a slight full-court press, just enough to stop the ball momentarily, which allows the other defenders toset the transition defense and force the Heat up against the clock. And it still works.

19. If you’ve seen the real Kevin Garnett, please call Boston. They’re worried.

20. Anyone who sees the Raptors’ record and really thinks they’re “bad” isn’t really watching their games. Same goes for the Bobcats. Losing to bad teams on good nights and good teams on bad nights doesn’t put you in New Jersey or Washington’s class.

21. Kyrie Iving is doing more to help his team compete every night than any rookie in the league. He likely will not get enough attention, but it should be noted how good Irving has been this year. He’s really come alive this week. He’s playing smarter with every game.

22. Anthony Morrow has rediscovered his offensive game, and that’s a really good thing for all involved.

23. I’d be so much more forgiving of DeMarcus Cousins’ inconsistency and immaturity if he gave anything resembling a passionate approach on defense. Samuel Dalembert ate his lunch this week, among others.

24. Utah’s frontcourt is one of the most fun to watch in the league. Versatile, relentless, and confident. It’s starting to mesh in Utah after a horrific start to the year.

25. And in conclusion, Iman Shumpert. OK, maybe not as much Iman Shumpert as the Memphis game. But still.

Adam Silver: NBA could eventually reseed in conference finals

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NBA commissioner Adam Silver has three major talking points on 1-16 playoff seeding (rather than the current system of 1-8 seeding by conference):

1. He likes the idea of it.

2. He doesn’t feel bound by the tradition of an East vs. West format.

3. Travel is a big impediment. Not only would there be more playoff series between teams farther away, the regular-season schedule would have to be balanced and therefore include more games between teams currently in opposite conferences.

(An important point I think Silver doesn’t raise nearly enough publicly in regard to a balanced schedule: That’d mean more away games that start at 10 p.m. for Eastern Conference fans and more away games that start at 4 p.m. for Western Conference fans. That can’t be good for TV ratings.)

The NBA commissioner added another consideration in the debate.

Silver on ESPN:

The other thing you could potentially do is reseed at the conference finals. And that deals with if your two best teams are in the same conference. So, there are some other approaches to deal with. You want the two best teams to meet in the Finals.

A balanced schedule wouldn’t be necessary with this setup. The semifinals would either be fairer and produce a better NBA Finals or have the same matchup we’d get in the current system.

Even more importantly, this could pass.

As fun as it is to debate the optimal postseason format, there’s no way enough Eastern Conference owners (at least five, necessary to create a two-thirds majority) approve. They want to protect their eight playoff spots and guaranteed Finals spot.

But what if Eastern Conference teams were still guaranteed eight playoff spots and two semifinals spots? That be enough. The Rockets and Warriors – two Western Conference teams – are the NBA’s best this season. In coming years, it could be the 76ers and Celtics – two Eastern Conference teams. That’s far more variable than which conference is stronger throughout.

If teams in championship contention feel the very top of their conference will be weaker than the other conference, they could resist. But that still leaves contenders that don’t feel that way and non-contenders that want the additional shared revenue a better NBA Finals would generate.

That’s a plausible path to 20 yes votes and something we should take seriously.

Knicks owner James Dolan: Jeff Hornacek ‘way behind’ in dealing with modern players

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The Knicks fired Jeff Hornacek as soon as they returned to New York following their season-ending win in Cleveland.

Then, they really unloaded on the coach.

Knicks owner James Dolan, via Larry Brooks of the New York Post:

“I think Hornacek had the same kind of issue that Phil did in that he didn’t grasp how different the players are now in the way they think and deal with management and the coaches,” Dolan said. “I think he was way behind on that.

“But I think Jeff is a good coach and he’ll do well when he’s hired by another team.”

“The old-style coaching doesn’t work,” Dolan said. “A coach who tries to do everything himself isn’t going to be successful.

Knicks president Steve Mills, via Marc Berman of the New York Post:

“I think just as we observed the team, there were a lot of things that we just thought would be better at, from attention to detail to player accountability, and Jeff did a good job in some areas. In some areas he could have done a bit of a better job.

Knicks general manager Scott Perry, via Berman:

“The evaluation of Jeff for 82 games, we evaluated everything — practices to games to ability to connect with guys. I think we need to be better in that area and with adjustments. It’s something we could be better at with the expectations we have for our next coach.”

“We could have been a little bit better in situational basketball,” Perry said. “We understand the roster as much as anybody. In terms of consistency, we fell a little bit short in that area.”

This is atypical candor about a fired coach. Most teams just thank him and move on.

But I appreciate it. Don’t we all want to know more of what NBA teams are thinking internally? This is revelatory.

That said, I don’t blindly trust the Dolan/Mills/Perry triumvirate. The Knicks have misevaluated too many people for too long. This more about knowing how they viewed things than knowing this is how things are.

Frank Isola of the New York Daily News:

According to a source, Dolan last season sent an email to Hornacek saying he was disappointed in him for not buying fully into the triangle offense. This took place sometime around the All Star break. So we know that as recently as last season Dolan, who loves to tell you he’s not involved, was actually pushing Phil Jackson’s offense down Hornacek’s throat in a not-so-subtle way.

Dolan had Phil’s back. And then on Wednesday, Dolan trashed Jackson for being out of touch. Man, life comes at you fast.

To be fair, Suns general manager Ryan McDonough also cited Hornacek’s lack of connection with his players when firing him. This will be something Hornacek must answer for if he pursues future head-coaching jobs. Hornacek feuded with Marcus Morris in Phoenix and Joakim Noah, Kyle O'Quinn and reportedly Kristaps Porzingis in New York.

Not that the Knicks set up Hornacek to succeed. They didn’t.

Now, they must find a coach who will perform better in all the areas they just criticized Hornacek for. That’ll be more difficult than criticizing him on the way out the door.

76ers in their feelings about garbage-time shots (video)

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In the Heat’s Game 2 win over the 76ers, Philadelphia rushed a 3-pointer to cut Miami’s lead to eight with 6.2 seconds left. Heat point guard Goran Dragic took the ensuing inbound, dribbled past a pressing Ben Simmons, avoided a swipe attempt by Robert Covington and drove in for an uncontested layup:

Covington, via Anthony Chiang of The Palm Beach Post:

“It definitely matters because you can just dribble it out, everything,” Philadelphia forward Robert Covington said. “But you know, we don’t understand why he did it. But overall, we just said, OK, that gives us anticipation because obviously he didn’t care about the simple fact of the score of the game. They were already winning.”

Dragic, via Chiang:

“I don’t care,” Dragic said when asked about the Sixers’ reaction to the play. “The first game we were down 30 and they were still running [inbounds plays after timeouts] with seven seconds left in the game. It’s the playoffs. I’m doing everything it takes.”

Dragic’s play was perfectly fine. If the 76ers didn’t like it, they should have stopped it. Beyond that, why risk allowing a miracle comeback? It was the right, safe play.

Philadelphia tried to return the favor in its alreadyfeisty Game 3 win last night.

His 76ers up 19 with the shot clock off, Ben Simmons pushed the ball ahead and passed to a streaking Dario Saric, who attempted a layup. Kelly Olynyk blocked Saric’s attempt. Then, Miami guard Wayne Ellington fouled Covington with 1.7 seconds left, prolonging the game with free throws:

Philadelphia center Joel Embiid, via Ian Begley of ESPN:

“I wish I was there in that Game 2, because I was kind of pissed about it. … I was on the sideline, really mad,” Embiid, who missed the first two games of the series due to an orbital fracture and concussion.

Embiid said he told his teammates to look to score if they encountered the same scenario late in Game 3.

“It’s always good to blow a team out,” he said. “I think we were up 18 or 20 and if you could get that lead up to 22, I think it’s good. I love blowing teams out. I like the fact that we did that. We’re not here to make friends. We’re here to win a series.”

Heat forward Winslow, via Begley:

“I think they felt disrespected by Goran’s [layup], and we weren’t just going to let them do that,” Miami’s Justise Winslow said.

This is all so silly.

Last month, Saric scored late on the (pressing) Cavaliers in a game that looked decided. (Cleveland guard Jordan Clarkson then threw the ball at Saric and got ejected.) But the 76ers are going to be aggrieved now?

To their credit, the Heat fulfilled the don’t-it?, stop-it philosophy with Olynyk’s block.

Jrue Holiday stops to point at Jusuf Nurkic, who had just gotten dunked on by Anthony Davis (video)

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Jrue Holiday has spent most of the Pelicans-Trail Blazers series making life miserable for Portland star guards Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum.

In New Orleans’ Game 3 win last night, Holiday turned to tormenting Jusuf Nurkic.

After Anthony Davis putback-dunked on Nurkic, Holiday stopped to point at the Trail Blazers center. Yes, we saw. But I still appreciate Holiday calling our attention to Nurkic just in case.