5 Things to Watch, Celtics-Knicks: A good ol’ fashioned Christmas brawl at the bowery

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GAMES. There will be actual NBA games played today starting at noon. To get you pumped, ready, and primed for the start of the 2011-2012 NBA season, we give you five things to keep an eye on today in Celtics-Knicks.

To get you pumped:

 

Not just an old-fashioned love song.

The Knicks didn’t put up much of a fight against the Celtics in last year’s playoffs. They were thin, injured, and burned out from pushing just to get into the Sweet 16. So it doesn’t seem like there’s much bad blood. But expect this to get chippy early and often. The Celtics have to bully the Knicks in order to maintain a mental edge because, in reality, the Celtics are long in the tooth and short on the bench.  They need help and their attitude is the best thing they have going for them. But the bigger issue is the Knicks are trying to change their culture. Tyson Chandler was brought in to make them a bigger, meaner, tougher team, and that’s going to filter through. It doesn’t take much for Melo to start swinging. This thing could turn ugly early in the kind of thing the NBA wants to avoid. If it doesn’t, whoever winds up the bully wins the game.

Good luck with that, rook. 

Presumably, Iman Shumpert will get significant playing time behind Landry Fields at shooting guard. Which means Shumpert will be tasked with defending Ray Allen. That’s nerve-wracking enough on its own, but that also means Shumpert has to bust through the 700 screens the Celtics set for Allen, often moving, and often as brutal as they come. Shumpert’s got the usual rookie frame on him, so this will likely be a learning experience in how much he’s going to need to spend time in the weight room. As for Fields, his length and athleticism isn’t great, despite being a decent enough defender. The key with him will be sticking with Allen until the possession ends. Often times Allen sneaks out to the corner after offensive rebounds or loose balls wind up in the Celtics’ hands. That leaves him open. You have to have constant mindfulness. Like Buddha.

Landry Fields needs to be like Buddha.

Go big or go home.

Remember when the Celtics won Game 2 almost entirely because of Jared Jeffries getting blocked by Kevin Garnett? That will be Tyson Chandler this time. Good luck, KG. Garnett is expected to play minutes at the five spot with Jermaine O’Neal limited by age. That seems like a pretty dangerous setup considering Garnett’s no spring chicken himself. He’s got to save himself for a long season. Then again, it’s not like Tyson Chandler just hopped off the factory truck or is without injury issues either. If the Celtics can get Chandler in foul trouble, they can run small ball, and surprisingly, here, that helps them. Anything that involves moving Stoudemire to the four helps both in terms of offense, getting fouls on STAT, and taking away his energy on offense.

The Amazing Rondo. 

Here’s what Rajon Rondo averaged last year versus the Knicks. 11 points, 6 rebounds, 16.7 assists. Good night, nurse. Rondo has been unstoppable against the Knicks. He’s back, health, and in a bad mood from trade rumors. Rondo flourishes playing against Mike D’Antoni’s up and down style. If the Knicks can’t find anyone to get a handle on him, Rondo himself will destroy the Knicks and leave their stockings empty.

Paul’s not dead, but he is injured. 

Paul Pierce is not expected to play Sunday due to a bruised foot. He made the trip with the team, so it’s possible he could give it a go, but he’s not full strength. Great start for the C’s. The bigger issue with Pierce’s absence is it means Marquis Daniels will be guarding Carmelo Anthony, if not Brandon Bass sliding up from power forward. Anthony torched the Celtics in Boston during the playoffs, with the C’s narrowly surviving his onslaught. Melo is reportedly thinner and stronger, so it will be a tough matchup with or without Pierce. The Celtics need their captain badly.

As expected, Blake Griffin reportedly opted out of contract with Clippers

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Doc Rivers says he wants Blake Griffin back with the Clippers next season.

The bigger question: Does Blake Griffin want to be back with the Clippers next season?

The decision is in Griffin’s hands as he has done what was expected, opting out of his contract for the coming season, reports Adrian Wojnarowski of The Vertical at Yahoo Sports.

A number of teams — Boston, Miami, and others — are expected to take a run at Griffin. (In Boston’s case, he’s a backup plan to Gordon Hayward, but there will be conversations.)

What Chris Paul — also expected to opt out and become a free agent this summer — and Griffin choose to do will help set the market. They are two of the biggest free agent names out there where they could switch teams (Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant are staying put). If they take their time making a decision, it leaves the Clippers in a bind — they have to wait to hear from these two before starting replacing or rebuilding, but by the time they know other players may have decided — and could bottleneck the free agent process.

The Clippers are going to be one interesting team to watch this summer.

Pistons’ Kentavious Caldwell-Pope suspended two games for DUI

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This is the standard penalty for coaches and players hit with a DUI. I don’t think the penalty is stiff enough in general for a serious issue, but this is the precedent that has been set.

Detroit Pistons’ guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been suspended two games by the NBA for “pleading guilty to operating a motor vehicle while intoxicated, in violation of the law of the State of Michigan,” the NBA announced. He will miss the first two games of next season.

This will not stop Caldwell-Pope from getting PAID this summer.

A quality wing defender who hit 35 percent from three last season, he plays a position of need for a lot of teams and he is a restricted free agent. Other teams with cap space — Brooklyn and Sacramento come to mind — could step in and give him a max or near max offer. Then Stan Van Gundy needs to decide if he is going to match. He may not have much of a choice, if he wants to keep Andre Drummond and build an inside-out team around him, he needs Caldwell-Pope, and the Pistons don’t have the cap space to replace him.

One way or another, Caldwell-Pope is in line for a massive pay raise. This suspension will not slow teams, it just takes a little money out of his pocket.

 

Lonzo Ball tops Rookie of the Year early betting odds

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If you are betting right now on next year’s NBA Rookie of the Year award, you are a die-hard fan of your team and their new addition. Or, you have a problem and need to seek help. Maybe both.

Either way, the people at the gambling site Bovada have posted the early betting odds for the ROY award for next season.

Lonzo Ball (Lakers) 5/2
Ben Simmons (76ers) 3/1
Markelle Fultz (76ers) 5/1
De”Aaron Fox (Kings) 7/1
Josh Jackson (Suns) 9/1
Jayson Tatum (Celtics) 9/1
Jonathan Isaac (Magic) 16/1
Malik Monk (Hornets) 16/1
Dennis Smith (Mavericks) 16/1
John Collins (Hawks) 20/1
Justin Jackson (Trail Blazers) 22/1
Lauri Markkanen (Bulls) 22/1

Yes, Ben Simmons is in the mix.

The two bets I like here, if I were a gambling man, are Jackson in Phoenix and Dennis Smith in Dallas. I doubt Smith wins it, but Mavs coach Rick Carlisle said after the draft Smith will start for them next year, which means he gets opportunities and can rack up assists feeding Dirk Nowitzki at the elbow for a year.

Jackson is going to be unleashed in an up-tempo Suns offense where he will be the defender they need on the wing, play with high energy, and get buckets in transition. Winning ROY is as much about fit and opportunity as talent, and Jackson has landed in a good spot.

Paul George-Gordon Hayward-Celtics rumor doesn’t add up

AP Photo/George Frey
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Paul George reportedly wants to play with Gordon Hayward. George is also reportedly willing to join his desired team (universally accepted to be the Lakers) by means that don’t guarantee the highest salary.

Could the Celtics – who are pursuing Hayward in free agency – leverage those conditions into getting George?

Adam Kauffman of 98.5 The Sports Hub:

I don’t what George would do, but it’d be a MAJOR financial disadvantage to go this route.

There a couple ways it could happen – George getting extended-and-trade or George getting traded then signing an extension six months later. The latter would allow George to earn more than the former, but even if he pledged to sign an extension, would the Celtics trade for him knowing he’d have six months to change his mind if he doesn’t like Boston as much as anticipated?

There’s a bigger issue, anyway. Both extension routes would leave George earning far less than simply letting his contract expire then signing a new deal, either with his incumbent team or a new one.

Here’s a representation of how much George could earn by:

  • Letting his contract expire and re-signing (green)
  • Letting his contract expire and signing elsewhere (purple)
  • Getting traded and signing an extension six months later (gray)
  • Signing an extend-and-trade (yellow)

image

Expire & re-sign Expire & leave Trade, extend later Extend-and-trade
2018-19 $30.6 million $30.6 million $23,410,750 $23,410,750
2019-20 $33.0 million $32.1 million $25,283,610 $24,581,287
2020-21 $35.5 million $33.7 million $27,156,470 $25,751,825
2021-22 $37.9 million $35.2 million $29,029,330
2022-23 $40.4 million
Total $177.5 million $131.6 million $104,880,158 $73,743,861

Firm numbers are used when it’s just a calculation based on George’s current contract. When necessary to project the 2018-19 salary cap, I rounded.

The Celtics could theoretically renegotiate-and-extend, but that would require cap room that almost certainly wouldn’t exist after signing Hayward.

Simply, it’s next to impossible to see this happening. It’d be too costly to George.