Last season: 40-42, good for 10th place in the West, and six games out of the playoff picture.
Head Coach: Alvin Gentry
Key Departures: Vince Carter was waived by the team and was picked up by Dallas. Aaron Brooks signed to play in China just before the lockout was resolved, and while the Suns still hold his rights as a restricted free agent, he’s not expected back until late this season, if at all.
Mickael Pietrus is an interesting case, still technically on the roster after a trade to send him to Toronto for a second round pick fell through once it was discovered that Pietrus is still hurting from the knee injury that caused him to miss the last 12 games of last season. Don’t expect him to play in Phoenix this year, however, as the Suns will likely look to move him once he is healthy, or possibly even waive him under the team’s amnesty provision.
Key Additions: Shannon Brown, Sebastian Telfair, Ronnie Price, Markieff Morris
Best case scenario: Things stay quiet on the rumor front, Steve Nash plays out the final year of his contract in peace, stays healthy, and the Suns make it back to the postseason.
It’s been extremely quiet in Phoenix on the Steve Nash front, and with good reason. The organization has made it clear that it won’t look to trade Nash before he enters free agency this summer unless he specifically requests it. Nash has said many times that camaraderie and stability are as important to him as anything these days, and ring-chasing doesn’t seem to be his style. That’s not to say the rumors won’t start heating up as the trade deadline approaches, especially if the team begins to believe that Nash may in fact look to bolt in free agency.
But if the team competes for a spot in the postseason as expected, and can manage to keep its roster intact without making big changes to personnel that in turn set the team back in terms of chemistry and on-the-court production, it’s likely that Nash will be content to, at the very least, play out his contract this season.
And that would mean that the circus which has surrounded Chris Paul and Dwight Howard can skip its scheduled stop in Phoenix.
For that to happen: The Suns must get quality minutes from their bench if they’re to keep Nash and Grant Hill fresh for the shorter but more demanding season. Phoenix is a deep team, and the additions of Shannon Brown, Sebastian Telfair, and Ronnie Price should give Alvin Gentry plenty of reasonable options to play while Nash gets more rest than usual, or even some days off entirely during the tougher stretches of the lockout-induced schedule.
More likely the Suns will: It’s possible that the team’s depth won’t be as beneficial as it appears to on paper, and that Nash, while in supreme physical condition now, may break down in the second half of the season due to a combination of high usage and a grueling schedule. That would mean more losses than planned, which might make the front office a little nervous and therefore overly aggressive to try to fix the team’s problems through hasty player personnel decisions.
Simply put, the Suns need to keep their continuity and be wise about Nash’s minutes as the season progresses. If the team can do that, and find some consistency in some other areas, a return to the playoffs is not at all out of the question.
Prediction: 37-29, seventh or eight seed in the Western Conference.