Olympics Day 16 - Basketball

Consider USA, Spain favorites for 2012 London Olympics

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There are 298 days left until the opening ceremonies of the London Olympics.

We, as Americans, expect a gold medal in basketball as our birthright, as we expect inexpensive gasoline and a well-grilled steak. To make sure we get what we want, USA Basketball will be sending its big guns — LeBron James, Kobe Bryant, Kevin Durant, etc. — and America will be the prohibitive favorite in London.

But a year out, who is our biggest threat?

Spain primarily, but once we get to the one-and-done part of the tournament, a few teams can be scary. There’s a fantastic breakdown of what to expect next July over at The Painted Area today (one of the best sites for international hoops opinions), where they talk about Spain coming off its European championship.

MVP Juan Carlos Navarro was in full La Bomba mode during the knockout round, but it’s Pau Gasol who is the lynchpin for this side. Pau easily led the EuroBasket with a whopping 36.9 PER (20 and 8 on 54% FG in 26 minutes per game).

While the return of Pau was essential for Team España, the addition of newly naturalized Serge Ibaka was an intriguing personnel game-changer for Spain. Ibaka, who was a force in the gold-medal game with five blocks in 21 minutes, adds a welcome dose of athleticism. The equation of Gasol brothers plus Serge might well equal the best rotation of bigs in London, depending upon the frontline players Team USA is able to assemble.

We have talked about this before — when Coach K sits down to assemble this version of Team USA, he is going to have to account for the size and athleticism of the Spanish front line. Playing Dwight Howard at the five then Carmelo Anthony at the four will not cut it against the Gasol brothers.

Everyone goes into the Olympics expecting a Spain vs. USA gold medal rematch from 2008.

Who can spoil that party? How about France? They have Joakim Noah to play defense in the paint but they were able to score during EuroBasket as well.

Certainly, the return of Tony Parker after a year off was critical to the French offense. Parker was the best guard in the tourney, averaging 22.1 points, 3.5 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 1.7 steals in 35 minutes per game. Also, Nic Batum delivered a fine EuroBasket, averaging 13.8 points and 2.0 steals with 53.5% FG in 31.5 minutes, an improvement on his play in Turkey in 2010 (12.5 points and 1.3 steals with just 42.9% FG in 28.5 minutes). France still has room for improvement, as they could potentially add players like Ronny Turiaf, Roddy Beaubois or Mickael Pietrus to this year’s squad.

Argentina will make one last run at it with their golden generation of Manu Ginobili, Luis Scola and others. This is a team that is more seasoned and has played together longer than anyone else in London, and they are a threat.

Brazil will be right in there too. They came in second at FIBA Americas behind Tiago Splitter and a bunch of guys you don’t know (and you may not no Splitter all that well as Gregg Popovich kept him on the bench plenty last season). But they can add Nene, Leandro Barbosa and Anderson Varejao, which will make them a threat.

Go read the entire Painted Area post. There are teams like Lithuania and Russia could be a threat in a one-and-done scenario.

That said, we’re Americans and basketball is our sport. We expect our gold medal and we don’t really care how we get it.

Lucky? Klay Thompson reminds Doc Rivers which team lost to Rockets

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There’s this overplayed angle talked about by some fans and pundits suggesting the Warriors just got lucky last season — for example, they faced a banged-up Rockets’ team in the conference finals then a Cavaliers’ squad without two of their big three through the Finals. Then there was Clippers’ coach Doc Rivers saying the Warriors were lucky not having to play the Clippers or Spurs in the postseason.

The Warriors are sick of hearing they were lucky.

Friday Klay Thompson fired back at Rivers, via CSNBayArea.com.

– “I wanted to play the Clippers last year, but they couldn’t handle their business.”
– “If we got lucky, look at our record against them last year (Warriors 3-1). I’m pretty sure we smacked them.”
– “Didn’t they lose to the Rockets? Exactly. So haha. That just makes me laugh. That’s funny. Weren’t they up 3-1 too?”
– “Yeah, tell them I said that. That’s funny. That’s funny.”

Warriors big man Andrew Bogut phrased it differently.

If you think the Warriors just won because they were lucky — you are dead wrong.

They were the best team in the NBA last season, bar none. They won 67 regular season games in a tough conference, then beat everyone in their path to win a title. Did they catch some breaks along the way, particularly with health? You bet. Magic Johnson, Michael Jordan, and Kobe Bryant didn’t win a title without catching some breaks along the way, either. Nobody does. Luck plays a role, but it was not the primary factor in why the Warriors are champs.

All this talk of them getting lucky is fuel for the fire they needed not to be complacent this season. Way to give the defending champs bulletin board material, Doc.

Dwyane Wade serious as mentor, teaching Justise Winslow post moves

Third day of Miami Heat camp 10/1/2015
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Dwyane Wade has earned his status as an elder statesman, the E.F. Hutton kind of veteran who speaks and everybody listens.

Rookie Justise Winslow is listening.

Winslow (who should have gone higher in this draft) is a perfect fit for the Heat and he’s going to be part of their rotation off the bench from the start of the season (along with Josh McRoberts and Amare Stoudemire). Wade has already fully stepped into the mentor role with Winslow working with him on post moves, reports Jason Lieser at the Palm Beach Post.

“As his career develops, hopefully he’s able to do multiple things on the floor, but right now there’s gonna be certain things (Erik Spoelstra) wants him to do, and some of those things I’m good at,” Wade said. “I’m just passing down knowledge to someone who I think could be good at things that I have strengths at. It’s gonna take a while, but if he figures it out at 21, he’s ahead of the curve. I figured it out at like 27.

“All of us are where we’re at because someone before us helped us. They helped by letting us sit there and watch film with them or having conversations with them. If he’s a student of it and he really wants to know, I’m a pretty decent teacher in certain areas.”

This is what you want out of a veteran leader and some of the young teams out there have done an excellent job adding this kind of mentor — Kevin Garnett in Minnesota may be the best example. Someone who can pass on his wisdom and show the team’s young players how to be a professional and win in the NBA.

It’s a little different for Winslow, he and the Heat are more in a win-now mode, but he should be able to contribute to that.