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Should the Cavaliers take Derrick Williams at No. 1?


Danny Granger, Andre Iguodala and Joe Johnson are all very good basketball players. In fact, they’re All-Stars. But they’ve all been asked to be “the man” on their prospective teams, which hasn’t worked out too well, as they appear to lack that leadership gene.

And whether Derrick Williams deserves to be drafted No. 1 over point guard Kyrie Irving may depend on what kind of leadership skills he possesses.

Although point guards are all the rage in the NBA right now, the two teams in the Finals this season weren’t exactly stacked at the position.  As Derrick Rose, Deron Williams and Chris Paul all watched on television, the Heat’s offense was “directed” by Mike Bibby and Mario Chalmers, while Jason Kidd, who is at least 70 years old and averages less than 10 points per game, led the Mavericks’ offense to the title.  Meanwhile, both teams had dominant forwards in Dirk Nowitzki and LeBron James.  Yes, James disappeared, but the Heat were there because of his play up until the Finals.  And if you add Kevin Durant to the discussion, forwards are arguably more important to championship teams than point guards.  Or at least they were this season.

Williams, a power forward, is obviously a gifted player, capable of power dunking from two feet at a standstill, or burying a 3-pointer.  In fact, his ability to play both under the rim and outside the 3-point line gives him the chance to be a true superstar in the NBA (and fantasy stud down the line). The Cavaliers, who hold the No. 1 pick, already have Baron Davis and Ramon Sessions on their roster, so finding a point guard in the draft is not a top priority.  And if it is, they could possibly get Brandon Knight at No. 4 if the Jazz pass on him at No. 3.  J.J. Hickson, Antawn Jamison and Samardo Samuels are the power forwards that would stand in Williams’ way in Cleveland, but Hickson can play center (along with Anderson Varejao), while Jamison’s career is starting to wind down.  I’m not sure the Cavs are even going to look at their roster before making their selection, as finding the guy with the right attitude and the leadership gene is going to be key, regardless of his position.

This reminds me a little bit of the 1998 NFL draft, when the Colts were desperately trying to figure out whether to draft Peyton Manning or Ryan Leaf.  And believe it or not, folks were pretty torn on which guy they should take.  Both players possessed similar skills in college, but were completely different animals in the pros when it came to mental and physical skills.  Obviously, the Colts made a great decision by taking Manning, who is one of the best leaders we’ve seen in professional sports.

Almost every mock draft you look at has the Cavaliers taking Irving over Williams, but I’m pretty sure that the Cavs have yet to make that decision.  And then there’s this Twitter tidbit from Brian Windhorst, who is a Cavaliers expert: “Heard enough stories about Cavs in-depth research into Derrick Williams to convince me they’re considering him for No. 1 pick.”  If Williams showed up for his Monday’s workout and said all the right things, he could easily be taken No. 1.  After all, it’s one thing to get a dynamic player, like the ones I listed at the start of this post, but a completely different game when looking at guys with heart, who know how to lead/win, versus guys who simply pile up numbers and are quiet in the locker room.

If Williams has a strong interview and leads the Cavaliers to believe that he can be a better leader both on and off the floor than Irving, I think they’ll pull the trigger.  And then the fun will begin, as the Timberwolves might be forced into taking Irving despite Ricky Rubio arriving in Minnesota on Monday.  There have been conflicting reports on whether the Cavs are set to draft Irving with the No. 1 pick on Thursday, but if they don’t, Williams will be the guy.

Doc Rivers: Clippers might blow up roster if they fall short this season

Chris Paul, Blake Griffin DeAndre Jordan, Doc Rivers
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The Clippers have gone 56-26, 57-25 and 56-26 the last three years – clearing the commonly accepted 55-win bar for championship contention.

But they’ve also won only zero, one and one playoff series in that span.

Zach Lowe of Grantland:

The Clippers have had three cracks at it with Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, and DeAndre Jordan all in their primes, and they’re not afraid to admit the fourth could be their last — that another flameout will force them to ask whether the core has grown stale.

“We’re right on the borderline,” Doc Rivers tells Grantland during a long sit-down at his office. “I have no problem saying that. I’m a believer that teams can get stale. After a while, you don’t win. It just doesn’t work. We’re right at the edge. Oklahoma City is on the edge. Memphis, too. We just have to accept it.”

I disagree with Rivers.

It’s so hard to assemble a roster that can win a title, and the Clippers absolutely have one. If they fall short this season, they’ll probably still have a title-contending roster the following year. They shouldn’t throw that away just for the sake of change.

Paul (30), Jordan (27) and Griffin (26) are young enough for the Clippers to remain patient.

Rivers makes a good point later in Lowe’s article:

“You need luck in the West,” he says. “Look at Golden State. They didn’t have to play us or the Spurs. But that’s also a lesson for us: When you have a chance to close, you have to do it.”

The Warriors were the NBA’s best team last season, but they also got plenty of breaks. That’s why they won the title.

The Clippers might need more luck to win a championship, but it wouldn’t be an overwhelming amount. The better a team is, the less luck it needs. The Grizzlies can probably win a title with all the right breaks, but they need more than the Clippers.

It’s about being good enough to win with the right breaks.

The Clippers are that. They’ll probably be that unless they do something drastic.

Unless a lopsided trade comes around, I’d stick with Paul, Griffin and Jordan until they really prove they can’t win together. That would take years. A team not winning a title is not proof it can’t win a title. Every year, multiple teams can win a championship. Obviously, only one does.

Rivers has it good with his big three. This shouldn’t be a make-or-break year for them.

51 Q: Which coaches start the year on the hot seat?

Lionel Hollins
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Going into every season, there are a few coaches under pressure to perform or risk losing their jobs. This season, the operative word there is “few.” Looking around the NBA, most coaches are either new on the job or aren’t in any real danger of losing theirs. There are five brand-new coaches: Billy Donovan (Oklahoma City), Fred Hoiberg (Chicago), Alvin Gentry (New Orleans), Michael Malone (Denver) and Scott Skiles (Orlando). The coaches they replaced were mostly the ones whose names often came up in these discussions. Practically everywhere else, there is either a long track record of success or clear signs that ownership is happy with the job the coach is doing. Coaches who are actually on the hot seat are few and far between. But here are a few who might find themselves in trouble if their teams underperform:

Jeff Hornacek (Phoenix Suns): Two years ago, Hornacek was a Coach of the Year candidate for taking a team that was supposed to be one of the league’s very works and making them into almost a playoff team. Last season was another near-miss. This season, the Suns are once again on the bubble of being a playoff team — there’s a chance they could grab the eighth seed in the Western Conference, if a lot goes right. Hornacek deserves a lot of credit for their sooner-than-expected success. The only reason he’s on this list is the potential for a chemistry disaster on this roster. Between Markieff Morris‘ situation and another attempt at a two-point guard lineup (this time with Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight), there’s a lot that could go wrong, and if the Suns fall out of playoff contention. Hornacek could find himself in a little hot water. But that’s unlikely.

Lionel Hollins (Brooklyn Nets): Hollins has always felt like something of a short-term solution in Brooklyn. The Nets tried going young at the head coaching spot with Jason Kidd, who clashed with management over control before leaving for Milwaukee. This Nets roster is middling at best — some solid veterans, not a lot of young talent, no future hope to speak of unless they land a marquee free agent next summer. Their ceiling is the eighth seed and a first-round exit; their floor is a lot worse than that. It would take a catastrophic start to the year for Hollins to lose his job during the season, but there isn’t exactly a lot of long-term security in his position.

Derek Fisher (New York Knicks): It’s hard to see Phil Jackson firing his protege less than two years in, but the Knicks enter the season with the goal of competing for a playoff spot and a lot of potential to be worse than that. Don’t rule out James Dolan stepping in.

Steve Clifford (Charlotte Hornets): Clifford’s chances of losing his job during the season basically disappeared when Michael Kidd-Gilchrist went down with a shoulder injury that will likely keep him out the entire season. Without their best perimeter defender, the Hornets’ expectations are a lot lower than they would have been. Now, it’s hard to see them competing seriously for a playoff spot unless Jeremy Lamb makes a huge leap and proves himself capable of being an NBA-caliber starter. If they’re even competitive, it will be an enormous credit to Clifford, who is well-regarded around the league. The story would have been different if they had entered the season with a healthy roster and underperformed, but the MKG injury likely buys Clifford a year before this conversation starts up again.