Prediction: LeBron James is going to break out in Game 2.
LeBron had a quiet 21 points in Game 1, but was just 4-of-14 shooting. He was more passive than normal, early on in the game he was patiently waiting for the double team to come so he could pass out of it. Don’t expect patient, assist-happy LeBron in Game 2 Monday night. Expect “I want to make a mark on this series” LeBron.
The question is will the Sixers be able to contain him? Can Andre Iguodala keep him relatively in check and help keep the game close? And is this give the Sixers a better chance than Chris Bosh going off?
Game 1 was a lot more Bosh than we normally see and that is good for the Heat — they win a lot more when he is the second leading scorer on the team. Philadelphia is undersized and they paid for that with Bosh getting 25 points on 17 shots. Philly also paid on the glass, where Miami grabbed 15 offensive rebounds (a very high 35.7 percent of their missed shots). The Sixers need to find a way to clean up on the glass to stand a real chance in this series. Which is hard when you’re facing good rebounding wing players in LeBron and Dwyane Wade.
The other thing Philly wants to change is the free throw disparity — Miami got to the line 39 times to the Sixers 15 in Game 1.
Sorry to tell you this Doug Collins, that was not about the referees, that was about Miami attacking the rim and penetrating, trying to get inside, while your Sixers slowed it down and settled for jumpers. Philly needs some transition baskets and some fouls by attacking, the problem is they have to keep the tempo controlled because they cannot run with LeBron and Wade. The other problem is how much Lou Williams can help with those things. They miss him being healthy.
How and how much Wade gets used will be another thing to watch as he is coming off debilitating migraines. He will play in Game 2 but may have on glare-reducing goggles. Which by Wednesday will be all the rage in Miami nightclubs.
At the end of the game, if the Sixers can keep it close again, the Heat have made the Wade/Bosh pick-and-roll their go-to play. And it works. It will be interesting to see how the Sixers adjust to this. Not that there are really great options, that is a killer combo for the pick and roll or pop.
The other thing I’m curious to see — is the Miami zone back? The broke that out and Jrue Holliday admitted it worked because the 76ers were stunned and unprepared for it. The Heat will not make a habit of it, but it is a nice change of pace defense for a couple trips down.
Collins deserves a lot of credit for getting the most out of this Sixers roster. But that is different than getting them over the hump of a road win in the playoffs. They are going to need a big game from Williams to make it happen — they need his shot creation and ability to draw fouls — but his hamstring continues to hamstring the team.