The Heat have won 15 of their last 16 games. They are currently 3rd in the league in offensive efficiency, despite the fact that they don’t play at a very fast pace, have put most of their emphasis on defense, and have been without Mike Miller and Udonis Haslem.So talking about how the Heat’s offense still doesn’t feature enough movement is definitely nit-picking. That said, the Heat’s offense still doesn’t feature enough movement, and it can be really frustrating to watch at times.
The Heat are a very, very good offensive team in half-court situations, but they should be nearly unstoppable with their collection of talent — as of right now, the Heat have the exact same offensive efficiency as the 09-10 Cleveland Cavaliers, and I don’t think anybody would argue that LeBron has more talent around him this year than he did last year. The Heat have been effective because of how good James, Wade, and Bosh are with the ball in their hands and how good players like Zydrunas Ilgauskas and James Jones have been at knocking down open shots, but they could still be doing so much more. According to Hoopdata, the Heat are dead last in both made baskets at the rim per game and the percentage of assisted shots at the rim, which is insane when you consider how good the Heat’s big three are in the painted area.
When LeBron and Wade are on the court together, most of the Heat’s offensive sets involve one of them standing in the corner and watching the other one use a screen or go ISO. LeBron’s become much more comfortable setting up behind the three-point line and knocking down open catch-and-shoot threes than he was early in the year, and Wade has some idea of how to make effective weak-side cuts, but neither of them are making things as easy on each other as they could be. Stopping LeBron or Wade when the entire defense is keyed in on them is already one of the hardest things to do in basketball — stopping one of them from going to the basket when the defense is focused on the other one is all but impossible. Over at NBA Playbook, Sebastian Pruiti has video examples of how the Heat offense looks when they do and don’t move without the ball, and the difference is clear.
Getting LeBron and Wade to make each other better isn’t rocket science, even though both of them look completely lost most of the time when they don’t have the ball in their hands. Against the Knicks, Wade got an easy layup when LeBron started to drive and tossed a skip pass to Wade in the corner, who proceeded to blow by two Knick defenders and lay the ball in before they realized what was going on. There’s really no way to stop Wade making a hard weak-side cut when the defense is focused on LeBron or Bosh, Bosh and LeBron working a high/low post set, or LeBron setting a screen for Wade and rolling hard to the basket. The Heat are currently playing like a very good team, maybe even a great one — when their superstars start using each other’s talents to get high-percentage looks, they’ll be flat-out scary.
The Houston Rockets are one of only a handful of teams in the NBA with a legitimate ability to add a couple of key pieces and try to make a run at the Golden State Warriors.
Chris Paul would be that kind of piece, and the Rockets are ramping up efforts to land him.
From Marc Stein of ESPN.
The Houston Rockets have emerged as an increasingly serious threat in the chase for soon-to-be free agent Chris Paul, according to league sources.
The Rockets still have work to do in terms of clearing sufficient salary-cap space to make a representative offer for Paul, but sources told ESPN that Houston star James Harden has been advocating hard in favor of the Paul pursuit and has made his interest in teaming with the Los Angeles Clippers’ point guard known directly to Paul.
Sources say Houston also remains at the heart of the trade hunt to acquire Paul George from the Indiana Pacers, despite the fact George is only under contract through next season and is known to be angling to sign with his hometown Los Angeles Lakers in July 2018.
The challenge in all of this is the Rockets have just about $10 million in cap space this summer, which is about a third of what it will take to land Chris Paul. That means they need to trade Ryan Anderson and his $19.6 million owed next season and take no salary back, and while there are a few teams in a position to be able to take on that salary — Philadephia, Brooklyn, Sacramento and others — they are going to want a young player or first-round pick as a sweetener. The Rockets also are considering moving Lou Williams and his $7 million salary, or Patrick Beverley and his $5.5 million. However, even moving both of the later two is not getting near the salary Paul will demand.
Chris Paul met with the Clippers front office on Tuesday to talk about the future, but he’s expected to meet with a number of teams in free agency, with the Rockets and Spurs being key suitors. The question is, will any of these teams bring him closer to toppling the Golden State Warriors, and is it worth it to take less money for that chance? Especially after he got the CBA changed so that as of July 1 the “over 36” rule becomes the “over 38 rule” so the Clippers can give him one more five-year max contract.
Dion Waiters had the best season of his career last year at age 25 in Miami. The Heat pushed Waiters to get in the best shape of his life (just check out his Instagram), and combine that with the fact that Justise Winslow went down Waiters got the ball in his hands more with a chance to create for himself, and you had a little rush of scoring. He’s still not the most efficient player ever (to be kind), but he’s close to average.
Waiters opted out of his $3.2 million he is owed next season, and he is now a free agent. How much is he will he get now on the open market? Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald wrote this:
One scout said he would be surprised if the bidding for Waiters soars much above $10 million, if that, because of his small sample size of high-level play this past season. One prominent agent who does not represent Waiters predicted he would get $8 million to $10 million annually.
That number seems about right, if it’s a two-year deal (or a team option on the third year). The league average salary will be around $8.5 million, and that’s where Waiters should fall next year.
Whether Miami has that money to spend comes down to whether they land a big free agent such as Gordon Hayward or Blake Griffin (both max guys). If so, the Heat will not have the money, and what they do have would be more focused on keeping James Johnson. However, if the Heat strike out then Waiters could be back in Miami.
One way or another Waiters is going to get a raise. That doesn’t mean teams are not still leery.
Were they watching the games last year?
Derrick Rose put up decent numbers last year — 18 points per game, PER of 17, true shooting percentage of 53 — but was a mess defensively and does not fit in the triangle offense. He’s a decent point guard now, a replacement level player who can help in the right system.
Since the Knicks point guard rotation right now consists of rookie Frank Ntilikina plus whoever the team signs this summer, turns out Rose is not out of the picture, reports Ian Begley of ESPN.
The New York Knicks have “legitimate” interest in re-signing Derrick Rose, league sources familiar with the matter said….
The Knicks’ interest in the point guard is dependent on several factors, including his health and his asking price. When asked last week about New York potentially re-signing Rose, team president Phil Jackson said “we’re listening.”
Money will be the key — it’s not going to be anywhere near the $21.3 million Rose made last season. No team is going to offer that.
Can the Knicks get him for less than $10 million? Will another team come in and offer $12 million or more for him? The market for point guards this summer is going to be interesting because after the big name on the free-agent market — Chris Paul (we’re not counting Stephen Curry, he’s not leaving) — there are some quality players out there that can help teams such as Kyle Lowry, Jrue Holiday, George Hill, Patty Mills, Jeff Teague and Shaun Livingston. There aren’t that many teams with money to really spend on free agent point guards, so while a couple (Holiday, maybe Lowry) re-sign with their old teams there are a number of guys who may find the market softer than they expected. Rose is among them.
And that’s where the Knicks come in. Rose is far from a perfect fit, but if the soft market drives his price down closer to the midlevel ($8.4 million) or just above, that may be worth it for the Knicks for a year while they try to develop the rookie.
Russell Westbrook is your NBA MVP, coming off a historic season where he averaged a triple-double.
Westbrook also could see a massive pay raise this summer. Yes, you remember correctly that Westbrook signed one last summer after Kevin Durant left, but the new Collective Bargaining Agreement that kicks in July 1 grandfathered him (and James Harden, who also signed an extension last summer) in to get the “designated veteran” max contract. That would start at about $34.7 million (if the cap is at $99 million as expected) and go up from there.
Thunder management’s first call at midnight July 1 will be to Westbrook to offer the deal, and he may well take it reports Royce Young of ESPN.
Those close to Westbrook fully expect him to take the Thunder’s offer, quite possibly at 12:01 a.m., and stabilize the franchise and present a clear road map. Westbrook signed an extension last summer and invoked the word “loyalty” for a reason. He wanted to make a statement — a public declaration — and take on the burden of leading the franchise forward.
He likes the existing roster and has a close relationship and confidence in Presti and Weaver. He has built a strong bond with head coach Billy Donovan. He knew what he signed for and, with the Thunder coming off a successful first post-Durant season and with pieces in place to improve the team, there are a lot of reasons to commit again.
If Westbrook signs this, the Thunder can get on with the business of improving this roster — which will be next to impossible. The Thunder are capped out and have to re-sign restricted free agent Andre Roberson. Sam Presti is a smart man, but his hands are mostly tied due to some of the big contracts on the roster (ones that would have been no issue if Kevin Durant had stayed). The Thunder will make moves around the edges, but it’s going to take time to do anything substantial.
If Westbrook doesn’t sign this, more than just red flags will go up in OKC — this will be sirens and flashing red lights. The Thunder will be forced to think about trading Westbrook, or finding a way to keep him happy and in house. They will basically be right back to where they were last summer.
If Westbrook signs it — and he likely will, that’s a lot of money to leave on the table — it at least gives the Thunder a clear direction. Which is about all they can hope for this summer.