Winderman: Team USA's core may be playing themselves out of jobs

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Thumbnail image for teamusa.jpgFile this one under “conundrum” when it comes to USA Basketball and those at the back end of the Mike Krzyzewski’s roster at the World Championships.

Should the United States win its final two games this weekend, it punches a ticket to the 2012 Olympics, with only the gold-medalists earning an automatic bid.

That would make life easy for Dwyane Wade, LeBron James, Carmelo Anthony, Kobe Bryant, Dwight Howard, Chris Paul, Deron Williams and Chris Bosh to parachute in to London for a couple of weeks two years from now and work toward another Games gold.

But should the United States lose either in the semifinals or championship game in Istanbul this weekend, it would then mandate regional Olympic qualifying next summer in Argentina.

And that might be a burden (lockout permitting) the league’s prime stars, especially those planning to play deep into the NBA playoffs, might not choose to accept, essentially 24 months of round-the-clock basketball.

Ah, not-so-sweet irony.

But offering their “A” game this weekend, Russell Westbrook, Rudy Gay, Andre Iguodala, Lamar Odom and Eric Gordon could be hastening their own Olympic demise.

We’ve seen it before on the Olympic platform, those in successful qualifying heats pushed aside when it comes to the championship glory of the race for the medals.

Of course, Jerry Colangelo’s master plan never was supposed to offer this grim reality. To play in the Olympics meant playing in any qualifying round needed, similar to the model leading up to the 2008 Beijing Games.

With a U.S. loss over the weekend, the NBA’s leading men will have to decide whether to participate in Olympic qualifying next summer. That could lead more than a few to declare their retirement from international play, what with NBA championships now Kobe’s defining measurement, with the Heat’s Big Three pledged to make mid-June basketball a South Florida staple, with Paul and Carmelo facing the same types of contract concerns that kept Wade, LeBron and Bosh away this summer.

But with a pair of U.S. victories this weekend, London becomes a more manageable exercise for the NBA’s elite, able to push aside those who took their spots in basketball’s preliminary relays, so to speak.

Sunday in Turkey, gold will go to the victors.

But for several, if not most, members of this current U.S. team, outside of, say, Kevin Durant, Derrick Rose, and, perhaps, Chauncey Billups, those medals also could wind up feeling like consolation prizes, accompanied not with tickets to London, but rather merely with heartfelt thanks.

Ira Winderman writes regularly for NBCSports.com and covers the Heat and the NBA for the South Florida Sun-Sentinel. You can follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/IraHeatBeat.

Pistons’ Kentavious Caldwell-Pope suspended two games for DUI

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This is the standard penalty for coaches and players hit with a DUI. I don’t think the penalty is stiff enough in general for a serious issue, but this is the precedent that has been set.

Detroit Pistons’ guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been suspended two games by the NBA for “pleading guilty to operating a motor vehicle while intoxicated, in violation of the law of the State of Michigan,” the NBA announced. He will miss the first two games of next season.

This will not stop Caldwell-Pope from getting PAID this summer.

A quality wing defender who hit 35 percent from three last season, he plays a position of need for a lot of teams and he is a restricted free agent. Other teams with cap space — Brooklyn and Sacramento come to mind — could step in and give him a max or near max offer. Then Stan Van Gundy needs to decide if he is going to match. He may not have much of a choice, if he wants to keep Andre Drummond and build an inside-out team around him, he needs Caldwell-Pope, and the Pistons don’t have the cap space to replace him.

One way or another, Caldwell-Pope is in line for a massive pay raise. This suspension will not slow teams, it just takes a little money out of his pocket.

 

Lonzo Ball tops Rookie of the Year early betting odds

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If you are betting right now on next year’s NBA Rookie of the Year award, you are a die-hard fan of your team and their new addition. Or, you have a problem and need to seek help. Maybe both.

Either way, the people at the gambling site Bovada have posted the early betting odds for the ROY award for next season.

Lonzo Ball (Lakers) 5/2
Ben Simmons (76ers) 3/1
Markelle Fultz (76ers) 5/1
De”Aaron Fox (Kings) 7/1
Josh Jackson (Suns) 9/1
Jayson Tatum (Celtics) 9/1
Jonathan Isaac (Magic) 16/1
Malik Monk (Hornets) 16/1
Dennis Smith (Mavericks) 16/1
John Collins (Hawks) 20/1
Justin Jackson (Trail Blazers) 22/1
Lauri Markkanen (Bulls) 22/1

Yes, Ben Simmons is in the mix.

The two bets I like here, if I were a gambling man, are Jackson in Phoenix and Dennis Smith in Dallas. I doubt Smith wins it, but Mavs coach Rick Carlisle said after the draft Smith will start for them next year, which means he gets opportunities and can rack up assists feeding Dirk Nowitzki at the elbow for a year.

Jackson is going to be unleashed in an up-tempo Suns offense where he will be the defender they need on the wing, play with high energy, and get buckets in transition. Winning ROY is as much about fit and opportunity as talent, and Jackson has landed in a good spot.

Paul George-Gordon Hayward-Celtics rumor doesn’t add up

AP Photo/George Frey
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Paul George reportedly wants to play with Gordon Hayward. George is also reportedly willing to join his desired team (universally accepted to be the Lakers) by means that don’t guarantee the highest salary.

Could the Celtics – who are pursuing Hayward in free agency – leverage those conditions into getting George?

Adam Kauffman of 98.5 The Sports Hub:

I don’t what George would do, but it’d be a MAJOR financial disadvantage to go this route.

There a couple ways it could happen – George getting extended-and-trade or George getting traded then signing an extension six months later. The latter would allow George to earn more than the former, but even if he pledged to sign an extension, would the Celtics trade for him knowing he’d have six months to change his mind if he doesn’t like Boston as much as anticipated?

There’s a bigger issue, anyway. Both extension routes would leave George earning far less than simply letting his contract expire then signing a new deal, either with his incumbent team or a new one.

Here’s a representation of how much George could earn by:

  • Letting his contract expire and re-signing (green)
  • Letting his contract expire and signing elsewhere (purple)
  • Getting traded and signing an extension six months later (gray)
  • Signing an extend-and-trade (yellow)

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Expire & re-sign Expire & leave Trade, extend later Extend-and-trade
2018-19 $30.6 million $30.6 million $23,410,750 $23,410,750
2019-20 $33.0 million $32.1 million $25,283,610 $24,581,287
2020-21 $35.5 million $33.7 million $27,156,470 $25,751,825
2021-22 $37.9 million $35.2 million $29,029,330
2022-23 $40.4 million
Total $177.5 million $131.6 million $104,880,158 $73,743,861

Firm numbers are used when it’s just a calculation based on George’s current contract. When necessary to project the 2018-19 salary cap, I rounded.

The Celtics could theoretically renegotiate-and-extend, but that would require cap room that almost certainly wouldn’t exist after signing Hayward.

Simply, it’s next to impossible to see this happening. It’d be too costly to George.

Dwyane Wade on why he exercised his player option: ’24 million reasons’

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Dwyane Wade said he wanted to see the Bulls’ direction – winning now with Jimmy Butler or rebuilding? – before deciding on his $23.8 million player option for next season.

While Chicago was actively shopping Butler (before eventually trading him to the Timberwolves), Wade opted in, anyway.

David Aldridge of NBA.com:

This is most real answer answer you’ll ever see. Props to Wade for his directness.

This also speaks to the unlikelihood of him accepting a buyout, no matter how poorly he fits with the rebuilding Bulls now – though maybe he’d accept a small pay cut to choose another team.