NBA finals, Lakers Celtics Game 5: What happens if Bynum is not right, again?

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odom_bench.jpgAndrew Bynum is going to play. He had his knee drained of more fluid, and he is in the full “I will play through the pain” warrior mode we fans expect from athletes. He will be in the Lakers starting five tonight.

But he was out on the court Thursday night, too. For all of 12 minutes, time that included Kevin Garnett going over the top to block one of his shots. Bynum tried but had nothing to give, and Los Angeles could not adjust.

What happens if it is the same thing tonight? What if Bynum’s mind is willing but his flesh is weak? What can the Celtics do? What can the Lakers do?

First, there are a few out there who still think Bynum’s presence doesn’t matter that much. They are wrong. So far in the finals, the Lakers are outscoring the Celtics by about 5 points per 48 minutes when Bynum is on the court, the Celtics are outscoring the Lakers by 5 per 48 when he sits. With Bynum on the bench, the more physical Kendrick Perkins can make things difficult on Pau Gasol, while Kevin Garnett takes Lamar Odom out of the game (Odom does some of that himself). The Lakers bench gets thinner. The Lakers are not nearly as good.

So how do the Lakers adjust?

It has to start with Odom. I compare Odom to rolling dice at the craps table — over 1,000 rolls I can tell you pretty much what the numbers will be, but on any one given roll it is purely random. Game to game, Odom is random.

This series he has not attacked — he had Glen “Big Baby” Davis on him for extended periods of Game 4 but did try to take him off the dribble (Davis is nimble for a big man but Odom should be able to take him). On defense, Odom crowded Davis outside and allowed Davis to use his quick first step to get by him and to the rim. Davis shoots 33 percent from 10 to 16 feet and 35 percent beyond that. Live with the jumper.

Odom needs to attack on offense, grab rebounds and lead the break. He needs to defend.

Beyond that, the Lakers should go with more Luke Walton — he helps the offense flow but never saw the court in Game 4 — and maybe even give Josh Powell some run and tell him to be physical.

Finally, the Lakers should run more. So should the Celtics. Whichever team is getting the easy points in transition is getting the wins. It is the bellwether of this series (that and rebounds, but you need the rebounds to run).

Boston needs to attack off the dribble when Bynum is out. His long arms defend the rim well, but Gasol and Odom do not. Boston needs to test Bynum early, ideally by making him rotate over to take on a driving Rajon Rondo. The Celtics need to get Bynum on the move, because he can’t. Run some pick and rolls with his man, something both Utah and Phoenix did with success against him.

If draining the knee means that Bynum can play a solid 25 minutes for the Lakers, it is a huge plus for them. But if he can’t go, it’s the team that adjusts that will head back to Los Angeles up 3-2.

Rick Pitino predicts NBA draft will accept high schoolers within two years

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Once an advocate of increasing the age minimum and a willing accepter of one-and-done, NBA commissioner Adam Silver sounded more open about allowing high school players to declare for the NBA draft.

The new Collective Bargaining Agreement left the issue open, but Louisville coach Rick Pitino predicts change is coming – relatively soon.

Pitino, via ESPN:

When I was at Kentucky, I had seven high school basketball players, told me they were coming, and instead, they went to the pros out of high school. And by the way, I think that rule is going to change back to that. I think high school players are going to be able to go pro again.

I think the commissioner is probably going to do it within two years.

Does Pitino know something? With decades of experience in the NBA and college, he could have many contacts with inside information. It’s certainly imperative for devising a recruiting strategy to know how this rule will change.

It’s also possible Pitino saw Silver’s comments, like any outsider could have, and is making a relatively blind guess.

But the possibility of inside information makes his comments more intriguing.

Warriors executive: Golden State rejected richer jersey-ad offers

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The Warriors are charging $60 million over three years for their jersey ads – about double what any other NBA team is getting.

Golden State chief marketing officer Chip Bowers, via Darren Rovell of ESPN:

“We actually had multiple finalists,” Warriors chief marketing officer Chip Bowers said. “This was not the biggest deal that we were offered.”

Bowers said the team felt it was important for the deal to be with a worldwide brand.

Light years ahead.

New Bulls advisor Doug Collins: ‘I am woke’

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The Bulls hired Doug Collins as an advisor.

Is Collins, who has coached only one winning season in the last 20 years and often sounds analytically disinclined, too behind the times?

Collins:

I’m old. Let me finish. But I’m not old school. I’ve got a young brain. And I think you get pigeonholed: That guy is old school because he’s old. Now, if being on time and working hard and doing all those things are old school, then yes, I’m old school. But I will match my wits with anybody in terms of young people, in terms of what’s going on now and what’s happening. So, I am woke.

Suddenly, Kyrie Irving‘s statement on ESPN – “Oh, if you’re very much woke, there’s no such thing as distractions” – has a challenger for the most awkward use of “woke” by NBA personnel this week.

Report: Andre Iguodala nearly left Warriors for Rockets

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Remember those mid-June rumors about Andre Iguodala already agreeing on a salary to re-sign with the Warriors?

The tide sure changed in a hurry.

Iguodala put out word that he was open to leaving, pressuring tax-conscious Golden State. He met with the Lakers, Spurs, Kings and Rockets.

Houston particularly intrigued him despite reportedly offering just four years, $32 million. The Rockets could have offered $37,658,880 with the mid-level exception, though they wanted to save a sliver to give Zhou Qi a four-year deal – and that still would’ve fallen short of other offers. They also discussed signing-and-trading for Iguodala, but they pitched him on a defensive unit that included him, Chris Paul, Eric Gordon and Trevor Ariza. What else would Houston have intrigued the Warriors with?

And would Iguodala really have left Golden State, an all-time great team that positioned him to win 2015 NBA Finals MVP and a team that played near Silicon Valley?

Chris Haynes of ESPN:

The Warriors had been in the dark for a day and a half and contacted representatives of free-agent small forwards Rudy Gay and Gerald Henderson as a contingency plan. But Myers immediately hopped on a plane from the Bay Area and Kerr was already in Los Angeles, having recently visited with free agent Nick Young. They didn’t know it, but Iguodala’s objective in sitting down with them was to personally say goodbye, sources with knowledge of the situation told ESPN.

Myers and Kerr came prepared to offer him a fully guaranteed, three-year deal worth $45 million and reiterated that their latest offer still wasn’t indicative of what they believed to be his true worth. Their hands were just tied.

There was little hope for a resolution at this point. Iguodala wasn’t budging from his request to make at least $16 million per year. If the Warriors didn’t improve their offer, he was signing with the Rockets, sources said.

After an hour, both sides departed and a breakup appeared likely. Iguodala’s camp proceeded to discuss their options. The Warriors’ top reserve was inching closer to becoming a top reserve for the Rockets. But before Rosenthal was to call Los Angeles, Sacramento, San Antonio and Golden State to notify them of his client’s decision, sources said Iguodala elected to make his final, most defining move yet: calling Golden State one more time.

That of course ended with the Warriors stepping up with a three-year, fully guaranteed $48 million contract, which Iguodala signed.

I recommend reading Haynes’ captivating look into Iguodala’s free agency in full. But keep this in mind: Iguodala won his negotiation with Golden State, and it’s in his best interest to continue a harmonious relationship with the organization. That means, if he were bluffing about leaving in order to secure a bigger offer from the Warriors, he’s incentivized not to show his cards now. He’s better off keeping up the story, making the Warriors believe they didn’t pay more than necessary to keep him.