Ray Allen’s shooting performance last night was positively scrumtrulescent, but leave it to the hard data to put a damper on things. In light of Ray’s finals record-breaking evening (and some prodding in a piece by Henry Abbott at TrueHoop), Neil Paine of Basketball-Reference.com dug into history books to ascertain just how often three-point shooters record seven consecutive makes, and whether or not Allen nets those streaks more than most shooters. Here’s Paine with the results of his search:
So if you hit 40% of the time and take 6,678 shots, you can expect to
have about 6-7 stretches (6.5, technically) in your entire career where
you have seven or more makes in a row. Also, you’ll have at least one
stretch like that in your career 99.9137% of the time — in essence,
this means a “true” 40% shooter is virtually guaranteed to
have at least one run like Allen’s in his career due to chance alone.
These stretches can come in one half, one game, or even across multiple
games; in fact, we find that the best streaks of all time (Brent Price & Terry Mills in 1996, not coincidentally when the arc was shorter) made their 13 straight across several days.
It takes quite the shooting stroke to sink 40% from three over that many attempts, but the fact that shooters such as Allen are virtually assured seven consecutive makes still comes as a bit of a surprise.
There’s obviously a difference between making seven consecutive three-pointers in a game vs. a series of games, plus a difference between making them in a regular season game vs. a playoff game, and certainly a difference between making them in a playoff game vs. a finals game. That’s why Allen’s shooting in Game 2 is treated with such reverence; even if such a streak was bound to happen at some point in Ray’s career, the timing could hardly have been better, and the fact that Allen was especially prolific over such a short period of time is just gravy.
Apparently, all it takes is a little public discussion of LeBron James‘ “broken” jump shot to get him back on balance and knocking down the three ball — he was 4-of-6 from deep Wednesday.
Then again J.R. Smith was 7-of-13, Kyrie Irving 4-of-5, and as a team the Cavaliers knocked down a record 25 threes — while shooting 55.6 percent — as they wiped the floor with the Hawks in Game 2.
In case you’re curious where the Cavs were hitting from, here’s the team’s shot chart.
The Houston Rockets aren’t in any rush to hire a new head coach, preferring to interview a wide range of candidates to find the right one. Jeff Van Gundy has been widely believed to be at the top of their list, now that Tom Thibodeau and Scott Brooks are off the market, but ESPN.com’s Marc Stein is reporting another name that has entered the mix: Mike D’Antoni, who last held a head coaching job from 2012 to 2014 with the Lakers and currently serves as the Sixers’ lead assistant.
The Pacers, meanwhile, haven’t made a final decision on Frank Vogel’s future with the team, but all signs seem to point to him getting let go in the next few days. And if that happens, Stein reports that Vogel will also be on Houston’s list of candidates.
Given the Rockets’ massive drop-off on the defensive end this season, Vogel would seem to be a better fit than D’Antoni. But it sounds like the Rockets aren’t close to finding a replacement for J.B. Bickerstaff, although it would make sense to have a new coach in place by next month’s draft.
On Monday, the Hawks played the Cavaliers close and even led in the fourth quarter, leading plenty of optimism that Game 2 would be equally competitive, that the Hawks had something to build on.
The Cavs dominated from the start on Wednesday, with a 123-98 final score that was far closer than the game actually was — the Cavs led 74-36 at the half and led by as much as 38 at one point in the second half.
The Cavs also hit 25 three-pointers, which is the all-time record for a single game — regular season or playoffs. J.R. Smith hit seven of them, along with four each from LeBron James and Kyrie Irving and three for Kevin Love.
18 of Cleveland’s threes came in the first half, also a playoff record, and this was all Atlanta could do:
That’s the kind of night it was for the Hawks, who now trail 2-0 in the series as it heads back to Atlanta.
LeBron James has always been an incredible passer. In the midst of the Cavs’ Game 2 beatdown of the Hawks, he zipped this one-handed beauty into the paint to Kyrie Irving, who kicked it out to Kevin Love for a corner three:
The three was just one of the 18 Cleveland hit in the first half, which set an NBA playoff record.