NBA Playoffs: You'll go to bed tonight before the seedings are set

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We told you a couple days ago: The last game to tip off this NBA season, Utah at Phoenix at 10:30 Eastern tonight, will still play a big role in determining who plays whom in the first round of the NBA playoffs. What, you thought we were kidding? We would never do that to you.

To make your evening viewing complete, here is how the scenarios shake out heading into the final night of play.

Eastern Conference

The Cleveland Cavaliers are the top seed, and have been for a long time. They will face either Chicago or Toronto. Chicago has a one-game lead in the race for eight, but Toronto has the tiebreak. The Bulls are in if they beat a good Charlotte team — Larry Brown said he is playing his starters — or if the Raptors lose to New York. Toronto needs both those things to happen, but that is not far-fetched.

Orlando is your two seed, they will play Charlotte.

Atlanta is the three seed, Boston is the four seed. That means in the second round Boston gets Cleveland, a matchup they — and everyone else — wanted to avoid.

But first they have to get to the second round. And that is where it gets fun. Miami is almost locked in as the five seed, Milwaukee as the six. For Milwaukee to pass Miami, the Bucks would have to beat the Celtics tonight and the Heat would have to lose to the Nets. However, the Celtics probably would prefer to face the Andrew Bogut-less Bucks, so they may rest a whole lot of players tonight in an effort to fail. Miami has taken three of four from Atlanta this season and may prefer them to Boston. They have announced that Dwyane Wade, Udonis Haslim, and Jermaine O’Neal will all sit out tonight. Look for any Heat guy playing well to get benched.

That’s all a lot of speculation, but it will be fun to see how it unfolds and if teams are naked in their intentions.

Western Conference

We know the Lakers are the one seed and will face Oklahoma City in the first round.

After that, the West is still a mess. A Jackson Pollock painting.

Dallas has the inside track on the two seed. They have a one-game lead and if they beat the Spurs tonight they get the two slot. However, if the Spurs beat the Mavericks and the Jazz beat the Suns, the Jazz are your two seed and the Mavericks are number three.

If Dallas loses to the Spurs and Phoenix beats Utah, Dallas is the two seed, Phoenix the three seed, Denver the four seed and Utah falls to the five seed and loses home court advantage.

If Dallas wins and the Jazz win, Dallas is the two seed, Utah the three seed, Phoenix the four seed and Denver the five. Phoenix cannot drop below the four seed in any scenario, they will start the playoffs at home this weekend.

Yes, that means Utah could end the night as the two seed, three seed or the fifth seed. Did we mention the West is still a mess? And we’re not done yet.

Portland is most likely the six seed. If they beat the Warriors tonight they are set. If Dallas beats San Antonio Portland is sixth. But, if the Spurs win and the Trail Blazers lose, the Spurs become the six seed.

The good news is, by about 1:30 this morning on the East Coast we’ll finally know. This can’t drag out another day.

NBA: Kenneth Faried got away with foul on decisive basket in Nuggets’ win over Bulls

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The Bulls’ biggest loss Friday was Jimmy Butler to injury. His absence certainly contributed to a loss to the Timberwolves the following night.

But Chicago also lost to the Nuggets on Friday, and perhaps that wouldn’t have happened if the game were called correctly down the stretch.

With Denver up two points and 21.1 seconds remaining, Kenneth Faried offensively rebounded a free throw and scored. The Bulls then intentionally fouled down the stretch, and Faried and Danilo Gallinari added a few free throws in the Nuggets’ 115-110 win.

One problem: Faried should’ve been called for offensively fouling Taj Gibson on the key putback, according to the NBA’s Last Two Minute Report:

Faried (DEN) extends his arm into Gibson (CHI) and dislodges him, affecting his ability to retrieve the rebound.

This was a huge swing. Instead of Taj Gibson – a 69% career free-throw shooter – going to the line for two attempts with Chicago down two points, Faried put the Nuggets up four. Even if Gibson split at the line, the Bulls would have been in significantly better shape.

As usual, we can’t know what would’ve happened if this call were made correctly. But it significantly set back Chicago.

NBA considering if jump-on-back foul should be flagrant foul

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The video above is an intentional foul — Chris Paul jumped on the back of Dwight Howard. The same thing has happened to Andre Drummond.

Is it a flagrant foul?

The Boston Celtics tweeted this out on Sunday.

The NBA was quick to let people know that this is just something under consideration — there has been no change in the rules. This may well be where the league is headed, but it’s not there yet.

The NBA defines a flagrant foul as “unnecessary contact committed by a player against an opponent.” To me, leaping on a player’s back like that qualifies. (A flagrant two foul is “unnecessary and excessive contact” and leads to an ejection; this is not that.)

Jared Dudley — one of the more vocal players on union issues — added a good point.

Consider this part of the coming changes on the intentional fouling rules period. But this one tweak could come much faster.

NBA: Foul on Cavaliers that sparked Celtics’ comeback called in error

Cleveland Cavaliers' J.R. Smith makes a move on Boston Celtics' Evan Turner (11) during the third quarter of a NBA basketball game in Boston Tuesday, Dec. 15, 2015. (AP Photo/Winslow Townson)
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The Cavaliers were in great shape against the Celtics on Friday, leading by four points with seven seconds left.

Then, it all went so wrong for Cleveland.

J.R. Smith was called for fouling Evan Turner on a made layup, cutting the margin to two points. Turner missed the free throw, but the ball went out of bounds off the Cavs. Then, Avery Bradley made a buzzer-beating 3-pointer to give Boston the win.

Rewind, though, and an incorrect call drove the sequence, according to the NBA.

Smith shouldn’t have been called for fouling Turner, per the Last Two Minute Report:

Smith (CLE) makes incidental contact with Turner’s (BOS) body as he attempts the layup.

If this were officiated correctly, the Cavs would’ve had the ball and a two-point lead with 5.9 seconds left. That’s not a lock to win – they’d still have to inbound the ball and make their free throws – but it’s close.

Cleveland is definitely entitled to feel the refs wronged them out of a victory.

Report: Kevin Durant has “done his due diligence on the Bay Area”

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Kevin Durant has not made up his mind about what he will do as a free agent this summer. Until his playoff run ends, whenever that may be for the Thunder, his focus will be on bringing a title to Oklahoma City.

But even he admits he can’t help but think about free agency a little.

The buzz around the league is Golden State is at the front of the line if Durant decides to leave OKC, and he has done some research, reports Marc Spears of Yahoo Sports.

The Warriors play in front of an intimidating Oracle Arena crowd and are expected to debut a new San Francisco arena in 2019. Durant has quietly done his due diligence on the Bay Area, too, sources told Yahoo Sports.

His people — specifically agent Rich Kleiman and personal manager Charlie Bell — would be stupid not to have done some research on not only Golden State but on every other team he might consider: Houston, Miami, Washington, both teams in Los Angeles, the Knicks, and on down the line. Golden State, playing with Stephen Curry, certainly would have its attractions.

I’m still in the camp that Durant signs a 1+1 deal to stay in Oklahoma City (meaning he can opt out after one more season, in 2017), and it’s all about the cash. While he could get 30 percent of a $90 million cap this summer (about $27 million a season to start), with one more year of service in 2017 Durant could get 35 percent of $108 million ($37.8 million to start). That’s a lot of cash. Plus he gets one more chance at a ring with Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka, who both are 2017 free agents.

But you can be sure whatever Durant decides, it will be well researched and thought out. And he’s not going to announce it in a live special on ESPN.